’Unrest in many parts of the globe may disrupt supply chains’

GEOPOLITICAL unrest in places like Thailand, Indonesia, the Philippines, Nepal, Japan, the USA, and across Europe may disrupt supply chains through protests, regulatory shifts, and ‘unstable’ governments, according to a report published by global logistics provider Dimerco Express Group.

‘These events can lead to port slowdowns, border delays, and unpredictable sourcing changes, especially in labor, raw materials, and transport logistics,’ Dimerco’s Asia Pacific Freight report for October 2025 noted.

October is a ‘turning point’ for global logistics, according to Kathy Liu, Vice President for Global Sales and Marketing at Dimerco Express Group, as this month is hounded by ‘peak-season demand, layered with geopolitical uncertainty and tariff changes.’

These developments, she pointed out, are creating ‘one of the most complex supply chain environments we’ve seen in years.’

As such, she advised businesses to ‘stay agile, plan early, and diversify their logistics strategies to mitigate disruptions.’

Dimerco said the October report highlights growing geopolitical risks-including protests, regulatory changes and trade negotiations ‘that could further destabilize supply chain operations.’

The global logistics provider said these are the developments along the supply chain that countries should watch out for, on top of the rising freight rates amid peak season.

In the case of the Philippines, goods being shipped through the seas may be slapped with higher freight rates in October 2025.

Dimerco’s freight report showed that ocean freight rates imposed on Philippine cargo bound for Asia, Europe and the United States are seen to rise this month.

As to the capacity of this cargo, the report said market is picking up, but demand of space can still be met by current supply.

In terms of the rates that may apply on Philippine cargo being shipped by air, the freight report divulged that only products bound for the United States may see rising freight rates.

Air freight rate for goods transported bound for Asia will remain stable in October with ‘soft’ capacity, meaning supply is greater than demand. Meanwhile, Philippine goods bound for Europe will see stable air freight rate but capacity is on an upturn, meaning, market is picking up but demand of space can still be met by current supply.

For the air freight market of the Philippines, Dimerco cautioned that with La Niña expected to begin in October 2025, this may affect flight operations and cause temporary road closures.

Moreover, the report said: ‘Peak-season imports of holiday goods and year-end inventory may cause localized short-term capacity constraints and higher rates in late October to early November.’

Liu, Dimerco’s Vice President for Global Sales and Marketing, explained that September to November is always the peak season for air freight.

‘This year, demand growth is more focused on Southeast Asia, particularly Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, and Singapore,’ Liu said.

‘With high-tech, AI, and semiconductor production increasing in these countries, more finished goods are being shipped out. As a result, we expect capacity pressure at major transit hubs including Singapore, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Korea,’ she also noted.

Coco-based export earnings surge 44% to $2.2B in 8 months

THE country’s earnings from coconut-based products surged by 44 percent to over $2.2 billion as of August, as supply constraints pushed prices.

Data from the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) showed that the value of coconut-based exports leaped to $2.26 billion as of the end of August from $1.57 billion a year ago.

Shipments of coconut oil led the product group among other products, as it jumped by 43 percent to $1.83 billion in the reference period from $1.28 billion last year.

Industry sources said coconut oil prices have been on an upswing, propelled by tight supply from major producing countries due to adverse weather effects and the spike in quotations for other vegetable oils.

Historical figures from the World Bank showed that the average price of coconut oil skyrocketed to a record $2,771 per metric ton (MT) in July.

If this trend continues, the Philippine Coconut Authority (PCA) said the country’s export receipts from coconut oil alone will hit a new record high in 2025.

Such an outlook stemmed from growing demand and surging prices of the tropical oil in the world market. Last year, coconut oil earnings grew to $2.22 billion.

The World Bank expects coconut oil products to average at $1,800 per MT this year, higher than the average price of $1,519 per MT posted in 2024.

Meanwhile, the country’s outbound shipments of desiccated coconut skyrocketed by 75 percent to $323.52 million in January to August from $185.15 million in the previous year.

