NCCR-Mageuzi’s Laila pledges factories, markets, and better health in Zanzibar

Unguja. The NCCR-Mageuzi presidential candidate for Zanzibar, Ms Laila Rajab Khamis, has pledged to tackle unemployment, enhance healthcare provisions, and significantly boost trade across the islands if elected.

Ms Khamis made the declaration on Friday, October 3, 2025, during the official launch of the party’s campaign at the Nego Kibanda Maiti Grounds in the Mjini Magharibi Region. Acknowledging the incumbent government’s existing achievements, Ms Khamis stated that the NCCR ticket intended to deliver far greater progress.

“If we come to power, we shall ensure health services improve and that Zanzibari children are educated to become champions,” she affirmed. She emphasised that employment goes beyond mere job creation, extending to improved remuneration.

“We shall employ citizens within their own areas and increase salaries by 80 percent,” she promised. Ms Khamis addressed the persistent unemployment crisis, stating that the NCCR Mageuzi government would construct numerous factories to eliminate the problem.

“We urge you to vote for us so you may witness the great things we shall achieve once we assume office,” she stated. She pledged that, if elected, she would establish Unguja’s finest market and reinstate crucial loans for traders within her first 100 days in office.

“Mothers, this shall mark the end of your struggles. I will establish a large market here at Kibanda Maiti, unlike anything seen previously, where every trader can bring their goods in their own vehicles,” said Ms Khamis.

Earlier, the party’s running mate for the Union presidency, Ms Eveline Munisi, stated their central goal is to introduce reforms across all sectors in Tanzania. Ms Munisi argued that Zanzibar is economically wealthy, yet its populace does not reap the full benefits.

“Zanzibar has extensive fisheries, but no one benefits. We have come to bring change; we shall provide modern boats for all fishermen,” she declared.

Ms Munisi confirmed the party plans to build an inclusive economy to ensure unemployment is no longer a grievance among Zanzibari youth. “Tourism is performing well, but youth do not benefit.

We shall ensure inclusive growth so that young people gain. The education you possess is sufficient; you should not struggle further.

NCCR-Mageuzi is here to end your complaints,” she stressed. She added that no investment would proceed without significant youth participation, guaranteeing that no future grievances arise.

The party would also empower women by granting them the necessary loans, thereby ending the cycle of exploitative borrowing practices. “When we speak of economic growth, we must view it from the perspective of every Zanzibari, not just as a statistical figure in a report.

When the economy grows, even essential medicines will be provided free of charge,” she maintained. On healthcare, she insisted it is not merely about constructing large physical facilities, but about fundamentally improving service delivery.

“The one party capable of delivering this is only NCCR-Mageuzi. We shall ensure there are sufficient doctors and nurses, and that medicines are readily available in all hospitals,” she confirmed.

Regarding peace, Ms Munisi said they have endeavoured hard to maintain stability, which is why they seek a mandate to organise and improve life for Zanzibaris so that peace endures through the development of a ‘Blue Economy’. “We want to see Zanzibari prosperity for all,” she said.

NCCR’s Deputy Secretary-General in Zanzibar, Mr Ameir Mshindani, said that if elected, they would end the denial of crucial identity cards to rightful Zanzibaris and ensure that local youth are employed in the tourism sector, replacing foreign workers. Deputy Secretary-General for Mainland Tanzania, Mr Martini Mgogo, said their first official agenda is achieving national consensus because currently every group pursues its own distinct agenda.

He stressed that the Union’s existence cannot be merely a single party’s policy, but rather requires agreement through extensive dialogue and genuine consensus. .

Tarlac court voids Guo’s birth certificate

The birth certificate of accused Chinese spy and human trafficker Alice Guo has been voided by a trial court in Tarlac, according to the Philippine Statistics Authority.

At a Senate finance committee hearing yesterday, PSA chief Dennis Mapa told senators that on Sept. 24, the Tarlac City Regional Trial Court Branch 11 granted a petition filed by the Office of the Solicitor General (OSG) to cancel Guo’s certificate of live birth.

