Non-oil sectors power ahead as Azerbaijan navigates energy turbulence

A more fragile global backdrop is beginning to weigh on growth prospects, as highlighted by the International Monetary Fund in its April 2026 World Economic Outlook. The Fund trimmed its global growth forecast by 0.3 percentage points, while sharply lowering projections for oil-exporting economies by 2.6 percentage points. The revisions underscore rising uncertainty driven by persistent energy price volatility and intensifying geoeconomic tensions.

Against this backdrop, Azerbaijan’s economy showed mixed signals in the first quarter of 2026. Headline GDP contracted modestly by 0.3 per cent, largely reflecting external pressures in energy markets and a 3.4 per cent decline in oil production. Yet beneath the surface, the picture appears more resilient. Growth in the non-oil and gas sector continued to anchor economic activity, supported by robust domestic demand, steady investment flows and expansion across services and industry.

Industrial output in the non-oil sector rose by 7.0 per cent, while the information and communications sector expanded by 9.2 per cent and trade by 3.7 per cent. Per capita income increased by 6.6 per cent over the same period. Consumer market activity also strengthened, with the total value of goods sold and services provided rising by 4.6 per cent. Retail trade turnover grew by 3.7 per cent, public catering by 5.2 per cent and paid services by 8.8 per cent, indicating sustained consumption momentum despite external headwinds.

A notable drag came from the construction sector, where value added fell by 19.8 per cent. This decline reflects the phased execution of public investment programmes, seasonal factors affecting construction activity and the timing of large infrastructure projects. Authorities expect a rebound in the coming quarters as spending accelerates under the State Investment Programme, particularly in reconstruction efforts in the liberated territories and within the framework of the ‘Great Return’ programme.

Temporary weakness was also observed in transport and tourism, sectors sensitive to geopolitical shifts and disruptions in international logistics. However, officials anticipate that renewed infrastructure activity and increased state investment will help restore growth momentum in these areas over the course of the year.

Investment trends point to continued confidence in the medium-term outlook. Total investment in fixed assets rose by 14.9 per cent in the first quarter, with a striking 44.6 per cent increase in the oil and gas sector. Meanwhile, investment in the non-state segment of the non-oil economy grew by 17.3 per cent, signalling expanding private sector participation.

External trade dynamics further reinforce the diversification narrative. Non-oil and gas exports increased by 11.7 per cent, outpacing import growth of 1.2 per cent by a wide margin, excluding gold imports by the State Oil Fund. Food exports rose by 25.1 per cent to $281mn, driven by sharp increases in key categories: sugar exports surged 4.5-fold, cotton yarn doubled, while vegetable and animal oils rose by 68.4 per cent and cotton fibre by 43.5 per cent. Exports of fruits and vegetables climbed by 22.1 per cent, aluminium products by 20.4 per cent, tea by 15.1 per cent and beverages by 4.3 per cent.

Agricultural exports increased by 26.6 per cent to $215.6mn, while agro-industrial exports grew by 27.4 per cent to $88mn. Combined, these segments expanded by 26.8 per cent to $303.7mn, highlighting the growing contribution of value-added production chains beyond hydrocarbons.

These trends suggest that Azerbaijan’s long-standing push to diversify its economic base is beginning to yield measurable results. The strengthening of non-oil sectors has enhanced the economy’s resilience to external shocks while creating a broader platform for sustainable growth.

Policy efforts continue to focus on improving the business climate and stimulating private sector development. At a meeting of the Economic Council on April 10, discussions centred on removing bottlenecks in infrastructure connectivity and industrial development. Complementing this, the Commission on Business Environment and International Ratings has expanded surveys among entrepreneurs covering areas such as trade operations, taxation, financial services and tourism, an approach aimed at aligning reforms with business needs.

International institutions have taken note. The World Bank, through its Business Ready 2025 (B-Ready) report, has for the first time assessed Azerbaijan across regulatory frameworks, public services, and operational efficiency. Both the World Bank and the IMF have revised their 2026 growth forecasts for the country upward to 2.0 per cent and 2.2 per cent, respectively, reflecting confidence in the government’s macroeconomic management and structural reform agenda.