Export revenues of other coconut products also grew by 45 percent to $75.82 million from $52.49 million.

However, earnings from the outbound shipments of copra meal or cake slumped by 45 percent to $26.49 million from $48.08 million.

The United Coconut Association of the Philippines (Ucap) recently said export receipts from coconut-based products could hit as high as $3 billion in 2026 on the back of an expected rebound in output.

Meanwhile, PSA data also indicated that the country’s exports of fruits and vegetables during the reference period jumped by 21.3 percent to $1.9 billion from $1.55 billion.

Outbound shipments of bananas led the category, rising by 29 percent to $1.05 billion from last year’s $818.37 million, based on PSA data.

Exports of pineapple juice grew by 32.5 percent to $92.1 million from $69.5 million a year ago. However, shipments of canned pineapple dropped by 0.8 percent to $141.88 million from $143.06 million.

Solon eyes pension program for farmers, fishermen

Rep. Nathaniel Oducado of 1Tahanan Party-list has filed a proposed measure which aims to create Agricultural Pension Program for the country’s farmers and fishermen.

Oducado said that House Bill No. 5009, also known as Pensyonadong Magsasaka at Mangingisda, seeks to create an agricultural pension program to provide long-overdue social security and pension benefits to the country’s farmers and fisherfolk.

The lawmaker pointed out that despite being the backbone of national food security, farmers and fishermen remain among the poorest in the country.

He said that in 2023, poverty incidence was recorded at 27.0 percent among farmers and 27.4 percent among fisherfolk, placing them among the top three poorest sectors in the country. Unlike workers in the formal sector, they are largely excluded from the national social security system, leaving them vulnerable in times of old age, illness, or disability.

Oducado pointed out that the proposed measure will establish a comprehensive pension and social security program, while also offering an educational scholarship to the legitimate and legally adopted sons and daughters of registered farmer and fisherfolk beneficiaries – with reasonable allowances for supplies and other academic needs.

‘This aims not only to secure their present welfare but also to break the cycle of poverty by ensuring access to quality education,’ he said.

‘Farmers and fisherfolk play an essential role in our survival and national development. It is only right that the State ensures a decent quality of life, reliable retirement support, and opportunities for their children’s future,’ Oducado also said.

The bill highlights real-life stories like that of Mang Romeo, a farmer from Nueva Ecija who, at 70, continues to toil in the fields, but despite decades of service receives no retirement support from the government.

‘His experience mirrors the plight of millions who, without social protection, are forced to work well into their senior years,’ Oducado stressed.

‘With this program, we want to give dignity, security, and hope to those who feed our nation,’ Oducado added.

DPWH: Cebu earthquake results in initial P2B worth of damages

An initial ?2 billion pesos estimated worth in infrastructure damages was reported by the Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH) from the 6.9 magnitude earthquake that struck Cebu province on Tuesday evening, Sept. 30, 2025.

In a press conference, DPWH Sec. Vince Dizon said the figures could still go up as their teams continue to conduct more assessments.

Dizon told reporters that right now their priority are clearing the roads and providing access for unhampered delivery of relief goods to the affected areas.

‘We were sent here by the President [Ferdinand ‘Bongbong’ Marcos Jr.] quickly respond immediately to the needs of Bogo and the other LGUs,’ he added.

Apart from the repairs of roads and bridges, the DPWH secretary said they will send a team to assess the structural integrity of the Bogo City Provincial Hospital.

From their visit, he reported that the hospital incurred major damages in its operating room, emergency room, and the delivery room. With this, he instructed DPWH Cebu to direct all its resources to conduct repairs starting today, Oct. 2, 2025.

TOURISM

Apart from the infrastructure, Department of Tourism (DOT) Sec. Christina Frasco reported that 80 tourism establishments incurred damages and severely affected 711 tourism workers.

She asked the Department of Social Welfare and Development (DSWD) to provide assistance for them.

