When the shopper is a robot: Is Nigeria’s fraud rulebook ready for AI agents?

Since June, some Nigerians have been able to buy airtime by typing a sentence into ChatGPT or Claude. Paystack’s new product, Index, lets early-access users ask an AI assistant to buy airtime and data, send money through Zap or order food from Chowdeck, and the payment completes inside the chat. Paystack calls it an experiment and does not expect real traction for at least a year. But the door is open. The person pressing ‘pay’ is no longer always a person.

That should get the attention of the Central Bank of Nigeria, because our fraud rules are written for a world where it is. Nigerian Banking Launch

Late last year, the CBN released draft guidelines for handling authorised push payment fraud, the scams where a customer is tricked into sending money themselves. The draft sets a 14-working-day limit on investigations, requires reimbursement within 48 hours of a concluded investigation, and splits the loss equally between the institutions involved when neither is at fault. For a country where NIBSS says social engineering remains the most common fraud technique, these are welcome steps.

But read the definition closely. The draft describes APP fraud as a case where a customer ‘is manipulated, persuaded, or misled to voluntarily make a payment to a third party’s account.’ The word ‘authorised’ is never defined. Neither is ‘customer’. There is no mention of software, APIs, automated payments or artificial intelligence. Reimbursement is excluded where the customer ‘acted fraudulently or with negligence’, and the customer must have had ‘no cause to suspect fraud’.

Now picture a case that will soon be ordinary. A customer tells her AI assistant to pay a supplier. The assistant reads a fake invoice planted on a web page and pays a fraudster instead. Nobody manipulated the customer. The software was manipulated. Did she ‘voluntarily’ make that payment? Was it negligent to give an assistant permission to pay at all? Under the draft as written, a bank could argue either way, and the customer would be the one waiting for an answer.

Other countries are asking the same question, and they are asking it now.

At Sibos in Miami on 29 September, US Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller put it plainly: ‘Who is on the hook if an agent makes the wrong purchase?’ He added, ‘Existing fraud detection and prevention systems, calibrated to human behaviour, may not translate well to agents.’ In July, the UK Treasury opened a consultation on modernising payment services regulation that asks whether the rules on consent, authentication and liability for unauthorised payments need updating for agent-initiated payments. It closed on 6 October. In April, an IMF note warned, ‘Traditional fraud models rely on human behavioural patterns.’ It recommended that regulators move from Know Your Customer towards Know Your Agent.

The industry is not waiting. On 9 September, Visa, Mastercard and Ant International announced joint work on a Know Your Agent framework, under which each agent is tied to a validated operator, cardholder or business, assessed against security requirements and monitored continuously. They will develop it through a platform convened by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. Mastercard has already launched a service that says it credentials every agent and enforces spending limits set by organisations.

Notice who is at that table. Singapore’s regulator is helping to write the standards that card networks will carry into every market, including ours. If Nigeria does not set its own position, we will inherit one designed for someone else’s consumers. Nigerian Banking Launch

As far as I can tell, the APP guidelines are still in draft. That makes this the cheapest moment to fix them. I would suggest five changes.

First, define ‘authorised’ so that it covers payments made by software acting under a customer’s instruction. The instruction should be recorded as a mandate, showing what the agent may buy, from whom, up to what amount and until when.

Second, allocate liability by the mandate. If the agent paid within the mandate to a payee and the amount the customer approved, the customer carries the outcome. If the agent paid outside it, the institution that accepted the payment without checking the mandate should carry the loss. And a manipulated agent should be treated like a manipulated customer, as fraud, not as negligence. Giving an assistant permission to pay should never, on its own, count as carelessness.

Third, make agent payments visible. NIBSS has just announced a new national payment stack built on ISO 20022, the messaging standard that carries far richer payment data. A simple field flagging that a payment was initiated by an agent, with an identifier for that agent, would let banks, NIBSS and the CBN see what is happening instead of guessing.

Fourth, add that flag to the quarterly fraud returns the draft already requires. Within a year, we would know how many agent payments go wrong and why.

Fifth, test before scaling. The IMF recommends supervised testing for agentic payments. The CBN already runs a regulatory sandbox. Products like Index should be able to grow inside it, with clear rules, rather than outside it with none.

