THE steady stream of cash remittances into the country from overseas Filipinos continues to support households, with inflows expected to rise further as families recover and prepare for more disasters.
According to the latest data from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), cash remittances grew by 3.2 percent to $2.98 billion in August 2025 from $2.89 billion in the same month a year ago.
From January to August this year, cash remittances rose by 3.1 percent to $22.91 billion from $22.22 billion in the same period last year.
‘Whether there are external threats or not [from pandemics to inflation pressures], expect more foreign currency from Filipinos abroad that addresses family seasonal needs and now due to disasters,’ Institute for Migration and Development Issues (IMDI) Executive Director Jeremaiah M. Opiniano told BusinessMirror.
The growth in remittances is expected to persist, with monthly increases likely to remain stable within 3 percent, Opiniano added.
Nevertheless, Opiniano expressed concern that remittance-receiving households focus mainly on meeting daily needs rather than saving or preparing for rainy days.
Ateneo de Manila University economist Leonardo A. Lanzona shared Opiniano’s sentiments and told BusinessMirror that remittances sent back home are not intended for investments, but to support families in meeting basic day-to-day needs.
‘We cannot always rely on overseas employment prospects to ensure that money flows from abroad remains high,’ Opiniano told this newspaper. ‘The concern is building more assets in aid of international migration, or else there will still be the itch to rely on dollars from, and jobs found, abroad.’
Meanwhile, Lanzona said Filipinos abroad will send more money back home due to the ongoing flood control fiasco in the country.
‘[Remittances are] bound to increase as the country’s economy weakens because of the flood control scandal,’ he said.
The United States remained the top source of remittances to the Philippines during the eight-month period, followed by Singapore and Saudi Arabia, BSP data showed.
However, BSP noted that it is a common practice of remittance centers in various cities abroad to course remittances through correspondent banks, most of which are located in the US.
Remittances coursed through money couriers cannot also be disaggregated by actual country source and are lodged under the country where the main offices are located, which, in many cases, are also in the US.
‘Therefore, the US would appear to be the main source of [overseas Filipino] remittances because banks attribute the origin of funds to the most immediate source. The countries are listed in order of their share of cash remittances, i.e., from highest to lowest,’ BSP said.
Although cash remittances dipped by 6.2 percent from $3.18 billion in July 2025, this reflects seasonal normalization after back-to-school spending and a less volatile peso, Unionbank Chief Economist Ruben Carlo O. Asuncion said.
‘With year-to-date growth slightly ahead of target and holiday inflows ahead, remittances remain on track to meet BSP’s full-year growth forecast,’ Asuncion told reporters in a message.
SM Investments Corp. Chief Economist Robert Dan Roces added that remittance flows in August have some resilience despite global headwinds, and reflect a lower comparative base or mild fluctuations in monthly flows.
‘The ‘ber’ months, when remittances traditionally rise, may buoy the remainder of the year,’ Roces told reporters.
Still, Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort warned that global growth could slow down due to Trump’s tariffs, trade wars and protectionist policies.
‘This, thereby, could slow down global trade, investments, and employment, including some OFW jobs in the global supply chains,’ Ricafort said.
A possible US Federal Reserve rate cut could support global economic activities, but may weaken the dollar against major global currencies, Ricafort added.
‘OFW remittances and conversion to pesos seasonally increase in the fourth quarter, especially during the Christmas holiday season towards the end of the year, especially within a week before Christmas to finance the surge, if not the peak, in holiday-related spending,’ Ricafort noted.
Moreover, Ricafort said the proposed 1 percent US tax on OFW remittances could reduce inflows to the Philippines, translating to P8 billion to P9 billion in foregone domestic spending annually.
BSP data further showed that the increase in cash remittances also boosted personal remittances, including money sent through banks and informal channels, along with remittances in kind.
Personal remittances rose by 3.2 percent to $3.31 billion in August from $3.20 billion in the same month last year.
Cumulative personal remittances also increased by 3.1 percent to $25.51 billion in January to August from $24.74 billion recorded in the same period a year ago.