DOT has also facilitated for the safe return of 14 local tourists who got stranded and assisted one foreign tourist to stay in a safe place in Bogo City as the latter opted not to leave there.

‘We want to assure the local governments that the national government is here to help out. Nakighiusa mi sa mga kaigsonan sa Sugbo niining nahitabo (We are in solidarity with our brothers and sisters in Cebu after what happened),’ Frasco assured.

The DOT will also send a team to conduct assessments to the churches that were damaged in the earthquake.

Meanwhile, President Ferdinand ‘Bongbong’ Marcos Jr. is set to visit the quake hit areas in Cebu today, Sec. Dizon confirmed during the press conference.

Pag-IBIG Fund, DHSUD, DSWD turned over 4PH Homes to 4Ps beneficiaries in San Mateo, Rizal

Pag-IBIG Fund, the Department of Human Settlements and Urban Development (DHSUD), and the Department of Social Welfare and Development (DSWD) turned over new housing units on Monday, 29 September, to graduating qualified beneficiaries of the government’s Pantawid Pamilyang Pilipino Program (4Ps) who are also active Pag-IBIG Fund members.

The turnover ceremony, held at the Abuab Housing Project in San Mateo, Rizal, also marked the kick-off of National Shelter Month 2025, reinforcing President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.’s directive to provide safe, decent, and affordable shelter for all Filipinos. The event showcased the result of strong collaboration among national government agencies and local government units, working together to expand access to dignified housing under the Expanded Pambansang Pabahay para sa Pilipino Program (4PH).

DHSUD Secretary Jose Ramon P. Aliling highlighted the importance of inter-agency cooperation in fulfilling the administration’s housing goals.

‘President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. has directed all government agencies to help one another in making homeownership more accessible to Filipinos, especially our 4Ps beneficiaries. Today’s turnover is a fulfillment of that directive. This is the first Expanded 4PH pilot project in Region IV-A. In close coordination with DSWD, we are matching the housing needs of 4Ps families in our collective effort to uplift lives,’ said Secretary Aliling.

Meanwhile, DSWD Secretary Rex Gatchalian emphasized the long-term impact of the initiative on social development.

‘DSWD’s mandate is not only to provide relief during times of crisis but to help our fellow Filipinos break free from poverty. This is the first time we have partnered with DHSUD on a project like this, and we are grateful that our 4Ps beneficiaries now have the chance to own a home through the expanded 4PH program. Hindi na kayo uupa. May sarili na kayong tahanan,’ said Secretary Gatchalian.

Pag-IBIG Fund, represented by Deputy Chief Executive Officer Alexander Hilario G. Aguilar, affirmed that qualified members can avail of their own homes at Abuab Towers, which will offer a total of 4,330 condominium units. For a 24-square-meter unit, the monthly amortization is as low as ?6,201.81 and can be further reduced to ?4,849.38 with DHSUD’s subsidy.

More than 100 4Ps beneficiaries have already received Notices of Approval for their Pag-IBIG housing loans, with several formally receiving their units during the ceremony. Pag-IBIG Fund continues to serve members nationwide through a wide range of benefits, including savings programs, multi-purpose loans for urgent needs, and other housing modalities under the Expanded 4PH Program.

To bring services closer to the community, Pag-IBIG Fund deployed its Lingkod Pag-IBIG on Wheels (LPOW) during the event. The mobile service unit provided on-the-spot assistance for membership registration, housing loan inquiries, and other programs. The San Mateo turnover stands as a milestone in the joint efforts of DHSUD, DSWD, Pag-IBIG Fund, and the Local Government of San Mateo to realize the government’s vision of providing every Filipino family with a decent and affordable home.

Demographic dividend could be a liability if…

THE Philippines’ failure to address learning poverty in basic education could turn the country’s much-touted demographic dividend into a liability within the next five years, according to the Philippine Business for Education (PBEd).

PBEd Executive Director Hanibal Camua warned that unless urgent reforms are made, the country’s young workforce may end up unemployed or stuck in poor-quality jobs.