‘This is good news for the Philippine government, that it was able to declare as void Alice Guo’s birth certificate,’ Mapa said.

The court ruling came a year after the PSA endorsed to the (OSG) the cancellation of Guo’s birth certificate.

In several incidents in the past, Guo insisted that she was a Filipino, although she was a native-born Chinese. She was accused of spying for the Chinese Communist Party and of faking her Philippine citizenship to be able to run and win in the mayoral race in Bamban, Tarlac.

Prosecutors say Guo used the position to set up an offshore gaming hub in the town, which became a center for human trafficking.

She is accused of taking advantage of the country’s late birth registration system to fraudulently obtain her Filipino citizenship, set up businesses and run for government office.

Guo’s citizenship was questioned due to her inconsistent testimonies about her background.

She is facing multiple charges in connection with her alleged involvement in Philippine offshore gaming operators, which have been linked to human trafficking and other illegal activities.

Senate finance committee chair Sherwin Gatchalian said the system that allows registration years after birth paved the way for foreigners with ill intent to infiltrate the country and become fake Filipinos.

‘One of the biggest gaps in terms of espionage in our country is the late registration process. This is a weakness in our system that can be exploited by people who want to create problems in terms of our country’s national security,’ Gatchalian said.

At the plenary session on Wednesday, Sen. Risa Hontiveros exposed in a privilege speech another case of fraudulent late birth registration, this time involving a son of a mining magnate.

Hontiveros said the subject person also has two passports – Filipino and Chinese – and two birth certificates.

Fil-Chinese businessmen back Customs reforms on fair trade

The Federation of Filipino-Chinese Chambers of Commerce and Industry Inc. (FFCCCII) expressed its support to the Bureau of Customs (BOC) for pursuing a sweeping tight governance measure to avoid corruption inside and outside the agency.

The BOC has implemented the ‘Anti-Conflict of Interest’ policy, a strict ‘No Take’ Policy, and tighter disclosure rules for customs personnel in its bid to protect legitimate businesses and ensure fair trade.

According to BOC Commissioner Ariel Nepomuceno, the initiatives are reinforced by the agency’s digitalization program aimed at streamlining the processes, reducing the red tape, and curbing opportunities.

Nepomuceno said the ongoing reforms – anchored on integrity, accountability and modernization – paid off handsomely following the reported seizures of smuggled goods valued at P2.39 billion.

Such accomplishments, according to Nepomuceno, reflect the agency’s firm resolve to uphold transparency and strengthen public trust in Customs operations, and at the same time, enable the agency to win the support of no less than the FFCCCII.

He thanked the business community for their valuable support.

‘We value the trust and confidence extended to us by the business community. The BOC’s reform agenda is not only about institutional integrity but also about creating an environment where legitimate trade can thrive,’ Nepomuceno said.

‘By working hand in hand with our partners in the private sector, we can ensure that the Philippines becomes a more competitive, transparent, and predictable destination for investment,’ the BOC chief concluded.

Recognizing these efforts, FFCCCII President Victor Lim said the business community welcomes the BOC’s reforms and the Commissioner’s strong stance on integrity and good governance.

‘It is good that there are leaders such as Commissioner Nepomuceno, who uphold integrity in good governance,’ Lim said.

‘In light of the recent issues affecting the Philippine government, it is good that there are leaders such as Commissioner Nepomuceno, who uphold integrity in good governance and create a very competitive and business-friendly environment for businesspeople such as the FFCCCII,’ he said.

‘We are very supportive of such leadership.’

The FFCCCII said the business sector is ready to work closely with the BOC in sustaining reforms, noting that such partnership will not only strengthen the campaign against smuggling but also contribute to national economic growth.

Study: Tree-planting could cut heat risks for millions of Tanzanian farmers

Dar es Salaam. As global temperatures rise, new research has found that growing trees alongside crops could protect millions of Tanzanian farmers from the life-threatening health impacts of extreme heat.

