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This time 35 years ago, on Oct. 3, 1990, the former German Democratic Republic (GDR), often referred to as ‘East Germany,’ and the Federal Republic of Germany were reunited after more than 40 years of division. This very important date in recent German history not only marks the end of the Cold War and the fall of the iron curtain. It also ended the separation of millions of people and families and had far-reaching implications for politics and economics worldwide.

German reunification was brought about by mass demonstrations of people living in the former German Democratic Republic. They went out to the streets asking for freedom, democratic rights and the right to travel freely also beyond the area of the former communist bloc. It was their fearless commitment and desire for freedom and unity that led to the collapse of the communist regime in East Germany.

Both the Philippines and Germany share a longstanding spirit of people-led movements that have shaped our dynamic histories. In 1986, the Filipino people led the People Power Revolution, exemplifying the significance and their capacity to exact systemic change. The People Power Revolution was a series of nonviolent mass demonstrations which toppled Ferdinand Marcos Sr.’s dictatorship, changing the course of Philippine history by way of civil resistance. Democracy was thus restored in the country, and has since been remembered by the world as an example of civic action and heroism.

The Berlin wall, separating East and West Berlin, was the cruelest symbol of the division of Europe and of the permanent threat of the Cold War. Its fall on Nov. 9, 1989 was a decisive moment on the road to reunification.

In 2020, a fragment of the Berlin Wall was donated by the city of Berlin to the city of Manila, serving as a reminder that democracy is a permanent challenge and a daily task that is kept alive through partnerships and reinforced through international cooperation in today’s political landscape. This gift – the fragment of the Berlin wall, standing today at Cecilla Munoz street near the Kartilya Ng Katipunan memorial – was given in commemoration of the 30th anniversary of German reunification, and continues to stand as a reminder of shared democratic values and a joint history of people-led movements.

Reunification brought enormous challenges, especially economically. The integration of the different systems is still not fully accomplished. Yet the different historical experiences have also culturally enriched German society.

The end of the division in my home country and the world paved the way for international cooperation on an unprecedented scale. Multilateralism, the commitment to international law and the United Nations became core elements of German foreign policy. In Europe, reunified Germany accelerated regional integration and became a strong advocate of the full integration of Central and Eastern European countries into the European Union and NATO.

For present-day Germany, the historical experiences of the Nazi dictatorship, the Holocaust, the Second World War and the subsequent division of Germany have led to a strong awareness of the key importance of freedom, democracy, peace and human rights. It also showed us that these values cannot be taken for granted but have to be protected and defended daily from internal as well as external threats.

Today, reunified Germany is an important political and economic partner and close friend of the Philippines. It is the Philippines’ biggest trading partner in the EU and a strong ally in safeguarding the rules-based international order, protecting human rights and the rule of law and defending media freedom and democratic values. Both our countries are strong advocates of international law, including the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS).

In an increasingly complex world where multilateralism and international norms and rules are under threat, and where transactional foreign policy approaches and the use of military power seem to become more broadly accepted, like-minded partners like the Philippines and Germany must work together even more closely on security. We have strengthened our military cooperation on multiple fronts. In September 2024, as part of the Indo-Pacific Deployment 2024 (IPD24), the German Navy task group composed of the frigate Baden-Wrttemberg and the supply ship Frankfurt am Main paid a three-day port visit to Manila following their passage through the Taiwan Strait. In May this year, our defense ministers signed an arrangement on defense cooperation.

In a few days, mid-October, the Philippines will be the guest of honor at the Frankfurt book fair in Germany, the largest and most prominent book fair in the world. This marks another strong signal for the close cooperation between our countries on all fronts.

Two clear messages emerge from the past for the future:

Together with our partners in the European Union, Germany stands firmly committed to the Indo-Pacific and to our ever closer partnership. This commitment signals not only our support for the Philippines but also for other ASEAN partners as they navigate national interests in a challenging and constantly evolving regional environment.

Peaceful, yet massive people-led movements can change the course of history and inspire a dynamic that leads to freedom, democracy and a more prosperous and peaceful society.