Nigeria knows how to move early. NIBSS says its instant payment system handled 11.2 billion transfers in data published this year. We do not need to wait for Washington or London to finish their consultations. We need to make sure that when a Nigerian’s assistant presses ‘pay’, the law knows who pressed it. Nigerian Banking Launch

Tosin Folarin is a payment strategy leader who has driven regional product growth, monetisation modelling, and card scheme strategy across West Africa for major financial technology organisations. Drawing on his foundational management consulting experience and his track record of scaling digital infrastructure, Tosin brings an authoritative, practical perspective to discussions on emerging payment technologies and regulatory policy.

Cassava Technologies becomes authorised reseller of Anthropic’s Claude AI in Africa

Cassava Technologies has become an authorised reseller of Anthropic’s Claude artificial intelligence models through Amazon Bedrock which gives businesses and other organisations across Africa another route to access advanced AI capabilities.

The agreement, announced on October 27, 2026, is expected to support organisations seeking to integrate AI into their applications and services as businesses across the continent explore ways to improve productivity and increase digital transformation.

Claude, developed by AI company Anthropic, offers capabilities including advanced reasoning, image analysis, code generation and multilingual processing. Through Amazon Bedrock, organisations can access these models and integrate them into their own technology systems.

Cassava’s authorised reseller status allows it to serve as a partner for African organisations seeking access to Claude through Amazon Web Services’ managed AI platform.

Hardy Pemhiwa, president and group chief executive officer of Cassava Technologies, said access to advanced AI models was becoming important for businesses seeking to incorporate artificial intelligence into their operations.

‘Our goal is simple, advanced AI within reach of every business, government, researcher, entrepreneur and university across the emerging markets globally,’ he said. Read Economics

The development comes as technology providers expand access to generative AI tools, which businesses can use to automate tasks, analyse information, develop software and build AI-powered customer services.

Amazon Bedrock provides access to foundation models from multiple AI developers through a managed service, enabling organisations to build generative AI applications without having to host and manage the underlying models themselves.

Residents protest over bandit attacks in Niger communities

Women and children have staged a protest in Rijau Local Government Area of Niger State over persistent attacks, harassment and intimidation by suspected bandits, calling on the government and security agencies to urgently intervene.

Residents from no fewer than 11 communities reportedly participated in the protest. The affected communities include; Shambo, Warari, Inana, Bunu, Darangi and Shaboyu, among others.

It was gathered that several communities had been deserted following repeated attacks, forcing residents to flee to neighbouring towns for safety.

Also, the attacks have disrupted farming activities, with residents unable to access their farms to harvest their crops for fear of being attacked.

The protesters reportedly gathered on Sunday evening at the Palace of traditional rulers in Rijau town to express their grievances over the continued insecurity and the threats to their lives and livelihoods.

The demonstrators, comprising mainly women and children alongside other adults, marched through the streets of Rijau, chanting slogans in Hausa, including ‘Wayo, wayo, wayo, an cika mu da matsala’ and ‘Barayi sun kashe mu,’ expressing their distress over the attacks and killings in their communities.

The protesters appealed to the federal, state and local governments, as well as security agencies, to take urgent and decisive measures to protect lives and property in the areas.

They also called for enhanced security to enable residents to return to their communities, resume farming and other legitimate economic activities, and live without the constant fear of attacks.

As of the time of filing this report, the relevant authorities had yet to respond to the protesters’ grievances.

NESG unveils bill tracker to help businesses monitor proposed lawsLadi Patrick-Okwoli

The Business Bill Intelligence Portal, developed by the Ernest Shonekan Centre for Legislative Reforms and Economic Development (ESC), provides access to information on bills relevant to different sectors.

The portal was launched at the 32nd Nigerian Economic Summit in Abuja, themed ‘Growth that Works: Delivering Jobs, Productivity and Shared Prosperity’.

Proposed legislation can affect regulatory requirements, market access, investment decisions and business costs.

However, businesses seeking to anticipate policy changes and participate in the legislative process may find it difficult to identify relevant bills and track their progress.

The platform lets users search for bills, apply filters, and monitor their progress through different legislative stages.