‘What we are actually confident about.the demographic dividend, within five years, it becomes a demographic deficiency. It becomes a liability,’ he said. ‘They will become the next beneficiaries of your 4Ps, AKAP, AICS, TUPAD because they will find themselves unemployed.If they are employed, they will be.in bad jobs.’

International benchmarks reflect the scale of the problem. The 2025 IMD World Talent Report ranked the Philippines 64th out of 69 economies, trailing Asean peers like Malaysia, Thailand, and Indonesia.

The report measures how countries develop, attract, and retain talent, and Camua said the Philippines’ low standing is rooted in weak foundations at the primary level.

Meanwhile, in the 2022 Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA), Filipino students ranked third lowest in science with an average score of 356, and sixth lowest in both mathematics and reading with 355 and 347, respectively, among 81 countries.

These scores showed little improvement from 2018, when the country scored 357 in science, 350 in mathematics, and 340 in reading.

A World Bank study also found that as of 2021, nine out of 10 children in the Philippines could not read and understand a simple text by age 10, a benchmark indicator of learning poverty.

Camua said this collapse in early learning is carried forward through the education system.

‘If we are not doing very well in basic education, then basically those that will proceed to senior high school and eventually to college will have low competencies. And it shows,’ he said.

Government data also reinforce the concern.

Earlier this year, the Philippine Statistics Authority’s Functional Literacy, Education and Mass Media Survey (FLEMMS) showed that while 90 percent of Filipinos aged 10 to 64 could read and write, only 70.8 percent were considered functionally literate-or able to comprehend and apply information.

This means that for every nine individuals who can read and write, two still struggle with comprehension.

Camua stressed that the problem is not attributable to a single administration, but to decades of underinvestment that weakened the country’s education pipeline.

‘It’s been a systemic negligence, I would say. It’s not attributable to this administration or the previous administration,’ he said.

The Philippines, once seen as a model for education in Southeast Asia, has already been overtaken by its neighbors.

In the latest IMD rankings, Malaysia rose to 25th, climbing eight spots, while Thailand ranked 43rd and Indonesia 53rd.

All three countries placed well above the Philippines, which continues to lag near the bottom.

Low-hanging fruit: Revitalizing PHL’s MICE industry

Seven years after the launch of the Meetings, Incentives, Conventions, and Exhibitions Roadmap 2030, the Philippines’ performance in attracting international MICE delegates remains shockingly low. Senator Loren Legarda’s incredulous reaction to the Department of Tourism’s (DOT) budget presentation, where it was revealed that a mere one percent of tourist arrivals are for conventions and conferences, underscores the gravity of the situation. With only 60,000 MICE delegates out of nearly six million international travelers in 2024, it’s clear the country is missing out on a significant economic opportunity.

The Tourism Promotions Board acknowledges the need for improvement, citing safety and security concerns as major challenges. While these are legitimate issues, they are not insurmountable, nor are they solely the responsibility of the DOT and TPB to solve. As Senator Legarda pointed out, MICE is a ‘low-hanging fruit’-an area where the Philippines should be excelling.

The lack of comprehensive data on MICE arrivals, particularly pre-pandemic, is a major impediment. The TPB’s admission that gathering this data is a priority for next year is concerning, given that the MICE Roadmap 2030 was launched in 2018. Without a clear baseline, it’s impossible to effectively measure progress and identify areas for improvement.

Even more troubling is the revelation that the DOT has yet to finalize a Strategic Action Plan for the MICE Roadmap 2030. Industry sources claim that they have not been presented with any concrete plans, and that the DOT has only launched a MICE slogan. This lack of action is unacceptable and suggests a lack of commitment to developing the MICE industry.

Compared to its Southeast Asian neighbors, the Philippines lags far behind. Singapore, Thailand, and Malaysia all attract significantly more MICE delegates. While the TPB points to Malaysia’s landlocked status as a factor in its success, Singapore’s dominance in the region demonstrates that strategic planning, infrastructure, and effective marketing are key to attracting MICE events.

