Applying more fertiliser does not guarantee higher yields, stakeholders advised

Researchers, policymakers and fertiliser industry stakeholders have called for soil-specific fertiliser recommendations to improve agricultural productivity and food security, warning that applying more fertiliser does not necessarily translate into higher crop yields.

They made the suggestion at a two-day Technical Workshop on Strategic Phosphorus Use in Nigeria, held in Abuja, with participants exploring ways to improve fertiliser efficiency through better soil data, locally adapted nutrient recommendations and coordinated investments.

With the theme: ‘Phosphorus and Food Security: Challenges in Food Production Systems in Nigeria,’ the workshop brought together agricultural researchers, policymakers, fertiliser manufacturers, regulators and development partners to address persistent soil-fertility and fertiliser-use challenges.

Evidence presented by the Regional Hub for Fertilizer and Soil Health for West Africa and the Sahel showed that phosphorus requirements for maize and rice could range from zero to more than 60 kilogrammes of phosphorus pentoxide (P2O5) per hectare within the same target area in northern Nigeria.

The findings, based on the Hub’s 2025 site-specific nutrient recommendations, highlighted the limitations of applying uniform fertilizer rates across different soil conditions and crop-production environments.

While phosphorus is essential for root development, crop growth and grain formation, its inadequate application can restrict productivity, while excessive use can raise farmers’ production costs without delivering corresponding yield increases.

Speaking on the need to translate research into practical agricultural decisions, Senior Agronomist at the Regional Hub, Dr Bello Muhammad Shehu, said improving phosphorus management required more than increasing fertiliser application.

‘It is about understanding what different soils and crops need and ensuring that farmers have access to the right products and best advice,’ Shehu said.

He explained that better soil information, locally adapted nutrient recommendations and digital advisory tools could improve fertiliser-use efficiency, adding that the next step was connecting scientific evidence with policy, industry and agricultural extension systems.

Also, a visiting scientist with the Regional Hub for Fertilizer and Soil Health at the International Institute of Tropical Agriculture (IITA), Ibadan, Professor Jibrin Mohammed, said research, digital technology and soil information were fundamental to achieving food security amid Nigeria’s growing population.

Mohammed, a professor of Soil Science at Bayero University, Kano, said understanding soil conditions was essential to improving agricultural productivity and ensuring the production of nutritious food.

He explained that farmers and agricultural policymakers needed reliable information on what the soil could supply and the nutrients required to improve its productivity.

According to him, advances in technology, including artificial intelligence, are making it easier to obtain more precise soil information on a larger scale, thereby improving the quality of agricultural recommendations.

‘The basis of food production and food security is the soil. You need a healthy soil for you to produce well and to feed the nation with nutritious food. And to do that, you need soil intelligence,’ he said.

On the policy and investment measures required to strengthen soil health management, Mohammed said Nigeria was making progress through initiatives aligned with continental and regional frameworks.

He identified the African Fertiliaer and Soil Health Action Plan and the Economic Community of West African States’ Fertiliser Priority Actions as key frameworks guiding efforts to improve fertiliser use and soil health, noting that the Regional Hub emerged from these broader initiatives.

At the national level, the don cited the Nigerian Farmers’ Soil Health Scheme of the Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security as an umbrella programme designed to improve soil intelligence, provide better recommendations and advice to farmers, and promote coordination among stakeholders.

The workshop builds on a national phosphorus dialogue held in October 2025, which identified constraints including limited soil testing, generalised fertilizer recommendations, concerns over fertilizer quality, inadequate extension services and weak stakeholder coordination.

The dialogue also endorsed the establishment of the Nigeria Fertilizer Phosphorus Network, with its secretariat hosted by the Institute of Agricultural Research and Training (IARandT).

FG rules out return of subsidy, vows to sustain economic reforms

The Federal Government will sustain its economic reforms and will not return to subsidy, Minister of Budget and Economic Planning, Sen. Abubakar Atiku Bagudu, said on Monday in Abuja.

According to the News Agency of Nigeria (NAN), Bagudu spoke at the 32nd Nigerian Economic Summit, themed ‘Growth That Works: Delivering Jobs, Productivity and Shared Prosperity.’

He said the reforms were aimed at stabilising the economy, improving productivity, creating jobs and expanding prosperity for Nigerians.

‘There will be no return to subsidy. We recognise the need to calibrate and do better,’ Bagudu said.

He said the administration remained committed to reforms while strengthening domestic production, expanding infrastructure and addressing poverty.

According to him, Nigeria’s economy has recorded positive growth for two consecutive quarters, while inflation and interest rates were declining.

Bagudu said revenue allocations to federal, state and local governments had increased, with some states and local governments recording more than fivefold increases in monthly revenue.

He attributed the increase to the distribution of revenue among the three tiers of government to support their constitutional responsibilities.

The minister said the government was targeting a one-trillion-dollar economy, adding that achieving the goal required sustained growth and broader participation in economic activities.

He said President Bola Tinubu had challenged the administration to pursue an economy that included everyone and generated greater prosperity.

Bagudu said cooperation among federal, state and local governments was critical to coordinating fiscal and monetary policies and improving spending on security and infrastructure.