The Kisiki Hai Sustainable Heat Adaptation Development (KISHADE) project has produced the first scientific evidence showing that trees within croplands can significantly reduce heat stress among agricultural workers. The study was conducted in four Dodoma Region districts: Chamwino, Bahi, Kongwa, and Mpwapwa, aimed to evaluate heat adaptation interventions to help manage heat’s health effects.

The research is a collaboration with the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, the University of Dar es Salaam, the University of Dodoma, Muhimbili National Hospital, and MetaMeta. The findings, presented on Friday, October 3, 2025, at the sideline meeting of the 12th Tanzania Health Summit, were made possible through the LEAD Foundation.

An internal medicine specialist and Director of Curative Services at Muhimbili National Hospital, Dr Faraja Chiwanga, who leads the project under LEAD, said the aim is to determine whether agroforestry can improve farmers’ health by transforming their immediate environment. “For years, farmers engaged in the Kisiki Hai (Live Stump) programme, which has restored more than 30 million trees across 260,000 households, have reported that trees offer natural cooling.

The KISHADE project is scientifically testing that claim,” she said. Dr Chiwanga noted that the project, the first of its kind in Tanzania, is funded by the Wellcome Trust and seeks to provide concrete data rather than anecdotal evidence on the health benefits of agroforestry.

With over 70 percent of Tanzania’s workforce engaged in agriculture and exposed to extreme outdoor conditions, the study aims to answer a pressing question: Can trees shield farmers from deadly heat? “The need for this research is dire. Farmers are increasingly vulnerable to heat-related illnesses such as dehydration, chronic kidney disease, and cardiovascular strain,” said Dr Chiwanga.

“The absence of shade or cooling infrastructure makes heat stress a major obstacle to both well-being and productivity,” she added. Researchers are using innovative tools to gather evidence as farmers are observed in their daily routines while wearing sensors that monitor body temperature and heart rate.

She said urine and blood samples are also analysed to assess long-term health impacts. By comparing data from farmers practising agroforestry with those who do not, and using advanced climate sensors, the team sought to determine precisely how trees help protect health.

Head of the Department of Sociology and Anthropology at the University of Dar es Salaam and co-researcher, Dr Richard Sambaiga, said community participation was crucial. “Farmers have welcomed the wearable technology, showing strong engagement.

Ethical approvals were secured without difficulty, and the detailed weather data collected in the first phase has laid a solid foundation for the next stages,” he said. He emphasised that community sensitisation and involvement have been central to the project’s early success.

Beyond the immediate findings, KISHADE is also strengthening local capacity by training young Tanzanian researchers in advanced scientific and field methods, ensuring long-term benefits. The project’s outcomes are expected to influence not only farmers but also policymakers, health professionals, and government agencies.

Non-governmental organisations and international partners stand to benefit from new insights into nature-based climate adaptation. At the same time, donors will gain evidence on the value of investing in environmental and health resilience.

The data on microclimates and human health will contribute to global research on planetary health, with lessons applicable in other heat-stressed regions. Farmers are already noticing changes, as Mr Henry Mubi from Kongwa District in Dodoma says, “The heat is unbearable.

It shortens our working hours and makes farming harder.” “We suffer headaches, fatigue, and dizziness.

With fewer working hours, income falls too. But crops planted in shaded areas survive longer during heatwaves,” he added.

An occupational health expert from the World Health Organisation (WHO), Dr Ivan Ivanov, described the research as a landmark effort. “This is a vital contribution to understanding how nature-based solutions can safeguard human health in a warming world,” he said.

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Activists urge legal reforms to curb rising gendergbased violence

Dar es Salaam. Activists have renewed calls for the government to amend outdated laws, especially aspects of customary law they say underpin much genderbased violence, as cases continue to rise, particularly those facilitated through digital platforms.

The appeal came on Friday, 3 October 2025, from Women in Law and Development in Africa (WiLDAF). This occurred during the National Dialogue on Technology-Facilitated Violence and Violence Against Women in Elections.