Let’s continue to work together – on a government-to-government level, on the level of the private sector, on a people-to-people level – to defend multilateralism, human rights, an open and liberal society and the respect for international law.

Maynilad Water Services Inc. is finalizing this week details for its upcoming initial public offering (IPO), with the maximum offer price of the company’s maiden issuance expected to be reduced.

The IPO’s maximum offer price is now seen at P15 per share, lower than the previous P20 per share.

As a result, Maynilad could raise up to P34.3 billion from its IPO eyed next month.

‘The progress is promising and we will file the final prospectus by Friday,’ Maynilad president and CEO Ramoncito Fernandez said.

‘The market is bad. But we are putting in a very successful and incredible story,’ he said.

Fernandez also indicated that there may be additional cornerstone investors that could come in to join the IPO.

Maynilad’s latest prospectus as of Sept. 26 showed that multilateral lending institutions International Finance Corp. (IFC) and the Asian Development Bank (ADB) are looking to invest up to $245 million in Maynilad as cornerstone investors for its upcoming IPO.

IFC has agreed to participate as a cornerstone investor in the offer for an investment size of up to $100 million in peso equivalent at a subscription price of up to P15 per offer share, subject to certain closing conditions and customary requirements.

ADB, meanwhile, is currently contemplating participating as a cornerstone investor in the offer for a potential investment size of up to $145 million in peso equivalent, also at a subscription price of up to P15 per offer share.

The offer period for the IPO is scheduled from Oct. 23 to 29, with Maynilad targeting a listing date of Nov. 7.

Next year, the Philippines is going to host the ASEAN Conference and the President is going to chair this meeting of the heads of state of the ASEAN members. This is a critical time in the history of our region. The US-China competition has become more intense, complex and dangerous than even the US-Soviet rivalry during the Cold War.

China is a much more formidable competitor than the old Soviet Union. There are also many potential flash points in Asia, including in the Korean Peninsula and the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea. As this rivalry becomes more intense, each superpower will try to get as many countries on its side. There are some countries in the region, like the Philippines, that already has strong alliance treaties with the United States. The Philippines believes that it has very little choice except to maintain security ties with the United States because of the aggressive claim of China of territories that belong to the Philippines.

There are countries in the ASEAN who believe that the presence of US military power in the region results in a balance of power that is conducive to peace and stability.

Most countries in the region have not yet chosen between Beijing and Washington and would prefer to stay neutral. The usual view is that Southeast Asian countries look to the United States for security and to China for trade and investments.

These different attitudes over relations with China and the United States have tested ASEAN’s solidarity in the past and will do so again in the future.

Two Singapore-based professors at the National University of Singapore and the Nanyang University of Singapore developed an index which shows where each ASEAN country is aligned – China or the United States. They call it ‘The Anatomy of Choice Alignment Index.’

Again, according to them, the index offers two major findings. Their findings show that four countries have remained relatively neutral. These are Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand. Three countries are clearly aligned with China: Myanmar, Laos and Cambodia. Brunei is trying to be neutral but is leaning towards China. The Philippines is clearly aligned with the United States. Vietnam is expected to become more neutral in the near future.

Trump’s return to the White House has led to anxiety about US military commitment to the region.

The ASEAN countries have even now expressed concern about Trump’s announcement that it would reduce US overseas commitments. Last April, Singaporean Prime Minister Lawrence Wong stated that ASEAN must be prepared for a world in which ‘America is stepping back from its traditional role as the guarantor of order and the world’s policeman.’

If the United States seriously disengages economically and militarily from the region, the 10 ASEAN countries will increasingly have to rely on one another. For the Philippines, one clear option is to form a mutual defense agreement with Australia, Japan and South Korea. These three countries share the same security concerns and Chinese aggression in their territory.

The Philippines has also witnessed changes in its foreign policy towards China in the last two decades. Under president Gloria Macapagal Arroyo from 2002 to 2010, the Philippines leaned towards China. Her successor, Benigno ‘Noynoy’ Aquino Jr. who ruled from 2010 to 2016, pulled the country back towards the United States. Rodrigo Duterte, who followed Aquino, actually formed an alliance with China. However, his successor, Ferdinand Marcos Jr., has brought back the alliance with the United States.