It also features a dashboard showing bills by legislative stage, while individual bill pages provide information on their status, latest recorded action and legislative history.

Speaking at the launch, Kyari Bukar, chairman of the ESC, said the initiative would strengthen participation in legislative reforms and align lawmaking with Nigeria’s economic development priorities.

‘Laws and proposed legislation can have significant implications for businesses, investment and economic growth,’ Bukar said.

He added that the Centre aimed to promote laws that improve the business environment, encourage investment and create opportunities while protecting the public interest.

The initiative builds on the NESG’s engagement with the legislature through the National Assembly Business Environment Roundtable (NASSBER), established in 2016 to facilitate dialogue between lawmakers and the private sector on legislative reforms.

The NESG subsequently supported the establishment of the State Assemblies Business Environment Roundtable (SABER), extending the engagement to state legislatures.

Established in 2023, the ESC focuses on research, advocacy and legislative reforms to support economic development.

The portal provides a platform for stakeholders to monitor proposed laws and participate in discussions on legislation affecting the business environment.

Uchenna Ogbonna, executive director of the ESC, said the portal was designed for businesses, citizens, civil society organisations, journalists, researchers, government agencies, legislators and National Assembly staff.

He said businesses could use the platform to track proposals affecting their industries, while citizens could monitor bills that may affect them. Legislators and researchers could also use the information in their work.

NRS allays fears over bank deductions under new tax reforms

Ismail Abdullahi, state administrator of the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS) for Jigawa, Kano and Katsina states, has assured taxpayers in the region that obtaining a Tax Identification Number (Tax ID) does not automatically authorise deductions from their personal bank accounts.

Abdullahi said sustained engagement with individuals, businesses and other stakeholders was necessary to address misconceptions about the new tax reforms, improve public understanding and encourage voluntary compliance.

He spoke at a one day stakeholder engagement on tax compliance, held Tuesday, in Kano, where concerns were raised about the implications of the reforms for personal finances, business operations and revenue allocations to state governments.

According to him, taxpayers have expressed concerns about whether money received from relatives or borrowed for business purposes would be treated as taxable income, whether banks would automatically deduct taxes from their accounts and whether the new requirements would impose additional burdens on small businesses.

Abdullahi acknowledged that the concerns were understandable, noting that individuals and businesses needed clarity on how the reforms would affect their finances and operations.

He explained that Tax ID requirements did not, in themselves, permit automatic deductions from personal bank accounts, adding that any tax recovery must follow applicable legal provisions and procedures.

He also clarified that the standard Value Added Tax (VAT) rate remained 7.5 percent.

Abdullahi said clear and practical explanations of the reforms would help taxpayers distinguish between actual legal requirements and misconceptions, thereby reducing anxiety and preventing compliance errors.

‘Putting taxpayers first means making these explanations available, speaking to you respectfully, and helping you understand how to meet your obligations,’ he said.

Helios targets 49% stake in Mozambique’s largest flour milling company, Merec

Helios Investment Partners (Helios) and Invictus Investment (INVICTUS) disclosed that Helios Fund V (Helios V) has entered into an agreement to acquire from Invictus Investment up to a 49 percent interest in Stratton Africa Holdings Limited, the Mauritius-incorporated holding company of Merec Industries (Merec).

Helios is a leading Africa-focused private investment firm while Invictus Investment is a leading holding company specialised in agro-food commodities across the Middle East and Africa.

The transaction is expected to close by the end of 2026, subject to customary closing conditions, including regulatory approvals, after which Invictus Investment will remain the majority shareholder.

Akin Gump Strauss Hauer and Feld is acting as legal counsel to Helios, with GDA Advogados as Mozambican counsel. Freshfields is acting as legal counsel to Invictus Investment.

Founded in 1998, Merec is Mozambique’s largest flour milling company, processing wheat and corn into an integrated product portfolio spanning flour, pasta, biscuits and animal feed.

Its mills, production facilities and silos are strategically located in each of Mozambique’s three principal port regions: Beira, Maputo and Nacala – making it the only miller with manufacturing facilities in all three. Merec also owns a grain terminal at the port of Maputo.

This footprint supports a nationwide distribution network serving wholesalers, retailers, bakeries, feed producers and distributors, underlining Merec’s important role in the production and supply of essential food products across Mozambique.