The dialogue is part of ongoing efforts leading to the global 16 Days of Activism Against GenderBased Violence campaign. The WiLDAF National Coordinator, Ms Anna Kulaya, reiterated the urgent need for legal reforms, noting that activists have long urged the government to review laws that deny women equal rights to property and inheritance.

“For many years, we have been advocating for changes to customary laws that deny women the right to inherit land and other property. This denial has caused psychological violence and, in some cases, discouraged women from seeking political positions due to online harassment,” she said.

She noted that while technology is a powerful tool, it has also become a channel for abuse. Women engaging in public or political life increasingly face offensive messages on social media, which can discourage their participation and harm their mental health.

According to her, the gathering brought together stakeholders to develop concrete recommendations for government consideration. She emphasised the importance of digital literacy and community awareness to ensure technological spaces uphold women’s dignity and rights.

Citing UN Women research, Ms Kulaya revealed that over 80 per cent of women have experienced various forms of violence, including psychological abuse and technologyfacilitated harassment. She urged the government to address stakeholder demands to update laws in line with present challenges.

“There are several laws requiring urgent amendment, such as the Marriage Act. Other countries have enacted specific legislation to tackle genderbased violence.

As technology, including AI, becomes part of daily life, we must act now,” she added. Tanzania Women CrossParty (TWCP) Country Coordinator, Dr AveMaria Semakafu, said online abuse is a serious threat, instilling fear among women and discouraging political and leadership participation.

“For example, a woman may receive abusive messages directly to her phone and, even with clear evidence, fails to obtain justice,” she said. She added that courts sometimes refuse to accept mobile messages as evidence because laws still discriminate against women.

Dr Semakafu said online abuse also occurs within close relationships, where women receive threatening messages from partners or relatives urging them to withdraw from public engagement or leadership. “As a result, many women fear claiming their democratic rights.

Through this platform, we aim to develop a joint resolution that will awaken and engage key stakeholders,” she said. .

ADC’s Itutu pledges zero tolerance for Corruption in door-to-door campaign

Mwanza. The Alliance for Democratic Change (ADC) has pledged that, if granted the mandate to govern, its immediate priority will be to hold accountable all individuals responsible for the massive misappropriation of public funds.

The declaration was made on Friday, October 3, 2024, in Ilemela District, Mwanza Region, during a door-to-door campaign led by ADC National Chairman, Mr Shabani Itutu, who is also the party’s parliamentary candidate for the Ilemela Constituency. Mr Itutu argued that corruption remains the root cause of many challenges facing citizens, including persistent medicine shortages in public hospitals.

He noted that over Sh30 trillion has been lost to misuse and wastage, according to damning reports by the Controller and Auditor General (CAG) since 2021. Yet, despite names being disclosed, no legal action has been instituted. “We shall end all theft so that government funds can be used to provide free medical services to citizens.

The CAG has named people implicated, but not one corrupt person has been arrested, while a significant amount remains in the hands of a few,” he said. “That is why ADC insists that if we win the presidency and parliamentary seats, we will arrest all corrupt individuals, imprison them, and recover the stolen money for the direct benefit of Tanzanians,” he added.

The party vowed to ensure that everyone involved in looting public resources would face prompt court action. Mr Itutu stressed that all stolen property would be recovered, even if it had been transferred abroad.

He warned corrupt individuals to prepare to return the stolen money for national development. He further noted that Ilemela suffers serious water shortages, promising that ADC, if elected, would build permanent infrastructure, including storage tanks and robust distribution systems for all wards in the district.

He also pledged to resolve the longstanding land disputes troubling the area. Resident, including Mr Adolph Lwaima, welcomed the door-to-door campaign, stating it allowed voters who cannot attend mass rallies to meet candidates and hear their policies directly.

“For now, I run a shop here. I cannot just leave for a rally unless I hear the news.

