Tropical Depression (TD) Paolo is forecast to make landfall over Isabela or Northern Aurora on Friday, Oct. 3.
In its 11 a.m. tropical cyclone bulletin, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) reported the weather system’s position at 760 kilometers east of Virac, Catanduanes.
It was carrying maximum sustained winds of 45 kilometers per hour (km/h) near the center and gusts of up to 55 km/h, moving westward at 25 km/h.
Paolo is expected to intensify over the Philippine Sea and may reach severe tropical storm or typhoon category by Friday. It is less likely to affect weather conditions in the next 24 hours, although heavy rains are expected to begin on Friday.
According to Pagasa, no wind signal is currently hoisted, but Signal No. 1 may be raised over the eastern portions of Northern and Central Luzon in the afternoon or evening. Signal No. 3 is likely to be raised upon its passage.
Meanwhile, Pagasa also reported that at least nine tropical cyclones are expected to enter or develop within the PAR in the remaining months of 2025, with another 12 also projected between October 2025 and March 2026.
The forecast was released during Pagasa’s 188th Climate Outlook Forum. The 189th forum is set on October 29, where updated projections and climate advisories will be discussed