He said the government was also prioritising grassroots development, skills acquisition, early childhood development and support for small and medium-sized enterprises.

The minister disclosed that more than six billion dollars had been mobilised from the World Bank and other development partners to strengthen household resilience and economic opportunities.

He said improved agricultural productivity and support for domestic production would be essential to creating jobs, raising incomes and improving livelihoods.

Bagudu stressed the importance of an effective private sector, saying investors needed confidence in the economy to expand businesses, increase productivity and generate employment.

He said the government would continue implementing reforms while adjusting policies to address poverty and improve economic outcomes.

‘We are staying the course,’ Bagudu said, reaffirming the administration’s commitment to its reform agenda.

He urged Nigerians to recognise the achievements recorded so far and support efforts to sustain the reforms.

NRS urges taxpayers to embrace voluntary compliance under new laws

The Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS) has urged individuals and businesses to comply voluntarily with the new tax laws, emphasising the need for public awareness, accurate information and a clear understanding of the reforms.

The service said providing clear guidance on tax obligations, available reliefs and applicable procedures would ease taxpayers’ concerns, prevent avoidable disputes and build public confidence in the tax system.

Alhaji Ismail Abdullahi, the NRS state administrator for Jigawa, Kano and Katsina states, made the call during an engagement with taxpayers and other stakeholders to discuss the implications of the new tax laws for businesses, households, states and local governments.

The discussions addressed concerns about whether banks could automatically deduct taxes from personal accounts, whether loans and money received from relatives would be considered taxable income, and how the reforms could affect small businesses.

Abdullahi acknowledged the concerns, urging taxpayers to rely on accurate information about the laws and the procedures governing tax enforcement.

He said the new tax regime did not, in itself, authorise the automatic deduction of taxes from personal bank accounts, adding that tax collection and recovery must comply with applicable laws and procedures.

He also clarified that the standard Value Added Tax (VAT) rate remained 7.5 per cent.

On business transactions, the NRS explained that money received as a loan should not automatically be classified as sales revenue or profit. It stressed that proper documentation was necessary to establish the nature of financial transactions.

‘For instance, if a trader receives N500,000 as a loan, the amount should not automatically be treated as sales or profit. Proper documentation is necessary to establish the nature of the transaction,’ he said.

The service urged taxpayers to maintain accurate financial records to support proper tax assessments and reduce avoidable disputes with tax authorities.

It also advised individuals and businesses to familiarise themselves with the tax provisions relevant to their activities, identify eligible reliefs, keep appropriate records and seek clarification from the relevant authorities when necessary.

Abdullahi further stressed the importance of understanding taxpayers’ rights, including the procedures for challenging tax assessments or decisions.

The engagement focused on three areas: the provisions of the new tax laws affecting companies, individuals and businesses; practical steps for achieving voluntary compliance; and measures to close the tax compliance gap through improved taxpayer services.

On compliance, Abdullahi highlighted the need for proper registration, accurate record-keeping, transaction reconciliation, timely filing of returns, payment of taxes and prompt responses to official correspondence.

The third area examined the difficulties taxpayers face in meeting their obligations and explored ways to improve service delivery and make compliance easier.

Participants were encouraged to share their experiences and identify challenges associated with meeting tax obligations, including conflicting interpretations of the laws and difficulties with digital tax processes.

The NRS official said feedback from taxpayers would help the service identify gaps, improve its procedures and provide more accessible support to individuals and businesses.

The service reiterated that effective tax administration required shared responsibility, with the NRS providing clear guidance, consistent treatment and accessible assistance, while taxpayers supplied accurate information, maintained proper records and met their obligations within stipulated deadlines.

Abdullahi expressed optimism that improved public understanding, transparent procedures and responsive taxpayer services would strengthen public trust, encourage voluntary compliance and improve the effectiveness of Nigeria’s tax administration system.

CAN demands probe of viral video threatening Christians in Enugu, Jos

The Christian Association of Nigeria (CAN) has called on the Department of State Services (DSS), the Nigeria Police Force and other security agencies to urgently investigate a viral video allegedly showing a young man leading a group of boys in chants threatening attacks on Christians in Enugu and Jos during Sunday worship.

The association condemned the video, calling the threats alarming and unacceptable, and urged authorities to identify those involved and establish the circumstances surrounding the recording.

CAN President, Archbishop Daniel Okoh, made the call in a statement issued on Tuesday, warning that threats of religious violence must not be dismissed as harmless chants or youthful exuberance.

The association said the apparent involvement of children and young people in chants calling for the use of AK-47 rifles against Christian worshippers raised serious concerns about the promotion of religious hatred among the younger generation.

‘No Nigerian should have to fear for their life because of their faith or face the prospect of violence simply for gathering to worship God,’ the statement said.

CAN urged security agencies to establish when and where the video was recorded, identify those featured in it and determine the individuals or groups that may have organised or facilitated the activity.

It also called on the authorities to assess credible security threats arising from the video and take appropriate measures to protect Christian communities and places of worship in Enugu, Jos and other parts of the country.

The association stressed that Nigerians must be able to attend religious services without fear of attacks or intimidation.