But I like this approach; it gives us the chance to listen and see them,” he observed. .

When staying home becomes expensive: Men speak out

Dar es Salaam. For many families, home is a place of comfort, rest, and unity.

Yet for a growing number of married men, spending long hours indoors has become something they actively avoid. The reason, they say, is simple: when men stay home, the bills rise.

Some men say it feels almost unbelievable that one extra person at home could make such a difference. For them, even small daily routines seem to push expenses higher.

“It’s like one man can turn a small bill into a huge one. When I’m out, life goes on normally.

When I stay home, suddenly the bills go up,” said a ride-hailing driver, Mr Hamisi Ally. For many, it is not only the financial pressure but also the household atmosphere that becomes challenging.

A bank teller, Mr Jackson Mwita, said, “If I stay all day, I argue with my wife over small things, how I sit, how I use the remote, how I talk to the children. It becomes stressful.

” Entrepreneur Hassan Juma said the problem is also about control, “The house is too small for two bosses. I interfere with how my wife runs things or try to discipline the children differently.

That creates clashes. It’s better to give each other space.

” Women, however, insist that men’s complaints are often exaggerated. A secretary and mother of one, Ms Neema John, said, “My husband says bills rise when he stays home, but sometimes it’s because I suggest we go out together.

Sunday trips or lunch outings increase expenses, but isn’t that part of family life?” A mother of three, Ms Fatuma Kweka, added, “When their father is home, the children want outings, treats, and attention. That should not be seen as a problem, just part of parenting.

” Nurse Esther Rudolf argued that men often use bills as an excuse to avoid responsibilities. “We also stretch the budget when he is home, but it’s because we want to do things as a family,” she said, adding that if women avoided home for the same reason, marriages would suffer.

Electrician Neema Mohamed pointed out a communication gap. “He says arguments increase, yet refuses to talk calmly.

Avoiding home doesn’t solve anything,” she explained. Psychologist, Dr Grace Gidion, said financial concerns are only part of the story.

“Men feel pressure from bills, but what they express is also stress about family expectations,” she said, adding that unresolved conflicts amplify anxiety. “When men avoid home, it can create emotional distance.

Even if they are physically elsewhere, women feel abandoned emotionally, which can lead to resentment. They want support and companionship, but the focus on bills overshadows these needs,” she said.

She emphasised that couples must openly discuss financial and emotional responsibilities. “A balanced home is one where both men and women share duties and recognise that emotional presence matters as much as financial contribution,” she said.

While bills may increase when fathers are present, experts say the real cost of staying away is emotional. Couples who learn to navigate both finances and family time find that shared presence strengthens bonds, builds memories, and teaches children the value of togetherness.

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What Mavunde promised in his first 100 days in Parliament

Dodoma. “In my first 100 days as a Member of Parliament, there will be major changes in land matters in Mtumba Constituency.

People will appreciate this because land must be owned legally, not just claimed visually.” This is the promise from the CCM parliamentary candidate for Mtumba Constituency, Mr Anthony Mavunde, made on Saturday, October 4, 2025. He said these changes will happen if voters elect Samia Suluhu Hassan as President, he wins the parliamentary seat, and all 20 wards in the constituency have CCM councillors.

Mtumba Constituency, comprising 20 wards and 101 streets, was created from Dodoma Constituency, which previously had 41 wards and 222 neighbourhoods. Mtumba was named in honour of the Government City, home to ministries and institutions.

The wards forming Mtumba are Msalato, Makutupora, Chihanga, Hombolo Bwawani, Hombolo Makulu, Ipala, Chahwa, Mtumba, Ihumwa, and Nzuguni. Others are Ipagala, K/Ndege, Miyuji, Makole, Viwandani, Tambukareli, Dodoma Makulu, Iyumbu, and Nghong’ona.

