Financial crises are often remembered for how they changed daily life for Filipinos. Prices climbed, jobs became harder to find, businesses struggled to stay open, and families had to make difficult choices just to stretch their budgets.
Behind those everyday experiences were financial shocks that tested the country’s economy and exposed weaknesses in its financial system.
Over time, each crisis left lessons that shaped how the Philippines prepares for the next one. Banks became more tightly regulated, government agencies strengthened their oversight, and new safeguards were introduced to help prevent problems from spreading across the financial sector.
In commemoration of its 33rd anniversary, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) celebrated its journey on July 3 with the launch of ‘Risk and Resilience in the Philippine Financial System: How Much Has Changed?’ Co-edited by Dr. Ramon Moreno, senior consultant to the BSP Research Experts Panel and former visiting professor of economics at the University of the Philippines, and Assistant Governor Veronica B. Bayangos.
Established on July 3, 1993, under the 1987 Constitution and the New Central Bank Act of 1993, the BSP became the country’s central monetary authority, succeeding the Central Bank of the Philippines, established on January 3, 1949.
The transition ushered in a new framework for monetary policy and financial supervision aimed at promoting price and financial stability.
According to Dr. Eli M. Remolona Jr., the seventh Governor of the BSP and Chairman of the Monetary Board, the book was launched to highlight the role that narratives play in shaping financial markets, noting that people respond not only to economic data but also to information they receive from friends, traditional media, and, increasingly, social media.
‘It tells the stories behind some of the most important financial crises in our history, and those stories matter,’ Remolona said.
He added that how narratives spread is key to understanding the evolution of financial crises, warning that one of the greatest risks is the false sense of security created by overly reassuring narratives.
‘How much has changed?’
Divided into seven chapters, the book revisits major episodes that defined the Philippine financial landscape-from the debt and banking crises of the 1980s to the Asian Financial Crisis, the Global Financial Crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic, and other periods of economic stress.
Rather than simply recounting these events, the publication examines how each one influenced policies that continue to underpin financial stability today.
The opening chapter, written by Moreno and Bayangos, examines how the Philippine financial system became more resilient from the 1970s to the 2020s. It explains that earlier crises were more severe because of high public and external debt, heavy reliance on foreign borrowing, weak financial regulation, and limited safeguards.
The authors said later economic shocks, including the COVID-19 pandemic, had a more limited impact as stronger fiscal management, tighter banking regulation, higher foreign exchange reserves, and improved capital and liquidity buffers strengthened the country’s ability to withstand crises.
The chapter also notes that reforms, together with the banks and large conglomerates that managed funding pressures and bad loans, helped contain financial stress. However, the authors caution that underdeveloped capital markets, the complexity of large business groups, and governance issues in infrastructure projects remain as challenges to the financial system’s resilience.
The book also looks back at one of the country’s most difficult economic periods. In the second chapter, Justin Ray Angelo J. Fernandez and Remolona examine La Década Perdida, or the ‘Lost Decade,’ the debt crisis that swept Latin America and also ensnared the Philippines.
The authors say the country’s growing reliance on borrowing from abroad and its weakening debt position made it especially vulnerable when both local and global economic shocks hit in the early 1980s.
Using economist Hyman Minsky’s financial instability framework, they trace how years of rising debt eventually led to the country’s 1983 debt moratorium and years of slow economic growth.
Although debt restructuring under the Brady Plan eventually restored investor confidence and allowed the country to borrow from international markets again, the authors say the episode highlighted the importance of keeping debt at sustainable levels, building financial buffers during good times, and fixing financial problems before they worsen.
Another chapter revisits a lesser-known but defining moment in Philippine financial history, the 1981 default of businessman Dewey Dee. After leaving the country with P700 million in unpaid obligations, Dee’s default represented less than one percent of total private-sector credit at the time.
Yet it triggered the closure of 16 commercial banks, 12 investment houses, and 17 other financial institutions as confidence evaporated and funding across the financial system quickly dried up.
Author Johnny Noe E. Ravalo says the crisis exposed weaknesses that went far beyond a single corporate default. Limited regulatory oversight, inadequate credit information, weak risk monitoring, and the lack of a system for identifying risks that could spread across the financial sector allowed uncertainty to escalate quickly.
The episode showed how the failure of a single borrower could trigger wider financial problems when banks and financial institutions were closely connected, and there was little information available about underlying risks.
More than four decades later, Ravalo says those lessons remain relevant. While the Philippine financial system is now stronger and more advanced, he noted that managing risks that could spread across the financial system remains an ongoing challenge as markets become more interconnected.
He adds that while the next ‘Black Swan’ event cannot be predicted, strengthening risk monitoring remains essential.
The fourth chapter turns to the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis, which abruptly ended the region’s rapid economic expansion and exposed weaknesses in many financial systems.
Written by Diwa C. Guinigundo and Faith Christian Q. Cacnio, the chapter explains how the rapid opening of financial markets, large inflows of foreign capital, and weak financial safeguards left many economies vulnerable to currency crashes, banking problems, and deep economic downturns.
Although the Philippines was affected, the authors say it weathered the crisis better than many of its neighbors. Earlier banking and debt reforms, cautious lending, lower corporate debt, and steady remittances from overseas Filipinos helped cushion the economy.