While acknowledging the leadership of Jama’atu Izalatil Bid’ah Wa Iqamatis Sunnah (JIBWIS) ‘s reported disavowal of the video, CAN said an independent investigation remained necessary to establish the facts.

According to the association, the denial of responsibility by any organisation should not prevent investigators from determining the identities of those involved, the origin of the video and the circumstances surrounding the chants.

NLC demands immediate minimum wage review

The Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) has called for the immediate commencement of negotiations on a new national minimum wage, insisting that rising inflation, the declining value of the naira and increasing living costs have eroded the benefits of the current ?70,000 minimum wage.

NLC President, Comrade Joe Ajaero, made the call on Tuesday in Abuja at the launch of an investigative research report on minimum wage and pension payment compliance in Nigeria, conducted in collaboration with ActionAid Nigeria.

Ajaero argued that negotiations should begin immediately rather than wait until August, as suggested by the Trade Union Congress (TUC), stressing that current economic realities and the three-year wage review cycle made early discussions necessary.

He explained that the National Minimum Wage Act of 2024 increased the minimum wage from ?30,000 to ?70,000 and reduced the review period from five years to three years.

According to him, the implementation date of the existing law remained unchanged, making it necessary to begin negotiations ahead of the next review deadline to avoid delays similar to those experienced during previous wage negotiations.

‘The time to start negotiation, which in most cases lasts about six months, is now,’ Ajaero said, insisting that workers could not afford another prolonged negotiation process.

He clarified that the differing positions of the NLC and TUC on the timing of negotiations did not indicate a division within the labour movement but reflected different approaches to achieving improved conditions for workers.

The NLC president, however, warned that increasing the minimum wage alone would not significantly improve workers’ welfare unless the government also addressed inflation and the depreciation of the naira.

He said that even a substantial increase to ?500,000 would amount to little if the prices of essential goods and services continued to rise unchecked.

According to Ajaero, restoring workers’ purchasing power through economic stabilisation and currency appreciation could be more meaningful than continually increasing nominal wages.

He also called for an interim financial relief package to support workers while preparations for the next minimum wage negotiations continued. He recalled that a ?35,000 wage award had previously helped workers cope with the transition to the current minimum wage.

Ajaero urged the government to include minimum pension payments in the forthcoming minimum wage negotiations, arguing that retirees were among those worst affected by Nigeria’s economic difficulties.

He said some pensioners received as little as ?20,000 or ?30,000 monthly, leaving them unable to meet basic needs such as accommodation, transportation and food.

The labour leader maintained that minimum pension provisions should be considered alongside minimum wage adjustments to ensure that retired workers were not left behind.

He called for measures to guarantee that pensioners under both the defined-benefit and contributory pension schemes received adequate retirement benefits. He further urged the government to use increased revenue from crude oil exports to provide relief for Nigerians struggling with the rising cost of living.

He noted that higher petroleum prices had significantly increased transportation, food and other household expenses, eroding the gains from the current minimum wage.

The NLC president maintained that the minimum wage debate should extend beyond public servants to cover workers in the organised private sector and the informal economy, including artisans, hairdressers and other self-employed Nigerians.

Earlier, in his welcome address, ActionAid Nigeria Country Director, Dr Andrew Mamedu, supported the call for early negotiations, describing the timing of the research as critical to shaping discussions on the next minimum wage.

Mamedu said waiting until the current three-year review period had elapsed before beginning negotiations could undermine efforts to secure better wages for millions of Nigerians.

He argued that while some macroeconomic indicators might suggest improvement, the everyday experiences of Nigerians continued to reflect significant economic hardship.

According to him, minimum wage compliance affected not only unionised workers but also employees in the private sector and millions of other Nigerians covered by the relevant wage laws.

Mamedu said ActionAid Nigeria was committed to helping lift five million people out of poverty and believed that the payment of decent wages could contribute significantly to achieving that objective.

He explained that the organisation partnered with the NLC to investigate the implementation of minimum wage provisions across the country after concerns emerged over persistent non-compliance with previous wage increases.

Presenting the research findings, Dr Terfa Abraham said that despite increased allocations from the Federation Account Allocation Committee (FAAC) to states, full compliance with minimum wage requirements remained a challenge across state and local governments, as well as some federal agencies.

He attributed the varying levels of compliance, particularly at the state and local government levels, to weak political commitment and the failure of some governments to prioritise wage obligations in their public spending.

Abraham also identified inflationary pressures and the harsh effects of economic reforms as factors contributing to the problem, noting that increased revenue allocations had not necessarily translated into adequate spending on workers’ wages.

The findings highlighted the gap between government revenue and the fulfilment of statutory wage obligations, raising concerns about the welfare of workers and pensioners amid persistent economic pressures.

The report underscored the need for stronger political will, improved monitoring of compliance and more deliberate prioritisation of wage and pension payments by the relevant tiers of government.

The NLC and ActionAid Nigeria maintained that the findings should inform the next minimum wage negotiations and drive stronger accountability in the payment of wages and pensions across the country.