The constituency lies in the eastern part of Dodoma City and hosts several key government institutions, including Parliament, the University of Dodoma (UDOM), Benjamin Mkapa Hospital, the Defence Forces Headquarters, and the Msalato International Airport. In an interview on Saturday, October 4, 2025, Mr Mavunde says his vision is driven by concern for the lives of residents and a strong desire to make Mtumba a model constituency for the nation, with improved living conditions.

Regarding representation, he says he served well when the constituency was larger and sees no reason he should lose now that it is smaller, promising committed service to the people and effectively addressing their problems. He calls on voters to start on October 29, 2025, by supporting President Hassan for the presidency, saying she has led positive developments in Dodoma and will drive further progress in Mtumba.

Land sector Mr Mavunde describes the land sector as a major challenge for residents but says he has never been silent on it and will not remain so. He says he has worked to reduce past disputes, noting that land allocation was a major problem.

His solution includes relocating land officers closer to residents, a project already underway in some areas with disputes. Education sector He pledges to continue what has been started by building more primary and secondary schools, ensuring children have closer access to education.

He promises to purchase photocopy machines to relieve parents and guardians of weekly contributions on Saturdays, which have become a burden. He also promises to install model student seating in schools, facilities not yet found anywhere else in Tanzania.

Health sector Mtumba has four health centres, but Mr Mavunde says more are needed to bring services closer to residents. At the long-standing Makole Health Centre, he says multi-storey buildings will be constructed to expand and upgrade the facility.

He promises to accelerate the building of dispensaries where needed and to improve existing ones to meet modern standards. He stresses his contribution to health services, noting that during his five years in Parliament, he deployed doctors to the constituency, offered free eye care, and distributed more than 5,000 spectacles.

Water services Due to Dodoma’s water shortage, Mr Mavunde says he has petitioned the President for a programme to drill wells in the outskirts of the city, a move he says will bring “good changes.” He cites the drilling of wells in Nzuguni A as an example and says water infrastructure is being completed in many areas of Mtumba so residents can soon stop complaining.

He calls on voters to turn out in large numbers for CCM, promising “good things are coming.” He says water distribution will not wait until November, with experts already working to ensure continued benefits under CCM leadership.

Mr Mavunde promises that within five years of his tenure, a vegetable market will be built in Ihumwa Ward to reduce congestion and costs for residents who now travel to the city centre for trade. The market will serve young farmers from Ihumwa, Nzuguni, Mahomanyika, Mahoma Makulu, Hombolo, and Iyumbu, who currently depend on customers in Dar es Salaam.

He also pledges to revitalise Sabasaba Market by demolishing and rebuilding it so traders can operate freely in a modern environment. He says: “When I spoke about demolition, some politicised it.

I say they may dislike me now, but future generations will remember me, Sabasaba Market will be redeveloped, and no one will lose their place during construction.” He cites improvements at Majengo Market, which initially faced criticism but is now appreciated, and highlights successes at Mavunde Market in Chang’ombe, which he initiated and built.

He says Dodoma City Council has set aside Sh7.6 billion for 10 percent loans for youth, women, and persons with disabilities, but warns voters not to take loans carelessly. “Do not rush in and regret it later.

” Mr Mavunde believes in financial literacy, promising to deploy experts to educate residents before loans are given so people can see the benefits without unnecessary hardship. Mr Mavunde emphasises youth sports, promising to develop the “Mavunde Cup” competition, which has unearthed talent, some of whom now play in the Premier League and First Division.

He says the reduced size of the constituency will allow better competitions, giving more opportunities to young people. Why Samia? He lists five key achievements under the leadership of CCM’s presidential candidate, Samia Suluhu Hassan, who is completing her term: the construction of Msalato International Airport, the ring road, health centres and Nala District Hospital, water projects, and infrastructure improvements in the city centre.

He says her speed of work gives him confidence that within five years, Mtumba and Tanzania will make great progress. Tears in public When asked how he felt on May 15, 2025, when the constituency was divided, he recalled the emotional farewell of residents, saying it was difficult to speak openly while seeing people cry, a moment that moved him to tears.