Even as China rises, polls reveal that Southeast Asians have considerable reservations about how China might use its power. According to the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute’s 2024 poll, when asked whom they trust, elites from the various sectors of society rank Japan first, United States second, the European Union third and China, a distant fourth.

The annual ASEAN meeting next year will be very crucial for Southeast Asian nations.

The recently organized Independent Commission for Infrastructure (ICI) has just begun its work. At this early stage, it has generated some controversy. I would like to join the debate on whether the commission hearings should be livestreamed or not.

I definitely support the idea of conducting the hearings open to the public. If the hearings are kept secret or away from the public eye, this will generate suspicion as to whether the commission itself is keeping anything secret or confidential. This will lessen trust in the hearings. Right now, the ICI is the only public institution left that has the support and the confidence of the Filipino people. The commissioners must take every step to maintain this trust so that the results of the hearings will be believed by the whole nation.

The Independent Commission for Infrastructure (ICI) plans to summon former speaker Martin Romualdez, resigned congressman Zaldy Co, as well as Senator and former public works chief Mark Villar as part of its ongoing investigation on corruption in infrastructure projects.

Brian Keith Hosaka, ICI executive director, said Romualdez ‘has been invited already,’ but did not specify when the subpoena was issued.

It remains unclear whether Co, who stepped down from his post on Monday and is currently abroad, has also received an invitation.

Romualdez and Co are key figures in the investigation on anomalies in flood control projects, being the speaker and the chairman of the House appropriations committee, respectively.

Romualdez, a cousin of the President, relinquished his speakership on Sept. 17. During a hearing by the Senate Blue Ribbon committee, retired Marine sergeant Orly Guteza testified delivering 46 suitcases of ‘basura (trash)’ – code for kickback money – to Romualdez’s residence. Co had also received several suitcases containing cash, according to Guteza.

On Sept.24, former public works undersecretary Roberto Bernardo appeared before the ICI. He did not speak to the media.

Senior Undersecretary Emil Sadain of the Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH) also visited the ICI’s office in Taguig to face the three-member fact-finding body.

Hosaka announced that starting next week, ICI hearings would be held every Tuesday and Wednesday.

Waste of time

For former finance chief Benjamin Diokno, lawmakers should drop their ongoing investigations on the alleged corruption in flood control projects and instead prove their integrity by passing a national budget without congressional insertions for next year.

Calling the ongoing investigation a waste of time, Diokno said passing an insertion-free budget for 2026 would be a litmus test of politicians’ sincerity as well as their act of contrition that could prove that they aredifferent from lawmakers from previous congresses.

‘This is just publicity, they are just taking advantage of the airtime. There is no point here,’ he said. ‘Cut the drama, cut the telenovela, focus on the 2026 budget.’

Over P142 billion, primarily allocated for infrastructure projects, was reportedly inserted into the 2025 national budget during the bicameral conference committee deliberations held in the latter part of 2024.

Senate Blue Ribbon committee chairman Sen. Ping Lacson said the committee is set to release a report detailing insertions by ‘almost all’ senators of the 19th Congress of at least P100 billion worth of projects into the 2025 national budget.

Diokno, who sits as a member on the country’s Monetary Board, said that congressional hearings would lead nowhere and further erode the confidence of foreign investors in the country ‘since their only output is to recommend to the Department of Justice or the Office of the Ombudsman to go after some people.’

P220 million earnings

Meanwhile, the Bureau of Customs (BOC) said it expects to earn P220 million if the 13 luxury vehicles owned by the contractor couple Curlee and Sarah Discaya, would be auctioned off.

Customs Commissioner Ariel Nepomuceno yesterday said there were sufficient grounds for the government to seize and offer for auction 13 of the 30 luxury vehicles of the Discaya couple, as there are irregularities in their importation and documentation. Of the 13 vehicles, seven were said to have no Import Entry or Certificate of Payment.