CAFOSEL commemorates World Food Day with supports for 15 households in Ibadan

Coordination of Actors on Food Security and Livelihood (CAFOSEL), a network of 17 organisations working in food security, nutrition, agriculture and sustainable livelihoods, has marked the 2026 World Food Day with community food support and initiatives aimed at promoting sustainable agriculture and improving livelihoods.

The event, held at the National Orientation Agency (NOA) headquarters in Ibadan, attracted more than 60 participants from within and outside the network.

Held under the action theme: ‘GIVE. GROW. INNOVATE. NOURISH,’ the programme translated the global World Food Day theme, ‘Innovate Today, Nourish Tomorrow,’ into practical interventions, including food distribution to vulnerable households, promotion of urban agriculture, an innovation showcase and the launch of Ibadan Green Mart.

The initiative also aligned with the World Council of Churches’ Prayer and Action Against Hunger Coalition campaign: ‘Give Your Loaves and Fish,’ which encourages practical responses to hunger and food insecurity.

Speaking at the event, Director of Ecumenism of the Nigerian Baptist Convention, Rev. Dr. Testimony Onifade, emphasised the connection between food security and peaceful coexistence, noting that societies struggling with hunger face challenges to their overall well-being and stability.

Alhaji Isiaka, Deputy Director of Media and Communication, who represented the director of the NOA, commended CAFOSEL and its partners for their efforts towards addressing food insecurity.

Similarly, a representative of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development, Mr. Afolabi, harped on the need to embrace evolving agricultural practices while ensuring environmental conservation.

A retired medical doctor and garden enthusiast, Dame Dr. Ademito Iyun, encouraged households to embrace gardening as a means of improving access to fresh food and promoting self-sufficiency.

Rev. Dr. Victor-Tade, popularly known as Mama Empowerment, highlighted the importance of women’s empowerment and youth participation in food security and livelihood initiatives.

A major highlight of the programme was the GIVE Community Solidarity Action, through which more than 15 households received food items, including rice, beans, tomato paste, garri and kulikuli.

Under the GROW initiative, participants also received seedlings and plants, including ewedu, tomatoes, oregano, African basil, artemisia and king-of-bitter, donated by Mrs Oluwatomi Olatoye of the Urban Agriculture Garden and Academy.

The innovation showcase provided an opportunity to explore practical solutions to food system challenges, while the launch of Ibadan Green Mart was designed to promote product display, strengthen market access and establish connections among farmers, producers and enterprises.

CAFOSEL said the programme was made possible through the collective efforts of its coordinating team, member organisations and partners, with significant contributions from Pastor Elijah Adejimi, founder of For Nature and Future Ecogreen Initiative; Rev. Dr. James Aderele; Dtn. Victoria Oyekanmi; and Ms. Feranmi Feyisetan, alongside other stakeholders.

The network appreciated the collaboration and support of the NOA and the World Council of Churches, represented by Toyosi Olatayo of Palmira Farmtrade.

Oyo 2027: Inside the Battle for Makinde’s successor as 16 candidates emerge

THE contest to succeed Governor Seyi Makinde is taking shape, with the All Progressives Congress (APC)’s Sharafadeen Alli, Allied People’s Movement (APM)’s Abimbola Adekanmbi, Accord’s Oriyomi Hamzat and 13 other candidates preparing for a high-stakes battle over the future of Oyo State.

The race will test Makinde’s ability to transfer his political influence to a successor, the APC’s determination to reclaim power and the capacity of smaller parties to challenge the established political order.

The Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) released its final list of 16 governorship candidates on October 10, 2026, formally identifying the contenders for the contest to occupy the Agodi Government House after the 2027 general election.

What initially appeared to be a familiar contest between the ruling political establishment and an opposition seeking to dislodge it has developed into a more complicated struggle involving party realignments, competing ambitions, questions of succession, political loyalties and the search for a credible alternative.

At the centre of the unfolding drama is Makinde, who is approaching the end of his second term and cannot seek another consecutive term as governor. His political future, including his presidential ambition on the platform of the APM, has added a national dimension to the struggle for control of Oyo State.

Yet, beyond the personalities and party platforms, the election will ultimately test whether political popularity can be transferred, whether a divided opposition can unite around a common objective and whether voters will prioritise continuity, change or a fresh political direction.

The succession question: Can Makinde determine what comes next?

For Makinde, the 2027 election presents a significant political test: whether the influence accumulated over eight years in office can help determine who succeeds him.

Since Nigeria returned to democratic rule in 1999, Oyo State has developed a reputation for rejecting the preferred successors of outgoing governors. Former Governor Abiola Ajimobi failed to secure victory for his preferred candidate, Adebayo Adelabu, in 2019, when Makinde defeated him. Makinde now faces the challenge of avoiding a similar outcome as he prepares to leave office.

His preferred successor is Abimbola Adekanmbi, a former commissioner for finance in the state, who is contesting under the APM rather than the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), the platform on which Makinde won the governorship in 2019 and 2023.

The decision to pursue the succession project through the APM has altered the political calculations in the state. It raises questions about how much of the existing governing structure will move with the governor, how effectively the new platform can establish itself across Oyo’s 33 local government areas and whether voters will view Adekanmbi as an independent candidate or principally as the choice of the outgoing administration.