Invictus Investment acquired Merec in January 2025 through the purchase of its holding company, Stratton Africa Holdings Limited, as part of its strategy to expand its agro-food business in high-potential African markets and strengthen its capabilities across the value chain. Read Economics

Since the acquisition, Merec’s operating performance has improved significantly, and this has prompted a more ambitious growth strategy to expand the business beyond its core operations into new food categories in Mozambique and across the wider Southern African Development Community (SADC) region.

The new partnership will support these plans by combining Helios’ track record of investing in and supporting market-leading businesses across Africa and Invictus Investment’s expertise across the agro-food value chain.

Together, the shareholders will also work on furthering Merec’s governance framework, leadership capabilities, ESG practices and broader development impact.

Tope Lawani, co-founder and managing partner of Helios Investment Partners said: ‘Merec has built a distinctive position in Mozambique, with a nationwide footprint, strong brands and an important role in the country’s staple foods market. The consumer non-discretionary sector is a key strategic focus for Helios, and we bring a proven track record of investing in and scaling resilient businesses that serve essential consumer needs across Africa. We see significant opportunity to build on Merec’s strengths and are pleased to partner with Invictus Investment and the management team to support the company’s next phase of growth.’ Read Economics

Amir Daoud Abdellatif, CEO of Invictus Investment, said: ‘We welcome Helios, one of Africa’s leading private equity investors, as our partner in the expansion of Merec. With its strong focus on high-growth sectors across the continent, Helios’ regional expertise will be instrumental in accelerating Merec’s next phase of growth. Since Invictus Investment’s acquisition of Merec, its position as Mozambique’s largest flour milling company has been strengthened and consolidated, and now, our shared ambition with Helios is to build on the business’s contribution to food security and local employment in Mozambique and develop it into a regional food platform for Southern Africa.

‘This partnership aligns perfectly with our strategic approach to acquisitions, which has always been to build strong businesses alongside high-calibre partners that support our long-term vision of building a fully integrated agro-food enterprise,’ Abdellatif said.

Digital access drives NGX Group’s 9M profit growth by 83.3% to N20.6bn

Nigerian Exchange Group Plc (NGX Group) has reported profit before tax (PBT) of N20.6 billion for the nine months (9M) ended September 30, 2026, up 83.3 percent from N11.2 billion in the same period of 2025.

Profit after tax (PAT) rose 86.4 percent to N14.7 billion, already 40 percent above the Group’s full-year 2025 profit after tax of N10.5 billion, with a quarter of the year still to run.

The performance reflects a structural shift in Nigeria’s capital market: more investors, increasingly retail and increasingly onboarding through digital self-service channels, trading more often across a deeper market.

NGX Group is converting that activity into earnings while improving efficiency and investing in the people and infrastructure the next phase of growth requires.

Earnings per share (EPS) was N5.33 for the period, reflecting the enlarged share base following the 1-for-3 bonus issue approved by shareholders in April 2026 (9M 2025 restated for the bonus issue: N2.68).

Transaction fees more than doubled to N20.7 billion. Growth was driven by higher trading volumes and a widening investor base, as retail investors increasingly access the market through digital self-service, from account opening to order execution, on platforms connected to the Exchange.

Listing fees grew by 24.4 percent to N3.7 billion, reflecting continued capital raising activity and continued new admissions to the market.

The Group’s results mirror the value being created for investors across the market. As at September 30, 2026, the NGX All-Share Index (ASI) had gained 61.43 percent year-to-date (YtD), while equity market capitalisation rose by 64.12 percent from N99.38 trillion as at December 2025 to N163.10 trillion, representing an increase of N63.72 trillion.Read Economics

This growth reflects the significant expansion in the value of listed equities held by millions of Nigerians, pension funds and institutional investors.

Total income grew faster than operating expenses (64.8 percent versus 56.8 percent), lowering the cost-to-income ratio to 49.7 percent from 52.3 percent and lifting operating profit by 73.5 percent to N14.9 billion.