Nepomuceno said they have issued warrants of seizure of detention on the 13 cars, and would give the Discayas 15 days to present the proper documents or face forfeiture of their ownership of the vehicles in favor of the government.

The first hearing on the status of the vehicles has been set for Oct. 9.

The vehicles consist of Toyota Tundra, Toyota Sequoia, Mercedes-Benz AMG SUV, Mercedes-Benz G 500, Lincoln Navigator 2021, Bentley Bentayga, Lincoln Navigator 2024, GMC Yukon Denali, Cadillac Escalade 2021, Maserati Levante Modena, GMC Yukon Denali, Cadillac Escalade ESV and Rolls Royce Cullinan.

The 17 other cars were found with correct payment and certification and would be returned to the Discaya family.

The BOC chief also said 10 Custom employees, including examiners, appraisers and deputy collectors, have been issued show cause orders requiring them to explain why they should not be sanctioned for allowing the release of the 13 vehicles.

Nepomuceno said they have requested a meeting with the ICI so they can share information related to the flood control anomaly.

Meanwhile, the ex-wife of controversial Bulacan district engineer Brice Hernandez resigned as OIC of the DPWH Bureau of Research and Standards Technical Services Division last Sept. 22 or just more than a month after her appointment on Aug. 11.

Hernandez earlier drew flak for mentioning in his Senate testimony that he is married to an employee of the Government Service Insurance System (GSIS) and not to Mel Clarisse Sto. Domingo of DPWH.

It was Hernandez’s lawyer Ernest Levanza who clarified that Sto. Domingo is no longer the wife of his client, who is now married to a certain Rica of GSIS.

‘Brice and Rica got married in 2023 and remain together to this day. We hope this clears the air and puts an end to the confusion,’ Levanza said.

The Commission on Elections will start from scratch in preparing for the first Bangsamoro parliamentary elections after the Supreme Court struck down two laws that redrew the region’s parliamentary districts.

Comelec Chairman George Garcia said Thursday, October 2, the body must reprint ballots and reconfigure its automated election system following the high court’s decision declaring two Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) laws unconstitutional.

In a September 30 ruling, the Supreme Court nullified Bangsamoro Autonomy Act (BAA) 77 and 58, which redistributed the elective posts originally assigned to Sulu and created the parliamentary districts in the region. This means that there is now no actual law to enforce for the Bangsamoro polls, which had been initially set for October 13.

“The truth is the Comelec is now back to zero,” Garcia said in an interview on Radyo DZBB. “Bakit po back to zero? We will surely reprint ballots and have to redo our other activities.”

Garcia said, however, the ruling validated the Comelec’s decision to suspend election preparations when the court earlier issued a temporary restraining order.

The Supreme Court ruling means the Bangsamoro parliament must pass a new districting law. The Comelec also has until March 31, 2026, to hold the elections.

What Comelec had prepared

Comelec had based its preparations on BAA 58, the original districting law that included Sulu. The Supreme Court previously ruled Sulu was not part of BARMM, reducing the parliament from 80 to 73 members. The latest ruling says the parliament should have 80 members, not 73.

Before the suspension of preparations, Garcia said, the Comelec still needed to conduct voter education campaigns to explain which districts people would vote in and train electoral board members – the teachers who will staff polling places on election day. The poll body also had yet to deploy election equipment and train technical staff for the automated elections.

Garcia said voter registration will resume in the third week of October nationwide for the May 2026 Barangay and Sangguniang Kabataan elections.

But those who registered from August 1 to 10 and those who register starting in October will not be able to vote in the Bangsamoro parliamentary elections if held before March 31, 2026.

“Why? Because the Bangsamoro parliamentary elections are a continuation of our national and local elections last May,” Garcia said.

The Bangsamoro parliamentary elections were supposed to be the region’s first since BARMM replaced the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao in 2019.

The Bangsamoro Organic Law set the first elections in 2022, but this was postponed to May 2025, and then to October 2025, and is now put off again pending a new law.