The challenge is not simply to present a candidate with experience in government. It is to convert the governor’s political network, record and electoral support into a winning coalition under a different party identity.

Adekanmbi has presented himself as a candidate who can build on the administration’s record while maintaining his own political identity.

His campaign will need to persuade voters that continuity offers tangible benefits, particularly in infrastructure, education, healthcare, economic development and governance.

At the same time, the APM must demonstrate that it can compete beyond the political influence of the governor who has made it central to his succession plans.

Makinde’s presidential ambition could further complicate the exercise. A successful transfer of power in Oyo would strengthen his political standing nationally, while a defeat for his preferred successor could expose the limitations of his influence beyond his own tenure.

Alli and the APC: The challenge of turning opposition into victory

Senator Alli enters the race as the APC’s governorship candidate, with the party seeking to return to power in Oyo after eight years in opposition.

His challenge is to unite competing party interests, consolidate grassroots support and convince voters that his administration would offer a credible alternative to the outgoing government.

The APC presents one of the strongest organisational challenges to Makinde’s succession project. Its national platform, established political network and presence across the state’s three senatorial districts give it a substantial base from which to campaign.

Alli, who represents Oyo South Senatorial District in the Senate, has outlined priorities including education, healthcare, agriculture, infrastructure, security, economic empowerment and local government administration.

His campaign platform also emphasises inclusive governance and measurable public service delivery.

However, the APC’s principal challenge is internal cohesion.

The contest for the party’s governorship ticket brought several prominent figures into competition, including former Minister of Power Adebayo Adelabu and other influential politicians.

Although Alli emerged as the candidate, the ability to bring the various tendencies together behind him will be a critical determinant of the party’s prospects.

Party unity cannot be measured merely by public endorsements or appearances at campaign events. It will depend on whether influential leaders deploy their structures, mobilise supporters and work together across local government areas.

Alli must also define his campaign beyond opposition to Makinde. While the incumbent’s record will inevitably feature in the contest, voters will want to know what the senator intends to do differently, how he plans to finance his promises and what measurable improvements residents should expect.

The APC candidate’s performance in the three senatorial districts will be particularly important.

A strong showing in Ibadan does not automatically guarantee success in Oke-Ogun, Ogbomoso, Oyo and Ibarapa, where local political interests and candidate appeal can shape voting patterns.

For Alli, therefore, the challenge is twofold: consolidate the APC’s traditional support and attract voters who may be dissatisfied with the current administration but are not automatically committed to the opposition.

Adekambi and the APM: A test of continuity

Adekanmbi, although backed by Makinde’s political camp, his candidacy places continuity, experience in government and the outgoing governor’s political legacy at the centre of the election.

Adekanmbi’s emergence has changed the character of the succession contest.

Rather than remain within the PDP, Makinde’s camp is seeking to establish the APM as the vehicle for its 2027 political project.

His experience in public finance provides a basis for discussing budgeting, revenue generation, expenditure management and economic planning. But experience alone will not settle the election.

His campaign must explain how that experience would translate into improved living standards, better public services and stronger economic opportunities across the state.

The central question is whether voters will regard him as the candidate best placed to sustain the administration’s policies or as a symbol of an outgoing government seeking to retain influence.

Continuity can be an advantage when voters believe an administration has delivered meaningful improvements. It can become a liability when they want a change of direction or associate the government with unresolved problems.

Adekanmbi will consequently need to establish a political identity that extends beyond his relationship with Makinde.

The outgoing governor’s endorsement may provide access to an established political network, but it cannot automatically transfer the personal choices of voters.

The campaign must still earn support in communities where economic pressures, local development needs and individual political loyalties may differ.

Makinde’s political ambition also adds another layer to the equation. If Adekanmbi succeeds, it could strengthen the governor’s influence as he moves towards national politics. If he fails, the result could raise questions about the durability of the political structure built during Makinde’s tenure.

Accord and Oriyomi Hamzat: Can popularity become political power?

Hamzat’s candidacy introduces a prominent media personality into the governorship contest. His challenge is to translate public recognition and his existing support base into the political organisation required to compete across the state.

Hamzat’s presence means the contest cannot be understood solely through the rivalry between the APC and APM.

His profile as a broadcaster gives him a degree of public visibility that many candidates must work hard to establish. Yet, name recognition and electoral strength are not the same thing.

A successful governorship campaign requires more than an audience. It demands ward-level organisation, credible agents, effective coordination, fundraising, a policy programme and the capacity to reach voters across all 33 local government areas.

Hamzat must also demonstrate how his candidacy would address the practical challenges facing residents, from the cost of living and employment to security, education, healthcare and local infrastructure.

Accord’s performance in Oyo will be watched closely because it offers another platform through which voters can express their preferences outside the two leading political camps.

The party’s prospects will depend on its ability to build a statewide coalition rather than rely on visibility concentrated in particular communities or among specific groups of supporters.

Hamzat’s emergence also creates a potential complication for the larger parties. A candidate who attracts voters seeking an alternative could affect the distribution of votes even without becoming the leading contender.