Cost growth reflects deliberate investment in capacity ahead of the next stage of market development, chiefly: People: strengthening talent in technology, market surveillance, product and investor engagement to support a larger, faster-moving and more digital market; Market infrastructure and facilities: upgrading the physical and operational infrastructure that underpins market resilience and continuity; Market development and partnerships: investor education, issuer engagement and the African partnerships that broaden the Exchange’s reach. Read Economics

These investments lay the foundation for the Group’s technology roadmap, including platform modernisation, data services and digital access, which management expects to drive further operating leverage as volumes scale.

Share of profit from equity-accounted investees rose 69.6 percent to N5.7 billion, driven primarily by Central Securities Clearing System Plc (CSCS), underlining the value of the Group’s position across the market value chain.

Total assets stood at N79.1 billion and shareholders’ equity at N61.1 billion as at September 30. Shareholders received N8.2 billion in dividends during the period, up 86.7 percent, in addition to the 1-for-3 bonus issue.

Umaru Kwairanga, Group Chairman, NGX Group said: ‘These results show what a well-governed and strategically astute market institution can deliver as Nigeria’s capital market deepens’. Nigerian Banking Launch

‘Our priority as a board has been to ensure that the capital market grows in terms of products, listed companies and investor participation and that the growth is matched by disciplined cost allocation to investments that strengthen the market’s foundations.

‘We are focused on returning optimal value to our shareholders through consistent robust dividends and bonus issues in tandem with the market and the company’s growth,’ he noted.

Temi Popoola, Group Managing Director/Chief Executive Officer, NGX Group said: ‘More Nigerians are investing, and more of them are doing it digitally. That broadening participation has more than doubled our transaction revenue and is creating real wealth for investors. Buy Maps

‘We are investing ahead of that curve, in our people, our infrastructure and our technology roadmap, so that the market can absorb the next wave of investors efficiently and securely. Our focus for the rest of the year and beyond is to scale our platforms, deepen market data and digital access, and extend our partnerships across Africa,’ he added.

David Daniel Igbigbi highlights the importance of reliable software engineering and Africa’s technology talent

As Africa’s digital economy continues to expand, the demand for software engineers capable of building and maintaining dependable technology is growing. Nigerian technology professional David Daniel Igbigbi believes that meeting this demand requires more than teaching young

people to write code. It also requires equipping them with the practical skills needed to develop, maintain and scale reliable digital systems.

With professional experience spanning Duplo Finance, International Breweries Plc, part of the AB InBev Group, and The Bulb Africa, Igbigbi has worked across technology environments where software performance, business operations and system reliability are closely connected.

According to Igbigbi, effective software engineering involves understanding the business problems a system is expected to solve, anticipating operational challenges and making technical decisions that support long-term reliability.

Building Software Businesses Can Depend On

Financial technology and enterprise environments place significant demands on software engineers. Systems supporting payments, settlements, reconciliation, expense management and approvals must maintain accuracy and reliability while integrating with other services and business processes.

Igbigbi noted that software that performs well during development may encounter challenges in production when transaction volumes increase, external services fail or different components interact unexpectedly.

He explained that engineers must look beyond whether a feature works as intended and consider how a system responds to failure, how it recovers and whether its data remains accurate. He also emphasised that changes must be introduced carefully to avoid disrupting existing operations.

In financial technology, where transaction processing and reconciliation require particular attention, reliability is essential to maintaining accurate records and supporting customer confidence.

Igbigbi stressed that system design, testing, monitoring, security and maintainability should be considered throughout the development process rather than treated as afterthoughts.

Igbigbi observed that learning a programming language provides a foundation, but professional software engineering requires a broader range of capabilities. Developers must be able to navigate existing codebases, investigate unfamiliar systems, identify the causes of failures and evaluate architectural trade-offs.

He added that practical engineering also requires knowledge of version control, testing, security, performance, deployment and collaboration within technical teams.

According to him, these capabilities develop through practice, constructive feedback and exposure to increasingly complex problems. He argued that theoretical learning becomes more effective when developers have opportunities to apply their knowledge, make technical decisions and understand the consequences of those decisions.

He emphasised that emerging engineers need to learn not only how to implement a feature but also why a particular approach is suitable and what trade-offs it may introduce.

Why Mentorship Matters in Developing Engineering Talent

Igbigbi believes that practical mentorship can help young developers prepare for the expectations of professional engineering teams.