They also credit timely government policies, including a flexible exchange rate, stricter banking rules, and measures to manage foreign exchange risks, with helping restore market confidence.
The next chapter shifts to the 2007-2009 Global Financial Crisis, which began with the collapse of the United States housing market before spreading across the world.
In their contribution, Dante B. Canlas, Hazel C. Parcon-Santos, and Jose Adlai M. Tancangco explained why the Philippines avoided the recession experienced by many advanced economies.
According to the authors, reforms introduced after the Asian Financial Crisis strengthened the country’s defenses. A stronger banking sector, tighter supervision, healthier bank finances, higher foreign exchange reserves, and local banks’ limited exposure to the risky US mortgage investments that triggered the crisis helped shield the country from the worst of the global turmoil.
These strengths were reinforced by the BSP’s quick response, including providing liquidity to banks, cutting policy rates, lowering reserve requirements, carrying out foreign exchange operations, and granting temporary regulatory relief, alongside economic stimulus from the national government.
The sixth chapter examines how those years of reform were put to the test during the COVID-19 pandemic, which caused the country’s deepest economic contraction since World War II.
Written by Zeno Ronald R. Abenoja, Veronica B. Bayangos, and Dennis D. Lapid, the chapter explains how a stronger financial system helped banks withstand the economic shock despite business closures, income losses, and widespread uncertainty.
The authors say lower interest rates, liquidity support, and temporary regulatory relief helped keep the financial system stable and prevented wider financial problems. While these measures also resulted in higher public debt, lower bank profits, and an uneven recovery, they accelerated the country’s shift toward digital financial services.
The chapter argues that resilience today depends not only on strong financial buffers but also on the ability of government agencies and financial institutions to respond quickly and adapt to technological change.
The final chapter shifts the focus to smaller financial incidents that tested public confidence in banks and other financial institutions.
Veronica B. Bayangos, Elisha G. Lirios, and Benjamin E. Radoc Jr. argue that while these incidents did not grow into full-scale financial crises, they exposed weaknesses that led to important reforms.
Drawing lessons from bank holidays, investment fund scares, and governance issues, the authors explain how each episode led to stronger capital and liquidity standards, tighter governance rules, better coordination among regulators, and a more forward-looking approach to supervision.
Banks also strengthened their internal controls and crisis response plans, improving their ability to stop problems from spreading across the financial system.
‘By understanding how these past crises unfolded, we become better equipped to question optimistic narratives, detect risks earlier, and respond more effectively when the next shock comes,’ Remolona said. ‘The numbers will always matter, but so will the stories we tell about them.’
‘Progress, But Challenges Remain’
Meanwhile, Moreno said the book’s title, How Much Has Changed?, is meant to encourage readers to reflect on whether the Philippine financial system has truly transformed over the decades or whether some challenges have remained unchanged.
‘If you read the book, you may find that both answers are true,’ he said.
While the country has made significant progress since the financial crises of the 1980s, he said, persistent structural issues continue to hinder its long-term economic advancement.
Moreno noted that during the 1970s and 1980s, policymakers in the Philippines and many other countries had a limited understanding of how financial vulnerabilities accumulated and how risks could be managed.
By contrast, he said the country’s ability to withstand economic shocks had improved considerably by the late 2010s.
He attributed this to several reforms, including the establishment of the BSP in 1993, the adoption of inflation targeting, stronger financial regulation and risk management, declining public and external debt from the mid-2000s to 2019, the buildup of foreign exchange reserves, and the country’s attainment of investment-grade credit ratings.
Despite these gains, Moreno said recurring challenges continue to constrain the Philippines’ ability to break out of the so-called middle-income trap, a situation in which many developing economies struggle to advance to high-income status.
Citing World Bank data, he said only 34 countries have moved from middle-income to high-income status since the 1990s, while 108 economies have remained in the middle-income bracket.
Although the Philippines’ recent graduation to upper middle-income status is a welcome milestone, he stressed that reaching the high-income category will require sustained effort.
‘Philippine growth fell behind that of its Asian peers at the time of the debt crisis of the 1980s, and the Philippines has not fully caught up since,’ Moreno said.
He said severe financial crises remain difficult to predict and are often driven by external shocks, such as the global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, which are largely beyond the control of policymakers.
‘Governance also remains an ongoing concern,’ Moreno noted. ‘Some countries have advanced despite weak governance, but the evidence suggests that economic growth and investment are slower and riskier when such problems pass a certain threshold.’
Moreno said the Philippines has built a stronger and more resilient financial foundation over the years, but preserving those gains will depend on ensuring that the lessons from past crises are not forgotten.
‘The book is an effort to highlight some of these lessons and to remind us that much work remains to ensure the progress we have achieved is sustained,’ he said.
uring lessons
Taken together, the seven chapters portray the Philippine financial system as one shaped not by the absence of crises but by the lessons they left behind.
While globalization, digitalization, and financial innovation continue to introduce new sources of risk, the book argues that resilience is built through continuous reforms, stronger institutions, and the ability to adapt before vulnerabilities escalate into full-blown crises.