The bar opens at 3pm but the real problem never closes

On August 11, Local Government minister Balaam Barugahara wrote to district chairpersons, mayors and council speakers with a clear message: Bars and malwa (informal alcohol) joints should not open before 3pm, alcohol must not be sold to anyone under 18 years, and local leaders must work with security agencies to end the culture of morning drinking that fuels idleness, family breakdown and crime.

The association I chair welcomes the intent behind this directive. Protecting children, restoring productivity and demanding accountability from those who sell alcohol are goals the formal industry shares completely.

We support them because responsible operators have the most to lose when Uganda’s drinking culture is allowed to run unchecked.But intent is not the same as impact.

And if we are honest about where Uganda’s alcohol harm actually comes from, we must be equally honest about where a 3pm opening rule will land – and where it will not.

The evidence points away from the licensed bar. Begin with a fact that rarely makes the headlines: Ugandans are drinking less, not more.

The Uganda Alcohol Policy Alliance(the anti-alcohol lobby group)’s own 2022 Uganda Alcohol Report shows current alcohol consumption fell from 17 percent to 12 percent of the population between 2016/2017 and 2019/2020; per capita consumption edged down from 9.7 to 9.4 litres, and lifetime drinking among surveyed youth dropped from 67 percent to 47 percent. Between three-quarters and nine in 10 Ugandans do not drink at all.

This is not the profile of a nation being swept away by the marketing of licensed brewers.

It is the profile of a country where existing controls and formal industry efforts on moderation are working and deserve to be strengthened, not a country that needs a new punitive front opened against compliant businesses.

Now ask the harder question: when a Ugandan is harmed by alcohol, what is in the glass? The same NGO report concedes that 89 percent of the alcohol consumed here cannot even be classified – its strength, its ingredients, its source unknown.

An independent Euromonitor assessment goes further, estimating that 64.5 percent of all alcohol by volume in Uganda is illicit, with crude home brew alone accounting for more than two-thirds of that illicit supply.

The Treasury loses in the region of Shs616b every year to this shadow trade.

That is the real emergency. It is not sold under a licence, it is not brewed to any standard, and – this is the point that matters most for the minister’s directive – it does not observe opening hours.

The crude waragi still and the unregulated malwa pot do not check the clock at 3pm. A rule that binds the licensed, taxed, and inspected bar while the untaxed backyard distiller carries on undisturbed risks doing the opposite of what it intends: pushing drinkers away from the regulated product we can trace and toward the one that blinds and kills.

There is one part of the directive that deserves unqualified support and immediate enforcement: The prohibition on selling alcohol to minors.

No child should be able to buy alcohol anywhere in Uganda, and any trader who supplies one should face the law.

The association will back retailer training, age-verification and enforcement against sellers who break this rule.

We only urge that enforcement follow the evidence – most underage access occurs through informal community channels, not the licensed premises that are easiest to regulate and quickest to blame.

If the government wants a measure whose impact matches the minister’s ambition, the target is clear: A national illicit-alcohol task force, properly funded, with border enforcement and ethanol tracking to choke the supply of counterfeit and smuggled product.

Formalisation, not just prohibition – registering informal producers, bringing them to a safety standard and into the tax net, which simultaneously protects consumers, raises revenue and reduces the methanol poisonings that periodically claim Ugandan lives.

Caution on blunt tax increases, which the Euromonitor evidence shows widen the price gap between legal and illegal drink and hand the illicit trader his best marketing advantage.

Let’s focus on harmful consumption – underage drinking, drink-driving, dependency and treatment – rather than broad restrictions on those already playing by the rules.

The formal industry has earned the right to make this case.

We complied with the sachet ban. We have opened our intelligence to UNBS and the URA to help identify illicit producers.

We invest in quality and standards precisely because our livelihoods depend on Ugandans trusting what is in the bottle.

The minister is right that Uganda needs discipline, protected children and a productive population.

So let us aim the enforcement where the harm is.

Efforts to reduce harmful alcohol consumption are legitimate and should be supported, restricting legal trading hours from 3pm carries significant risks of expanding illicit alcohol, reducing tax revenue, affecting jobs and harming farmers, retailers and the hospitality sector.

Sustainable outcomes are more likely to be achieved through balanced regulation, strong enforcement against illicit alcohol and targeted interventions that address harmful consumption without undermining the formal economy.

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