Nonetheless, Mr Mavunde promises to be a good representative and to cooperate with whoever wins the Dodoma Constituency. He also asks voters to choose the CCM parliamentary candidate and councillors.

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Fitch sees Azerbaijan on strong growth path fueled by Middle Corridor and reform

Despite ongoing global economic headwinds, Azerbaijan’s economy continues to demonstrate resilience and strategic foresight, underpinned by diversification policies, prudent fiscal management, and increasing integration into transcontinental trade routes. The latest forecast from Fitch Ratings reinforces this stability, projecting a real GDP growth rate of 2.5% in 2026, driven by the non-oil sector and major public investments.

According to Arvind Ramakrishnan, Director of the Sovereigns and Supranationals Department at Fitch, this growth rate aligns with Azerbaijan’s medium-term economic potential, reflecting a fundamental shift from hydrocarbon dependence toward a more balanced and sustainable economic model.

‘The key drivers of growth are the accelerated development of the non-resource sector and large-scale public investments,’ Ramakrishnan noted, adding that energy dynamics, while still important, are gradually evolving. As oil production continues its slow decline, natural gas output is expected to partially offset this trend, maintaining energy sector relevance in the broader economic structure.

One of the most critical developments supporting this transition is Azerbaijan’s expanding role in the Middle Corridor-a strategic logistics and transit route formally known as the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route (TITR). Stretching from China through Central Asia and the South Caucasus to Europe via Trkiye, the Middle Corridor has become increasingly important amid global supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions.

Azerbaijan’s geographic position at the crossroads of East and West, combined with substantial investments in transport infrastructure, has enabled the country to become a pivotal player in this corridor. This role not only amplifies Azerbaijan’s geopolitical relevance but also stimulates growth in the transport and logistics sectors, which Fitch identifies as among the most promising areas for expansion.

‘There are good growth prospects in information and communication technologies and transport,’ Ramakrishnan emphasized, highlighting that transit operations within the Middle Corridor are a major catalyst for the latter.

Additionally, reconstruction efforts in the Garabagh region have fueled non-oil sector growth in recent years, contributing to a surge in public investment. However, Fitch anticipates that as capital expenditure peaks, its direct contribution to GDP growth may gradually moderate-suggesting a need for the private sector and export-oriented industries to assume a larger role moving forward.

On the fiscal front, Fitch expects Azerbaijan’s consolidated budget to maintain a surplus of 0.3% of GDP in 2026, although down from 3.6% in 2024. A minor deficit is forecast for 2027, but analysts view this as manageable and not indicative of fiscal stress.

Importantly, Azerbaijan retains its investment-grade rating of ‘BBB-‘ with a stable outlook, a status supported by several macroeconomic fundamentals: a robust external balance, low public debt, and the substantial buffer provided by the State Oil Fund of Azerbaijan (SOFAZ).

These assets give Baku the financial flexibility to absorb external shocks, sustain capital investment, and finance strategic infrastructure projects-particularly those tied to the Middle Corridor and the diversification agenda.

Beyond its immediate economic impact, the Middle Corridor represents a long-term strategic lever for Azerbaijan’s regional and global positioning. As global trade patterns shift and supply chain resilience becomes a top priority for many economies, the corridor is emerging as a viable alternative to traditional maritime routes, particularly for high-value, time-sensitive goods such as electronics and automotive components.

From a policy standpoint, Azerbaijan’s bet on the Middle Corridor reflects a broader effort to transition from resource-driven growth to a model anchored in logistics, digital transformation, and regional connectivity. This positions the country to not only attract investment but also to influence trade flows and economic dynamics across Eurasia.

Fitch’s forecast underscores a key narrative: Azerbaijan’s macroeconomic stability is no longer solely a function of hydrocarbons, but increasingly of diversification, connectivity, and strategic planning. As the Middle Corridor gains momentum and new sectors come online, Azerbaijan appears well-positioned to sustain growth in a challenging global environment, while reinforcing its role as a bridge between continents.