The extent of that influence, however, will depend on campaign organisation, the issues raised during the election and the level of support the candidate can sustain beyond his established audience.

Gbolarumi and the PDP: Rebuilding a traditional political platform

Hazeem Gbolarumi represents the PDP. His candidacy raises questions about the party’s ability to retain its identity and electoral base after the incumbent’s succession project moved to the APM.

The PDP faces a particularly difficult political calculation. It remains an established party in Oyo, with a history of electoral competition and an existing political network. Yet the movement of Makinde’s succession project to the APM creates a challenge for the party’s position in the state.

Gbolarumi’s task will be to show that the PDP remains a viable choice in its own right rather than a party whose electoral relevance depends entirely on the incumbent governor.

That will require a clear message, effective organisation and the ability to appeal to party loyalists as well as voters who may be looking for an alternative to both the APC and APM.

The party’s performance could also influence the wider contest. A well-organised PDP campaign could attract voters who might otherwise gravitate towards another opposition platform, while a weak showing could leave its supporters divided among competing candidates.

The broader issue is whether the PDP can convert its historical presence into a competitive campaign under the changed circumstances of 2027.

ADC, NDC and the other contenders: The wider field

Beyond the four principal names, the other candidates will seek to establish their relevance through distinct political messages, local networks and appeals to voters dissatisfied with the established parties.

The African Democratic Congress (ADC), represented by Adegboyega Adegoke, is one of the platforms to watch as opposition politics evolves ahead of 2027.

The Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC), under Yusuf, also enters the contest with an opportunity to present itself as an alternative to the better-established parties.

The Labour Party (LP), which attracted considerable national attention during the 2023 elections, will be seeking to determine whether it can sustain and convert that wider political recognition into support in Oyo.

The remaining parties face similar challenges: distinguishing their candidates from the leading contenders, developing credible programmes and persuading voters that their platforms offer practical answers to the state’s problems.

Betta Edu at 40: A rare gloom of grace, grit and greatness

Birthday tributes are no lengthy religious sermons, but how does one describe in few words a vibrant young in age but exudes the wisdom of a 90-year-old?

A woman whose life is defined by fierce empathy for the downtrodden, unwavering service to humanity, and uncompromising love for country?

At 40, Dr. Betta Edu remains a role model for young people, especially young women, uncertain of life directions.

As Co-Director of Women Mobilisation of the APC Presidential Campaign Council (PCC), she brings uncommon verve, strategic dexterity, and infectious energy to the task of galvanising Nigerian women behind President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s re-election bid.

Her outings so far have been marked by purposeful engagement, formidable grassroots mobilisation, and a refreshing demonstration of political commitment.

At the inauguration of the APC PCC, Edu distinguished herself with dignified conduct, measured eloquence, and inspiring remarks that underscored her readiness for the assignment.

In her, the APC PPC finds not merely a mobiliser but a woman whose passion is palpable, whose purpose is unmistakable, and whose drive is difficult to ignore.

There is something remarkably compelling about Dr. Edu: The fire in her spirit, the grace in her carriage, the conviction in her words, and the tenacity with which she pursues a cause.

At 40, Dr. Edu stands as a striking blend of brain and brawn, elegance and enterprise, intellect and impact.

She does not merely occupy space; she commands attention. She does not simply join the procession; she helps set the pace.

Some people wait for greatness to find them; others, like Edu, announce its arrival through the force of their character and the footprints of their accomplishments.

‘Age is an issue of mind over matter. If you don’t mind, it doesn’t matter.’- Mark Twain .At a young age, Dr Edu’s journey reflects the power of purpose, courage and determination, demonstrating that true leadership is measured not by age, but by the impact one makes and the lives one inspires.

For Edu, this milestone is more than a date on the calendar; it is a celebration of grace, grit, growth, and a life that continues to unfold with remarkable promise.

She is no ordinary woman. She belongs to that rare breed whose lives seem touched by the unmistakable fingerprints of distinction. From her early years, Dr. Edu has displayed the unmistakable signs of a star destined to shine.

In my previous write-up marking her 39th birthday, I described her using the Yoruba expression, ‘Látì kékeré ló ti n ?e b?´b?`,’ which aptly captures the essence of her journey and the early signs of excellence that have continued to define her story.The seeds of greatness often announce themselves long before the harvest.

Her journey is a compelling chronicle of ambition disciplined by hard work, talent sharpened by learning, and opportunity transformed into impact.

Poised, articulate, and purposeful, she has traversed the corridors of medicine, public health, politics, and public service with a rare combination of intellectual depth and grassroots appeal.

Her story is not merely about how far she has travelled but how much she has dared to accomplish along the way.

Nelson Mandela once observed that ‘What counts in life is not the mere fact that we have lived. It is what difference we have made to the lives of others.’

By this measure, Edu’s journey offers a powerful testament to the possibilities that unfold when courage meets competence and ambition finds a worthy purpose.

To many young Nigerians, particularly women, she represents the audacity to dream beyond limitations and the determination to turn those dreams into tangible achievements.