He explained that effective mentorship should go beyond demonstrating how to implement a feature. It should help developers understand system design, assess alternative solutions and recognise the advantages and limitations of different technical approaches.

According to Igbigbi, emerging engineers should be encouraged to develop curiosity and independent problem-solving skills. He noted that understanding when to use a tool, recognising its limitations and knowing how it fits into a larger system are just as important as learning how to use it.

He said the ultimate goal should be to help young developers become professionals who can take responsibility for the systems they build.

Connecting Mentorship to Career Opportunities

Practical mentorship can help developers understand workplace expectations and prepare for more demanding technical responsibilities.

Igbigbi explained that experience in problem-solving, collaboration, code quality and scalable application development can help young engineers demonstrate their capabilities to prospective employers.

His talent-development experience has included guiding younger developers, some of whom have reportedly progressed to opportunities within technology and enterprise environments associated with organisations such as AB InBev and Netchex.

These experiences, he noted, highlight the value of connecting technical learning with practical workplace expectations.

However, Igbigbi also stressed that mentorship alone does not guarantee career success. Developers must remain committed to continuous learning, build projects that demonstrate their skills, seek constructive feedback and develop the discipline to solve problems independently.

Strengthening Africa’s Engineering Capacity

Igbigbi believes that strengthening Africa’s engineering talent pipeline requires collaboration among educational institutions, technology companies, experienced professionals and initiatives that provide practical learning opportunities.

He noted that developers must move beyond building applications solely for demonstrations and learn to account for reliability, security, scalability and the operational realities of serving real

users.

Developing these capabilities, he argued, can help technology businesses strengthen their products, improve their operations and compete in more demanding markets. Read Economics

Looking ahead, Igbigbi believes that successful African engineers will need to combine technical depth with sound judgment, adaptability, communication and an understanding of business

needs.

He added that familiarity with a particular programming language or framework would not be enough in an industry where technologies change rapidly. Engineers must continue learning, evaluate unfamiliar problems and make responsible technical decisions.

For African developers, he said, there is an opportunity to build technology that addresses local needs while meeting international standards.

Building Technology That Solves Real Problems

Igbigbi’s advice to young developers is to measure progress by more than coding speed or the number of technologies they know.

He encouraged emerging engineers to focus on understanding problems deeply, building solutions carefully and learning how systems behave in real-world environments.

He also emphasised the importance of taking feedback seriously, learning from mistakes and working collaboratively with other engineers.

According to him, software engineering is ultimately about creating solutions that people can depend on. Developing reliable, maintainable and useful software requires continuous learning and a sustained commitment to engineering quality.

As Africa’s digital economy evolves, Igbigbi’s perspective highlights the importance of investing not only in technology infrastructure but also in the people responsible for building and maintaining it.Read Economics

Nigeria sees Africa’s biggest jump in investment attractiveness ranking

October 27, 2026

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In this article

Capital inflows rise, but long-term investment remains limited

Reforms underpin Nigeria’s recovery

Morocco overtakes South Africa

Resilience shapes investment decisions

…nears continent top 10 spots

Nigeria sees Africa’s biggest jump in investment attractiveness ranking

Nigeria climbed seven places to 11th in Africa’s investment attractiveness rankings for 2026/27, the continent’s biggest upward movement in the latest edition, as economic reforms begin to improve investor perceptions of the country, according to Rand Merchant Bank (RMB).

The West African country recovered from 18th position in the 2025/26 edition, when it fell nine places amid the economic pressures triggered by fuel subsidy removal, foreign exchange liberalisation and other macroeconomic adjustments.

The African corporate and investment firm said the rebound reflects growing confidence that the reforms are laying the groundwork for more sustainable economic growth, although Nigeria remains outside the continent’s top 10 investment destinations.Nigerian Banking Launch

‘Investors may disagree on the pace of the recovery, but there is increasing clarity regarding the direction of travel,’ it said in its Where to Invest in Africa 2026/27 report released on Tuesday.

The report attributed Nigeria’s improved ranking to reforms aimed at correcting economic imbalances, including the removal of the petrol subsidy, foreign exchange market liberalisation and broader macroeconomic adjustments.

