G100 proposal and matters arising

The proposal for a four-year ‘Government of National Competence’ by a coalition of opposition parties is one of the more interesting ideas to emerge from Nigeria’s increasingly active pre-2027 political season. At a summit organised by the G100 in Abuja, representatives of six opposition parties – the African Democratic Congress (ADC), Allied Peoples Movement (APM), Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC), Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), Peoples Redemption Party (PRP) and Social Democratic Party (SDP) – considered a framework built around a single four-year transition term. The proposed Government of National Competence would be anchored on competence, integrity, national inclusion and fair representation, while a four-year ‘National Reset Programme’ would provide its policy framework. The proposal is also expected to be backed by what its promoters describe as an enforceable Transition Charter.

There is something refreshing about a political conversation that attempts to move beyond the familiar arithmetic of who gets which ticket and who controls which party structure. Yet precisely because the proposal is ambitious, Nigerians should resist the temptation either to dismiss it as another opposition strategy for 2027 or to embrace it as an instant solution to the country’s problems. However, what does a four-year transition actually mean within Nigeria’s constitutional democracy?

The Constitution already provides for a four-year presidential tenure. Section 135 (2) states that the President shall vacate office at the expiration of four years from the commencement of the relevant term, subject to the circumstances provided by the Constitution.

Therefore, there is nothing constitutionally unusual about a government serving four years. The novelty in the G100 proposal is not the duration itself, but the suggestion that the political actors involved would voluntarily commit themselves to a single four-year term devoted to a defined national reset.

The Nigerian Constitution recognises a four-year presidential term and permits a person who has not previously been elected President at two elections to contest for the office, subject to the constitutional requirements. Section 137 specifically disqualifies a person who has already been elected President at two previous elections.

This raises a fundamental constitutional question for the proponents of the Transition Charter: can a political agreement among parties create an enforceable restriction on a President’s constitutional eligibility to seek another term? We need to understand that there is an important difference between a political promise and a constitutional limitation.

A presidential candidate can certainly promise Nigerians that he or she will serve only one term. A coalition can also enter into an agreement requiring its candidate to make such a commitment, but if the intention is to create a legal prohibition against seeking another term, the proponents must explain the constitutional mechanism through which this would be achieved.

Political parties or coalition cannot, by agreement alone, amend its provisions. Any alteration to the constitutional framework must follow the prescribed amendment process under Section 9. The National Assembly’s own explanation of the constitutional alteration procedure points to the requirement for supermajorities at the federal and state levels.

However, this does not make the G100 proposal impossible. If the single-term commitment is intended merely as a political covenant, Nigerians should be told so. If it is intended to have legal force beyond a political undertaking, the coalition must explain the constitutional route for achieving that objective.

Nigeria has had no shortage of political agreements. The problem has often been what happens when political circumstances change. As Salihu Moh Lukman, who presented the framework on behalf of the G100, reportedly observed, Nigerian politics has suffered from promises that nobody could enforce when the person who made them changed his or her mind. The G100 has consequently proposed that the commitments be written, witnessed and backed by consequences. That is a sensible starting point, but it immediately raises another issue. What exactly are the consequences, and who has the authority to impose them?

Suppose an opposition coalition wins the 2027 presidential election and its candidate subsequently decides to seek another term. Would the Transition Charter prevent the person from obtaining a party nomination? Could INEC legally reject the nomination because of the Charter? Could a court enforce the agreement? Could coalition parties remove a sitting President for violating it? These questions cannot be left to political rhetoric.

There is, however, a strong argument in favour of the idea that deserves consideration. One of Nigeria’s longstanding governance problems is the dominance of electoral calculations over difficult policy decisions. Politicians understandably think about the next election, the next coalition, the next appointment and the next political battle. A government that voluntarily limits itself to a single term could, in theory, have greater political space to undertake reforms whose immediate costs may be unpopular but whose long-term benefits are substantial.

Such an administration could potentially approach issues such as electricity, public-sector reform, security-sector restructuring, education, taxation, fiscal federalism and institutional accountability with less concern about their immediate electoral consequences. Unfortunately, this argument also has a serious counterpoint. A President who cannot seek re-election may be liberated from the politics of electoral survival, but may also become less directly accountable to voters. The possibility of re-election is not just an incentive for good governance; it is also one of the mechanisms through which voters can reward or punish political leadership.