The Philippines has the potential to be a major MICE destination. With its beautiful scenery, warm hospitality, and strategic location, the country has much to offer. MICE delegates spend a considerable amount of money and tend to stay longer, making them valuable tourists. To unlock this potential, the DOT and TPB must prioritize the development of a comprehensive and actionable MICE strategy. This includes addressing safety and security concerns, gathering comprehensive data, finalizing the Strategic Action Plan, and working closely with industry stakeholders.

The MICE industry holds immense potential for economic growth and job creation. With a daily expenditure of P6,000 per delegate and an average stay of 11 days, MICE tourists contribute significantly to local economies. We can develop our MICE industry by shifting from mere slogans to effective stewardship. This involves gathering reliable data, creating actionable plans, fostering collaboration across government, and empowering the industry to compete. If the next seven years repeat the past, the country risks missing out on a straightforward opportunity for higher-value tourism. However, if we take action now, the Philippines can still harvest the ‘low-hanging fruit’ outlined in its own roadmap.

Legislators push for additional funding for local data centers

Why spend ?12 billion a year on foreign servers when we can build our own for ?2.5 billion?

This was the central question raised during the House deliberations on the DICT’s 2026 budget, as lawmakers pressed for investments in local data centers to reduce dependence on costly and risky foreign cloud storage.

Rep. Presley De Jesus asked the sponsor how much government would need to establish its own facilities.

Rep. Brian Poe, sponsoring the budget, replied:

‘Mr. Speaker, it will cost us ?2.5 billion pesos. However, what I wasn’t able to clarify. is that the ?2.5 billion is not all in one go. In fact, based on the absorptive capacity of DICT, we will have to spread out this ?2.5 billion across the remaining three years of the administration to build these data centers.’

Rep. Robert Nazal then raised funding options, suggesting the Spectrum Users Fund (SUF) as a possible source:

‘Since we’re already requesting for the ?2.5 billion and we intend to get it from the GAA, why not get it from the SUF?’

Poe acknowledged the proposal but explained DICT’s immediate priorities:

‘Mr. Speaker, DICT is prioritizing the connectivity, the internet connection, as well as the continuing appropriation for maintenance and operation of these Free Wi-Fi sites. Now, to my colleague’s point, I understand where he’s coming from. If there’s ?21 billion sitting in this fund and there is a bad need for these data centers, why not consider the data centers? And that’s something that we can take up. But before we go into that, I think the DICT has a pressing commitment by October to deliver these Free Wi-Fi sites to the Filipino people.’

Both interpellators and Poe agreed that local data centers are vital – not only to save billions in recurring cloud rental costs but also to safeguard sensitive government information. Poe closed by emphasizing that DICT has steadily improved its absorptive capacity – from 87% utilization in 2024 to a projected 93% in 2025 – making it ready to roll out phased investments in data centers while ensuring the timely delivery of Free Wi-Fi commitments to the Filipino public.

Freeze and return the money

IN my September 3 column, I wrote about the excessive greed for money that fuels misconduct such as fraud and corruption-the most pressing, interconnected issue in the country right now and labeled as the largest corruption scandal in history.

The Anti-Money Laundering Council (AMLC) has asked the Court of Appeals (CA) to freeze assets of individuals and entities linked to anomalous flood control projects. These assets cover more than 700 bank accounts, insurance policies, luxury vehicles and real estate properties.

A freeze order is valid for 20 days, during which it will be determined whether to lift or extend it for up to 6 months if the CA finds probable cause that the frozen accounts are related to illicit activities. If the court does not file a case within this period, the freeze order is automatically lifted.

Why issuing freeze order of bank accounts suspected of graft and plunder a crucial first step? It is an important action to prevent movement or disposal of funds and other assets believed to come from unlawful activities. Criminals and plunderers typically move illegal wealth quickly into shell companies, foreign bank accounts, expensive purchases, gambling, or cryptocurrencies.