From Special Adviser to the Governor on Community Health, to Director-General of the Cross River State Primary Healthcare Development Agency to Commissioner for Health, Chairman of the Forum of Commissioners for Health, National Woman Leader of the APC, Minister of Humanitarian Affairs and Poverty Alleviation, and now Co-Director of Women Mobilisation of the APC PCC, Edu’s public-service trajectory has been marked by demanding assignments and high expectations.

Across these roles, she has projected an abiding commitment to service, organisational leadership, and the advancement of causes she believes in.

Her present assignment places her before one of the most consequential challenges in Nigeria’s political landscape: mobilising women whose electoral strength and grassroots influence remain indispensable to democratic success.

In this arena, Edu brings the instincts of a seasoned organiser, the eloquence of a persuasive communicator, and the energy of a woman determined to make every moment count.

Her current outings reflect a spirited effort to build bridges, deepen engagement, and rally women around the President’s re-election campaign.

Edu first entered the wider public consciousness in 2015 when she emerged as one of the youngest aides appointed by then Cross River State Governor, Professor Ben Ayade.

She subsequently became the youngest commissioner in his cabinet, an early distinction that announced her arrival as a rising force in the state’s political firmament.University of Calabar,

A former student-union leader at the where she studied Medicine, Edu has long demonstrated a gift for public speaking and mobilisation.

Before becoming Commissioner for Health in 2019, she served as Special Adviser and Director-General of the Cross River State Primary Healthcare Development Agency, as well as Special Technical Adviser to the Governor on the state’s Privatisation Council.

Her emergence as APC National Woman Leader in 2022 further elevated her political profile. When the position was zoned to the South-South, party stakeholders rallied around her on account of her youth, vibrancy, educational pedigree, advocacy for women, and formidable grassroots appeal.

She won the keenly contested election and served until her nomination as a Minister of the Federal Republic of Nigeria in 2023.

Academically accomplished, Edu holds a medical degree from the University of Calabar, postgraduate qualifications in public health from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom, and a Doctor of Public Health degree from Texila American University.

Her academic journey reflects a determination to complement political influence with professional knowledge and intellectual substance.

A proud daughter of Adadama in Abi Local Government Area of Cross River State, Edu carries her roots with pride while projecting a broad vision of national service.

Her story speaks to the possibilities of a Nigeria where talent, hard work and determination can open doors to leadership and consequential public engagement.

As she marks her 40th birthday, the celebration goes beyond age. It honours a woman whose journey has been shaped by audacity, whose public life has been driven by ambition and whose political energy continues to find expression in new assignments.

For her admirers, she is a symbol of youthful leadership, humanitarian response, women’s empowerment, and the enduring power of purposeful service.

On this special day, I celebrate my boss, Dr Betta Edu: the medical doctor, the mobiliser, the orator, the trailblazer, and the woman whose story continues to inspire.

May the years ahead bring her renewed wisdom, enduring peace, greater accomplishments, and the grace to fulfil every worthy aspiration.

May the joy she shares, the hope she inspires, and the goodwill she extends to others return to her a hundredfold.

As she pursues her present assignment in the APC PCC, may her efforts yield fruitful outcomes, and her commitment to public service continue to find noble expression.

Happy 40th birthday, Dr Betta Edu, my boss- a rare bloom of grace, a force of conviction, and a woman still writing her story in bold strokes of purpose and possibility.

Rasheed Olanrewaju Zubair, ANIPR, FMBI, is a senior journalist, Media and Public Relations Consultant, and Strategic Communications Expert. He writes from Abuja, FCT.

Why airlines are vulnerable to price volatility, supply interruptions – Expert

Former Managing Director of the Federal Airports Authority of Nigeria (FAAN), Dr Richard Aisuebeogun, has identified fuel price volatility, foreign-exchange fluctuations and disruptions in global supply chains as major factors exposing airlines to operational and financial risks, warning that these challenges could increase airfares, disrupt flight schedules and weaken connectivity.

Aisuebeogun, who spoke in a paper titled ‘Navigating Global Disruptions and the Road Ahead: Mobility, Energy and Trade Facilitation for a Resilient Future,’ presented at the second edition of Transport Summit 2026, organised by JustAlive Communications Limited recently, called for stronger supply-chain management, strategic fuel infrastructure and the development of domestic technical capabilities to improve aviation resilience.

He explained that airlines operate within a cost-intensive environment in which fuel, aircraft leasing, insurance, maintenance and other essential inputs are significantly exposed to international market conditions and foreign-currency obligations.

According to him, fluctuations in energy prices and disruptions in fuel supply can affect airline operating costs, while foreign-exchange volatility increases the cost of maintaining aircraft, acquiring spare parts and financing fleet expansion.

These pressures, he noted, could constrain investment, delay equipment replacement, increase ticket prices, reduce flight frequency and undermine operational reliability.

Explaining further, he stressed that ‘conflicts in major energy-producing regions and along important international trade routes can increase the cost of fuel, insurance, shipping, and imported transport inputs. For a country whose transport operators depend on petroleum products and imported technical equipment, these changes can quickly affect service delivery’.

Aisuebeogun stressed that energy security was fundamental to the resilience of the transport sector, particularly aviation, where fuel availability and affordability directly influence service delivery.