Based on this, the G100 therefore faces a delicate task. This is, how does it create a government sufficiently free to undertake difficult reforms without creating a government insufficiently constrained by democratic accountability?

The answer cannot simply be a Transition Charter. This requires stronger institutions. An effective single-term government would need an independent judiciary, credible electoral institutions, a legislature capable of exercising oversight, professional security institutions, transparent public procurement, strong auditing mechanisms and a free media capable of scrutinising government. Without these safeguards, ‘national competence’ could become another political label attached to the same old system of patronage.

There is also the question of what makes a government ‘of national competence’. Competence is an attractive word. Everyone wants competent government. But competence must be measurable. If the coalition is serious, it should publish its proposed National Reset Programme before Nigerians are asked to vote for it.

What exactly would be achieved within four years? How many jobs would be created? What would happen to electricity generation and distribution? What security outcomes would be expected? What would be done about public debt and revenue mobilisation? How would education and healthcare be transformed? What institutional reforms would be completed? What would happen to the federal structure? What would be the measurable targets for poverty reduction, agricultural productivity and industrialisation? Without answers to such questions, ‘National Reset’ risks becoming another evocative political slogan.

There is another problem that may prove even more difficult. This is the issue of ‘coalition governance’. The proposed government is expected to bring together political interests that have historically competed against one another. The G100 framework speaks of national inclusion and fair representation among participating parties. That is politically understandable. But there is a danger that ‘fair representation’ could eventually become another expression for sharing offices among political actors.

A ‘Government of National Competence’ should not become a ‘Government of Compensatory Appointment’. If a coalition wins power, the test should not be how many ministries each party receives. The test should be whether the best people available are appointed to the jobs that matter, regardless of which party they belong to.

This is particularly important because the language of competence can easily become contradictory when negotiated within a political coalition. If competence is genuinely the organising principle, some politicians who contribute to the electoral victory may have to accept that they are not necessarily the best people to govern.

That is where the G100’s political test becomes more difficult than its constitutional test. Can Nigeria’s opposition politicians agree on rules before they know who will benefit from them? Can presidential aspirants accept an outcome that excludes them? Can political parties surrender some of their individual ambitions for a common programme? And can those who help build the coalition accept that the reward for political sacrifice may not necessarily be a ministerial appointment?

These are not peripheral questions. They determine whether the proposed arrangement can survive beyond the excitement of the 2027 campaign.

The G100 initiative is therefore worth watching, not because it has already produced a viable alternative government, but because it has opened a conversation that Nigerian politics badly needs: what should an alternative government actually look like?

The opposition’s answer cannot be simply that it will replace the APC. Nor should Nigerians accept the argument that removing one political party automatically constitutes national renewal.

If the proposed Government of National Competence is genuinely intended as a national reset, its proponents should be willing to subject the idea to the same scrutiny they would demand of the government they seek to replace. They should publish the Transition Charter, explain its constitutional basis, identify its enforcement mechanisms, define the limits of the proposed government, set out its reform priorities and establish measurable benchmarks by which Nigerians can judge its performance.

Most importantly, they should tell Nigerians what happens at the end of the four years. If the experiment succeeds, does the country simply return to the existing constitutional order? Would the outgoing President be free to contest again? Would the coalition dissolve? Would its parties return to competition? Or is the four-year government intended to prepare the ground for deeper constitutional and institutional reforms?

These questions matter because political transitions should not be designed around personalities alone. Some of us observing what is happening, we find that the most interesting aspect of the proposal not its potential to defeat the ruling party, but its attempt to change the conversation from who should govern Nigeria to how Nigeria should be governed. That is a much healthier question for a democracy.

But ideas should not be judged by the attractiveness of their names. ‘Government of National Competence’ sounds compelling. ‘National Reset’ sounds urgent. ‘Transition Charter’ sounds reassuring. Yet democratic governance cannot rest on terminology. The real test is whether the proposal can survive constitutional scrutiny, political bargaining, institutional reality and the unpredictable behaviour of politicians once they acquire power.

Nigeria should therefore neither reject the idea because it comes from opposition parties nor accept it because it promises a reset. The proponents should show Nigerians the blueprint, the constitutional pathway, the safeguards and the measurable destination. Four years may be enough to begin a national reset. It will not be enough to repair another political experiment built on promises that were never designed to survive power.

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