Pasig Mayor Vico Sotto and actor Manny Jacinto made it to Time Magazine’s 100 most influential rising stars.

Officially titled Time100 Next, the news magazine recognized people who are ‘younger than the century they are shaping,’ acknowledging that true influence is not bound by age.

Time commended Sotto for fighting corruption, even if it feels like the crusade is a ‘death by a thousand cuts.’

Sotto, according to Time, has exemplified courage and ethical leadership in his six years as mayor.

Jacinto, a Filipino-born Canadian actor, has proven that talent and kindness ‘are not mutually exclusive.’

‘He has incredible range as an actor,’ Emmy-winning producer Alan Yang said. ‘But more importantly, Manny is fundamentally, elementally, constitutionally good.’

Jacinto recently starred in ‘Freakiest Friday,’ the sequel to the 2003 fantasy-comedy ‘Freaky Friday.’

As Tropical Storm ‘Paolo’ slightly intensifies over Philippine waters, PAGASA has placed parts of Isabela, Quirino and Aurora under Wind Signal No. 2.

In its 11 a.m. bulletin on Thursday, October 2, the state weather bureau last spotted Paolo inching its way towards northern Luzon, about 575 kilometers east of Infanta, Quezon.

The tropical storm is moving west northwestward at 20 kilometers per hour (kph), packing maximum sustained winds of 75 kph and gusts up to 90 kph.

Wind signals

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals No. 1 and 2 now prevail over most of Luzon. No wind signals were raised in Visayas or Mindanao as of 11 a.m.

Signal No. 2 (gale-force winds in 24 hours)

the southeastern portion of Isabela (San Mariano, Dinapigue, San Guillermo, Echague, Jones, San Agustin, Benito Soliven, Angadanan, City of Cauayan, Naguilian)

the northern portion of Quirino (Maddela)

the northern portion of Aurora (Dilasag, Casiguran, Dinalungan)

Signal No. 1 (strong winds in 36 hours)

Cagayan

the rest of Isabela

the rest of Quirino

Nueva Vizcaya

Apayao

Abra

Kalinga

Mountain Province

Ifugao

Benguet

Ilocos Norte

Ilocos Sur

La Union

Pangasinan

the northern portion of Zambales (Palauig, Masinloc, Candelaria, Santa Cruz)

Tarlac

Nueva Ecija

the rest of Aurora

the northern portion of Bulacan (Doña Remedios Trinidad, San Miguel, San Ildefonso, Norzagaray, San Rafael)

the northern portion of Pampanga (Magalang, Arayat, Candaba, Mabalacat City)

the northern portion of Quezon (General Nakar, Infanta) including Polillo Islands

the northern portion of Camarines Norte (Capalonga, Jose Panganiban, Paracale, Vinzons, Talisay, Daet, Mercedes, Basud)

the northern portion of Camarines Sur (Siruma, Tinambac, Lagonoy, Garchitorena, Caramoan)

and the northern portion of Catanduanes (Pandan, Bagamanoc, Panganiban, Viga, Caramoran)

Light to moderate damage is expected for high-risk and medium-risk structures under Signal No. 2, while light to no damage is projected for areas under Signal No. 1.

The state weather bureau also predicted heavy rains over some of these provinces starting Friday, October 3.

Sea conditions

PAGASA has warned provinces near coastal waters of rough to very rough seas reaching as high as 3 to 6 meters, mainly in Isabela, Cagayan, Aurora, Babuyan Islands, Polillo Islands, Catanduanes, Quezon, Camarines Norte and Camarines Sur.

Mariners are advised to seek shelter and avoid venturing out to sea under these conditions.

Forecast track

Paolo is anticipated to hit land over southern Isabela or northern Aurora on Friday morning as it continues to move west northwestward.

The tropical storm may intensify further into a severe tropical storm and raise Wind Signal No. 3.

The possibility of it reaching typhoon strength before landfall has not been ruled out, but current forecasts show a high chance of Paolo becoming a typhoon once it emerges over the West Philippine Sea.