A freeze order stops them from transferring or liquidating assets while investigations are ongoing. Without it, assets will be very difficult for authorities to trace and recover.

Banks of accounts under investigation are legally required to act on a freeze order immediately and lock these bank accounts to prevent any access or movement. Funds stay locked until the freeze order expires or gets lifted. Banks also preserve transaction history of frozen accounts and provide the AMLC with records and related documents that can be used for the investigation.

The ongoing Senate probe on the issue is becoming more and more complex by the day. Filipinos want to know the truth and see more names exposed, but most importantly, we want these investigations to bring justice-prosecution of parties involved and real reforms to curb systemic corruption in government.

Loud and clear, beyond recovery of stolen public funds, people want restitution. It is taxpayers’ money stolen, and assets recovered should be returned to the people. Can the government give us a tax break or holiday, or reduction in income tax and VAT for a period? In other jurisdictions, however, governments will go after prosecution and asset recovery, then use recovered assets for social services and programs, rather than tax holiday or offsetting tax collections.

The Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) collected Php2.85 trillion tax in 2024, with income taxes accounted for 53.75 percent of the collection. If only our taxes are put to good use or intended purpose such as the government’s flagship projects and social services, the country can improve its climate resilience, disaster risk prevention and management, support sustainable economic growth and we will not be in this predicament now.

In a recent interview, BSP Governor Eli M. Remolona Jr. assured the public that the banking sector remains strong and liquid. Banks, on the other hand, will continue to act as gatekeepers to detect suspicious transactions, and support additional reforms such as strengthening checks and balances, stricter measures to make it more difficult for illegal funds to enter and exit the financial system.

Even if we are all angry and dismayed, we must keep our faith in the integrity of our institutions, judicial process and law enforcement. We should continue to press for transparency and accountability in governance. We deserve a government that’s credible, honest, just and truly serves the people.

DOH to expand PhilHealth benefits

Health Secretary Teodoro Herbosa vowed to expand the benefits provided by the Philippine Health Insurance Corporation (PhilHealth) following the order of President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. of an additional P60 billion in the 2026 proposed budget of the agency.

On Wednesday ‘s budget hearing of the Senate Committee on Finance Subcommittee on Health chaired by Pia Cayetano, Herbosa said that they will increase PhilHealth’s benefits for those suffering from heart disease, diabetes, high blood, and cancer.

‘Gusto ng ating Pangulo na pataasin pa ang sinasagot ng PhilHealth sa ating mga gastusing pangkalusugan. Pati dental benefits at para sa mental health, ating dadagdagan,’ Herbosa said as the agency proposes for

P320.52 billion for the Department of Health (DOH) and its attached agencies and corporations.

Likewise, he also assured of the continuity of the Zero Balance Billing, seen to cover even bigger public hospitals in the provinces and cities.

‘May panukala ang DOH na magkaroon ng panibagong line item sa GAA, na tatawagin nating ‘Zero Balance Billing support for Level 2 and Level 3 LGU hospitals.’ Ito ay para sana hindi lamang sa DOH hospitals. Kung popondohan ito ay labis na makakatulong,’ Herbosa explained.

The hearing highlighted the nation’s ongoing efforts to fulfill Sustainable Development Goal 3 (SDG 3) and bring the Universal Health Care (UHC) Law to life.

The proposed 2026 budget of DOH has increased from P303.86 billion in the 2025 National Expenditure Program (NEP) and P259.42 billion in the 2025 General Appropriations Act (GAA).

The Office of the Secretary is set to receive P263.96 billion, while attached specialty hospitals and agencies, including the Lung Center, Kidney Institute, Heart Center, and Children’s Medical Center, maintain steady funding. Meanwhile, the PhilHealth is set to receive P53.3 billion in 2026 from an entire year with zero subsidy.

As for the senators, they assured that the 2026 budget reflects both national legal mandates and global health goals.

They also urged all stakeholders to uphold the integrity of the UHC Law and accelerate progress toward SDG 3 by ensuring transparent, accountable, and health-focused budgeting.