‘Strategic fuel infrastructure is therefore essential for national resilience,’ he stated.

Aisuebeogun identified fuel price fluctuations and supply interruptions as significant risks to transport operations, noting that airlines require reliable access to aviation fuel to maintain schedules and sustain commercial operations.

He explained that disruptions in fuel availability or sharp increases in prices could trigger flight delays and cancellations, increase operating expenditure and place additional pressure on airfares.

‘Rising energy costs can translate into higher fares and freight charges, which ultimately increase the cost of food, manufactured goods, and other essential consumer commodities’.

‘The aviation industry perhaps demonstrates the importance of energy security. Fuel costs often represent a significant proportion of airline operating expenses. Disruptions in fuel supply can lead to: Flight delays or even cancellations; Increased ticket prices; reduced connectivity; economic losses. strategic fuel infrastructure is therefore essential for national resilience,’ he said.

He consequently advocated strategic fuel infrastructure, diversified sourcing arrangements and improved supply-chain risk management to reduce exposure to external disruptions.

Experts seek effective physical planning among South-West states

Experts in physical planning and urban development have canvassed for stronger cooperation among South-West states to coordinate infrastructure development, tackle urban congestion and flooding, improve housing delivery and attract investments across the region.

They spoke at a two-day Lagos Physical Planning Summit 2.0, held in Victoria Island, Lagos, where stakeholders sought an integrated regional development framework to address urban challenges that transcend state boundaries.

The experts argued that effective physical planning among Lagos, Ogun, Oyo, Osun, Ondo and Ekiti states would improve transportation networks, strengthen economic corridors and promote sustainable urban growth.

The Senate Leader, Senator Opeyemi Bamidele, proposed a Lagos-to-South-West Spatial Development and Investment Compact, to foster collaboration among the six states on cross-border infrastructure, environmental resilience, regional economic development and investment opportunities.

Speaking on the theme: ‘Diagnosis to Delivery: Positioning Lagos for Regional Strategic Development and Priority Investment Agenda,’ Bamidele said the future of Lagos and its neighbouring states depended not only on the quality of their development plans, but also on their commitment to finance, coordinate and implement them.

He proposed that the framework should bring together state governments, relevant federal institutions, planning authorities, infrastructure agencies, private-sector organisations and development partners to identify common priorities and develop practical implementation plans.

He said, regional transportation and logistics, industrial development, power infrastructure, housing, environmental management and investment mobilisation require greater cooperation among the states.

He also called for improved land administration, digital innovation, transparent development regulations and effective public-private partnerships, stressing that regional projects must have clear funding arrangements, defined responsibilities and measurable performance targets.

Bamidele said coordinated development could reduce congestion, improve the movement of goods and people, attract investments and create employment opportunities across the South-West.

He added that effective physical planning should translate into accessible housing, shorter commuting times, reduced flood risks and a more productive business environment.

Lagos State governor, Mr Babajide Sanwo-Olu, also advocated stronger regional cooperation, noting that transportation, housing, economic activities and environmental challenges frequently extend beyond administrative boundaries.

Sanwo-Olu, represented by the state Head of Service, Mr Bode Agoro, said the rapid growth of Lagos’s population, expanding economic activities and limited land resources made proper planning essential to sustainable development.

He urged stakeholders to move beyond preparing development plans to ensuring their effective implementation through clear priorities, adequate funding and measurable results.

The governor stressed that decisions on land use, housing, transportation, drainage and infrastructure must be properly coordinated to prevent congestion, flooding and overcrowded settlements.

He also called for stronger collaboration among ministries, departments and agencies, consistent enforcement of planning regulations and transparent development approval processes.

Sanwo-Olu identified reliable data, clear implementation timelines and accountable institutions as critical to translating development plans into tangible improvements in residents’ living conditions while providing greater certainty for investors.

Commissioner for Physical Planning and Urban Development, Dr Oluyinka Olumide, said the summit provided an opportunity for policymakers, professionals, investors, developers and academics to develop practical solutions to Lagos’s urban development challenges.

He said master plans and model city plans must guide infrastructure provision, housing, transportation, environmental management and investment decisions rather than remain documents without effective implementation

Olumide also highlighted regional collaboration, improved planning administration and technology as essential tools for modern urban management.

He disclosed that the Electronic Physical Planning Permit Processing System, introduced on April 1, 2026, was designed to enable applicants to process planning permit applications remotely, reduce unnecessary human interference and improve efficiency without compromising planning standards or public safety.

The commissioner called for innovative infrastructure financing, stronger institutional coordination and sustained investment in the capacity of planning officers and allied professionals.

He urged participants to ensure that the summit’s recommendations were practical, measurable and supported by clear responsibilities, timelines and credible funding arrangements.

The Permanent Secretary, Office of Physical Planning, Tpl. Olayinka Adebayo Wasiu, commended the state government for its commitment to physical planning and sustainable development through the T.H.E.M.E.S+ Agenda.

He expressed confidence that the knowledge shared and recommendations generated at the summit would strengthen partnerships and promote practical solutions for sustainable urban development in Lagos and the wider region.