As the PBA met the media to launch its 50th season yesterday, the pro league brought in tow the newest member of the family – Pureblends Corp..

Officially on board after the completion of its purchase of NorthPort, Pureblends is carrying the Titan Ultra Giant Risers banner to start its PBA journey.

Their designated representative to the board, Emilio Tiu, attended the team’s first public function with much excitement.

‘We’re very happy we are formally accepted by the PBA,’ Tiu said as he joined his peers in the PBA board and commissioner Willie Marcial in the event that served as curtain raiser for the golden season that starts Sunday.

‘Since last year, we’ve already had the intention of joining the PBA because of the product exposure and the quality of the players. But we waited for this year because we feel this is the right timing, being the 50th year of PBA,’ he added.

He explained Pureblends decided to use Titan Ultra, a male dietary supplement the company is rolling out soon, for it felt it would be ‘an impact product.’

With a squad led by veterans Calvin Abueva, Joshua Munzon, Aljun Melecio, Von Pessumal and young guns Fran Yu, Chris Koon and Mario Barasi and coached by John Cardel, Tiu promised a competitive Giant Risers crew.

‘I have to admit we’re still young but we have a complete lineup and we have four or five veterans who can guide the young ones. We’ll give the strong teams a fight,’ said the Pureblends exec.

Titan’s arrival is one of many exciting changes on tap for the season.

Four new coaches are making their debut in Magnolia’s LA Tenorio, Phoenix’ Willy Wilson, Terrafirma’s Ronald Tubid and Pampanga Vice Gov. Dennis Pineda of Converge while Cardel, formerly with the Dyip, is on a comeback with the Pureblends franchise.

Aside from Tiu, there are two other fresh faces on the board in Jason Webb of Magnolia and former NorthPort coach Pido Jarencio of Terrafirma.

The PBA has lined up a loaded opening weekend.

On Saturday, the 12 teams engage with fans in a meet-and-greet at the Smart Araneta Coliseum then join the stars and personalities of yesteryears in a homecoming event at the Meralco Theater.

On Sunday, the Leo Awards for Season 49 at Novotel Manila precedes the formal opening ceremony at the Big Dome before Manila Clasico rivals Barangay Ginebra and Magnolia, with Tenorio on the other side this time, fire the first salvo in the Philippine Cup.

‘At 50, we are healthy, we are strong and ready to face the next 50 years, for the next generation of players will emerge, where fans can interact with them in a digital and social media space. The PBA remains solid now at 50 and look forward to the next 50 with much enthusiasm,’ PBA chairman Ricky Vargas said in a video message from overseas.

With former Most Valuable Player Clint Escamis hounded by foul trouble, his teammates stepped up and towed the Mapua Cardinals over the Lyceum Pirates in their NCAA Season 101 men’s basketball matchup Wednesday evening.

Mapua escaped Lyceum, 90-89, in a double overtime thriller.

There, Escamis played just 21 minutes and 19 seconds before fouling out in the first overtime. He finished with eight points, four rebounds and two assets to go with two steals as he struggled from the floor on a 4-of-15 clip.

After the game, the guard said he is happy with the way the other Cardinals picked up the slack in the grind-it-out win.

‘Sobrang saya ko kasi syempre, hindi lang naman ako yung Mapua e. One to 15-man lineup kami, pwede maglaro, pwede mag-bench, pwede mag-start,’ he said.

‘Kahit sino sa amin, maaasahan yun. Yun lang yung gusto ko, gusto ko [i-emphasize] sa kanila. Yung just be ready all the time when your number’s called. No emotions, pag pinasok ka, ready ka,’ he added.

Escamis was called for three early fouls in the first quarter of the game.

He was able to keep himself from committing his fourth foul until the 5:17 mark of the fourth, and he was finally whistled for his final foul with 3:27 remaining in overtime.

Still, his teammates stepped up, led by JC Recto, who finished with 16 points, nine rebounds, five steals and three assists. EJ Sapasap also had 16 markers and four boards for the Cardinals.