‘Nigeria’s improved position in the current overall rankings reflects the view that these reforms, despite their immediate costs, are resetting the economy onto a more sustainable course,’ the report said. Read Economics

It added that foreign exchange unification had improved price discovery and helped attract capital that had previously been deterred or trapped, while subsidy removal had freed up fiscal space. The rebasing of national accounts and inflation statistics, it said, had also given policymakers better tools to assess structural weaknesses and allocate resources. Nigeria’s rebound follows Côte d’Ivoire’s rise in the previous edition. The West African economy recorded the largest upward movement in the 2025/26 rankings, climbing eight places from 16th to eighth, before advancing another place to seventh in the latest edition.

RMB attributed Côte d’Ivoire’s continued rise to strong economic growth, disciplined implementation of reforms, infrastructure development and expanding hydrocarbon production.

Capital inflows rise, but long-term investment remains limited

Nigeria’s improved ranking comes amid a sharp increase in foreign capital inflows, although the composition of those investments raises questions about the durability of the recovery.

Capital inflows reached an estimated $23.2 billion in 2025, nearly double the $12.3 billion recorded in 2024, according to RMB. The report attributed the increase to a steadier naira, easing inflation and double-digit yields that restored the country’s appeal to investors seeking returns from financial assets.

Portfolio investment accounted for 85 percent of the total, equivalent to $19.74 billion, while foreign direct investment (FDI) contributed just 4 percent, or $923 million.

Although FDI increased from $675 million in 2024, it remained a small share of total inflows, highlighting the gap between attracting investors into financial assets and securing long-term capital for productive activities.

Capital inflows rose further to $10.4 billion in the first quarter of 2026, with portfolio investment continuing to account for a substantial share, the report said.

The figures show that improving confidence in Nigeria’s financial markets has yet to translate into a comparable expansion in direct investment in businesses and productive assets.Nigerian Banking Launch

RMB traced much of Nigeria’s economic adjustment to the removal of the petrol subsidy in May 2023 and the unification of foreign exchange windows the following month.

The reforms initially triggered substantial economic pressures, including sharp currency depreciation and higher consumer prices. Inflation rose to a peak of 34.8 percent year-on-year before easing to 15.2 percent by the end of 2025, according to figures cited in the report.

Nigeria’s real gross domestic product grew by 3.9 percent in 2025, compared with 3.4 percent in 2024, supported by stronger oil production and a resilient services sector.Nigerian Banking Launch

The Central Bank of Nigeria projected growth of about 4.5 percent in 2026, underpinned by continued reform gains, rising external reserves and a gradual easing of inflation.

However, RMB cautioned that the improvement in headline inflation did not necessarily mean household pressures had disappeared. Food inflation fell to 8.9 percent in January 2026 before rising to 14.3 percent in March, highlighting the fragility of the disinflation trend.

The report also noted that Nigeria’s GDP rebasing raised the estimated size of the economy in 2024 from about $188 billion to approximately $243 billion, reflecting the adoption of a new base year and the inclusion of previously underrepresented economic activities.

Morocco overtakes South Africa

Beyond Nigeria’s recovery, the rankings highlight a shifting investment landscape across Africa, with Morocco overtaking South Africa to become the continent’s fourth-most attractive investment destination.

Morocco advanced one place, while South Africa slipped to fifth, as differences in growth momentum, industrial competitiveness and investment performance reshaped their relative positions.

The Arab nation’s economy grew by 4.9 percent in 2025, compared with 1.1 percent in South Africa, according to RMB. Its automotive manufacturing industry, export diversification, infrastructure investment and ability to attract foreign direct investment have strengthened its appeal.

‘The country has emerged as one of Africa’s leading manufacturing hubs, particularly in automotive production, while maintaining macroeconomic stability and attracting substantial foreign direct investment,’ the report said.

South Africa, which is the continent’s largest economy, continues to benefit from deep financial markets, improving energy security and reform momentum. However, slower economic growth and persistent structural constraints contributed to its loss of ground.

Seychelles and Mauritius retained first and second positions, respectively, while Egypt remained third.

AFRICA FINANCE IN BRIEF: Dangote’s $53bn fortune, Morocco’s banking lead and rising inflation risks

Morocco has reclaimed the top spot in the continent’s safest banks ranking, while Aliko Dangote’s fortune has climbed to $53.2 billion as Dangote Cement’s market value crossed N20 trillion for the first time. But beneath the investment optimism, inflationary pressures are resurfacing, raising fresh questions about how much room African central banks have to cut interest rates.

Meanwhile, the IMF’s latest GDP revisions added $99.4 billion to the estimated size of African economies between April and October, even as renewed tensions over the Iran war threaten growth prospects.

Here are five developments shaping the continent’s financial outlook.

Morocco reclaims top spot from S/A in Africa safest banks ranking

Moroccan banks have reclaimed dominance in Africa’s safest banks ranking, with Attijariwafa Bank returning to the top spot for the first time since 2023 and reversing South Africa’s two-year lead among the continent’s highest-ranked lenders.

The 2026 ranking by Global Finance, a New York-based financial publication, places Moroccan banks in all four leading positions, with Attijariwafa Bank climbing two places to number one, followed by Groupe Banque Centrale Populaire, Bank of Africa, and Saham Bank, which entered the top four.

Why it matters: The rankings highlight the changing competitive landscape in African banking. Morocco’s performance strengthens its position as a regional financial hub and raises questions about how banks across the continent are managing risk, capital strength and financial stability.

Dangote’s fortune hits $53.2bn as cement valuation crosses N20trn for first time

Aliko Dangote’s estimated fortune rose to $53.2 billion on Monday as shares in Dangote Cement surged to a record high, pushing the company’s market capitalisation above N20 trillion for the first time.

BusinessDay’s analysis of Forbes’ real-time billionaire tracker showed that Dangote added $1.2 billion to his estimated wealth on Monday, taking his net worth to $53.2 billion from $51 billion on October 20. Meanwhile, Dangote Cement’s market capitalisation climbed to N20.6 trillion as its shares rose 10 percent to N1,222.10. The rally came ahead of the closing of the Dangote refinery IPO on October 27.

Why it matters: Dangote Cement’s milestone reflects the growing scale of Nigeria’s equity market and the influence of large industrial companies on investor wealth. Investors will also be watching whether the refinery’s anticipated listing next month can sustain interest in Nigerian equities and encourage other major businesses to consider public listings.

Africa’s progress in taming inflation showed signs of losing momentum last month as eight of the 16 economies tracked recorded higher annual inflation, reversing the trend in August when more than half reported declines.

BusinessDay analysis of inflation data from Trading Economics shows that seven countries recorded lower inflation in September than in August, while one remained unchanged.

Why it matters: Renewed inflation could complicate central banks’ efforts to reduce borrowing costs. If energy and food prices rise further, households could face renewed pressure on purchasing power, while businesses may contend with higher operating costs.

Africa’s rate-cut cycle faces fresh threat from renewed oil shocks, El Niño

Africa’s interest-rate cutting cycle faces a fresh threat as renewed oil-price shocks and the prospect of an intense El Niño weather event raise the risk of resurgent inflation, potentially forcing central banks to pause rate cuts or tighten monetary policy.

The twin pressures are emerging just as policymakers seek to support credit growth, investment and economic recovery after an extended period of restrictive monetary policy. Higher oil prices are increasing fuel, transport and production costs, while the threat of disrupted rainfall and agricultural output could push food prices higher across vulnerable economies.

Why it matters: If inflation accelerates again, central banks may have less room to cut interest rates. That could keep borrowing costs elevated for households and businesses, complicating efforts to stimulate investment and economic growth.

African economies see $99.4bn GDP upgrade amid renewed Iran war shocks

African economies received a net $99.44 billion upward revision to their estimated Gross Domestic Product (GDP) between April and October 2026, even as renewed conflict involving Iran threatens to raise energy costs, fuel inflation and weaken growth prospects across the continent.

A comparison of the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) April and October editions of its World Economic Outlook (WEO) shows that GDP estimates increased in 34 of 52 African countries covered, while 18 recorded declines.

Why it matters: The upward revisions suggest that the economic size of much of the continent is being reassessed, potentially influencing how investors evaluate market opportunities. However, larger GDP estimates do not automatically translate into higher living standards, and rising external costs could undermine growth prospects.