But the hero of the night was Marc Cuenco, who tallied 14 points, including a split from the line with 6.8 seconds remaining in the second overtime to push Mapua ahead for good.

Escamis admitted that it was ‘very frustrating’ for him to watch from the sidelines and be unable to help his teammates when the game went into deep waters, but he emphasized that he trusts his fellow Cardinals.

‘I just cheered them on, kinausap ko sila, like veteran advice, and they pulled out the win.’

And with this, Escamis underscored that it is a ‘good experience’ for them to have such a game to start their title defense bid.

”Di na kami magsha-shy away sa mga ganito moments. Especially yung mga rookies, mga bagong pasok. Ano lang agad sila, mga honed na agad sila sa mga ganitong sitwasyon,’ he said.

‘Pero kailangan namin mag-improve para sa defense kasi we were grateful na panalo kami, pero dapat yung margin of panalo dapat di umabot sa ganiyan.’

Mapua will be back in action next Wednesday, taking on Perpetual Help at the FilOil EcoOil Centre in San Juan.

As the country reels from back-to-back disasters -several destructive cyclones and a deadly earthquake – the Senate chose this week to pass a resolution urging the International Criminal Court (ICC) to place former president Rodrigo Duterte under house arrest for ‘humanitarian’ reasons.

The measure was approved by a slim majority, with15 votes in favor, three against, and two abstentions.

It was framed by its backers as a gesture of fairness. Senate Minority Leader Allan Cayetano, Duterte’s former foreign affairs chief, refused to discuss Duterte’s deadly war on drugs, saying the resolution was not about vengeance on Duterte, but justice.

But lawyers say the resolution has no real effect on Duterte’s fate at The Hague.

No legal weight

‘The resolution carries no weight at all, as far as the ICC is concerned,’ ICC-accredited lawyer Joel Butuyan told Philstar.com. ‘I think it was just passed to deflect public attention from the flood control scandal.’

Human rights lawyer Kristina Conti, who serves as assistant counsel at the ICC, agreed that the court will consider only mattes of fact and law.

‘The Senate as an institution is not in any way involved in the ICC process, and it is unclear how the resolution will be communicated to the international court,’ Conti said.

‘Unless the Senate has direct knowledge of Rodrigo Duterte’s physical and mental health and their report is transmitted to the ICC through the proper channels, then the resolution will be mere political noise,’ she added.

A show of Duterte’s power

Instead of heeding the resolution, both lawyers said the ICC is more likely to see it as a reminder of Duterte’s continuing political clout.

‘It shows to the ICC that Duterte is still powerful in the Philippines, that he still has very powerful allies, he can even have an overwhelming majority of the Senate to advocate his personal interest. All of these show that if he is released, it will endanger victims and witnesses,’ Butuyan said.

Apart from Duterte’s family members still exercising influence in their bailiwick of Davao, having support in the Senate would show how this influence extends nationwide, Conti said.

Butuyan agrees. “It shows to the ICC that Duterte is still powerful in the Philippines, that he still has very powerful allies, he can even have an overwhelming majority of the Senate to advocate his personal interest. All of these show that if he is released, it will endanger victims and witnesses.”

She believes that the court may also be aware that among the senators who passed the resolution could have had a hand in the drug war.

Tony La Viña, the former dean of Ateneo de Manila University’s School of Government, told Philstar.com that the Senate’s resolution does not help in Duterte’s bid for interim release.

“This is bad for Duterte’s petition for interim release as this shows he has power and influence that can be used against victims,” La Viña said.

Noise, distraction

For Butuyan, the resolution also looked like an attempt to divert attention from the ongoing corruption probes into flood control projects. Several senators close to the Dutertes have been tagged in the schemes, including former Senate president Chiz Escudero.

‘If the Senate really cares for the people they serve, they should first pass a resolution commiserating with the families of victims of the war on drugs and set aside a fund to help the thousands of children orphaned by it,’ Butuyan said.

The ICC is prosecuting Duterte over his war on drugs, which is estimated to have killed as many as 30,000 people. Duterte was turned over to the court in March this year, but his allies continue to push for his release.