Looking ahead, authorities are preparing the ‘Socio-economic Development Strategy for 2027-2030’, which is expected to define a new phase of growth centred on higher productivity, diversification, and stronger public-private partnerships. In an increasingly uncertain global environment, Azerbaijan’s challenge will be to sustain this transition while navigating continued volatility in its traditional energy base.

Azerbaijan relocates 17 families to Khojavand city

In accordance with the instructions of President Ilham Aliyev, the Great Return to the territories liberated from occupation continues.

AzerNEWS reports that in the early hours of the day, a new group of families departed for the Red Bazaar settlement (Qirmizi Bazar) in the Khojavand district, marking another step in the ongoing reconstruction and repopulation efforts in the region.

According to information, the settlement has now welcomed 17 families, comprising a total of 74 people.

Returning residents expressed gratitude to the country’s leadership for the conditions created for their return. They also paid tribute to the soldiers who lost their lives during the liberation of the territories, praying for mercy for the martyrs and wishing good health to the veterans.

Earlier 92 families, comprising 332 people, have been resettled in the city of Aghdam. These families had previously lived in temporary accommodations across the country, including dormitories, sanatoriums, and administrative buildings.

Court faults regulator over unlawful cancellation of essential drug licences

The High Court has quashed a decision by the State’s Pharmacy and Poisons Board (PPB) to cancel a pharmaceutical company’s licenses for the manufacture and distribution of 40 lifesaving medicines on claims of counterfeiting, warning that the move risked disrupting access to essential medicines in Kenya.

The court faulted the regulator for acting unlawfully and procedurally unfairly in cancelling the permits of a Kenyan firm, Galaxy Pharmaceuticals, which is locked in a Sh1.4 billion dispute with a former partner from India, India’s Prism Life Sciences Limited, over the sale of pharmaceutical products used in the treatment of various chronic illnesses, including heart diseases, atherosclerosis, and diabetes mellitus.

The court found that PPB went beyond its mandate by intervening in a commercial and trademark dispute while failing to follow due process.

‘The decision to cancel the registration of the products was marred with irregularity because the respondent ventured into the realm of the commercial courts in determining the trademarks dispute, which issue was substantially still in contention for determination at the commercial courts,’ the court said.

The ruling lifts a regulatory cloud that had effectively blocked Galaxy from trading in the affected medicines, even after laboratory tests confirmed the products met required standards.

The legal dispute started after Prism Life Sciences lodged a commercial suit seeking damages of $11. 5 million (Sh1.4 billion) from Galaxy and the PPB as compensation for profits and sales of two years covering 2023 and 2024. Galaxy filed a judicial review case against PPB.

It denied any liability and wanted damages, if any, to be apportioned to the board over alleged failure to discharge its duty as the market watchdog.

The case of Prism related to alleged breach of trust and conspiracy between Galaxy and PPB to deprive it of the ownership of its pharmaceutical products and brands.

The board quarantined the drugs following the brand infringement complaints but later cleared them for compliance, only to proceed with cancellation without giving adequate reasons or a fair hearing.

‘The respondent’s conduct was procedurally unfair, irrational and unlawful,’ the court said while ruling on the judicial review case, adding that the regulator failed to accord the company a proper opportunity to be heard before taking action.

The court further observed that the board relied on shifting and contradictory grounds to justify the cancellation, undermining the integrity of the decision-making process.

At the heart of the dispute is a long-running commercial fallout between Galaxy and Prism over rights to manufacture and distribute dozens of pharmaceutical products used to treat chronic conditions.

The row, already before the Commercial Court, involves claims of trademark ownership, alleged counterfeiting, and breach of distribution agreements.

Despite the parallel proceedings, the board moved to cancel Galaxy’s licences, citing alleged misrepresentation in the registration process.

However, the High Court ruled that such issues fell within the jurisdiction of commercial courts and not a regulatory agency.

The judge warned that the board’s actions created a ‘regulatory stalemate’ by barring Galaxy from importing its own products while allowing third parties to deal in the same medicines.

This, the court said, posed a real risk to the supply chain of essential drugs, with potential consequences for patients relying on the medicines.

Court filings show that the affected products are used to manage conditions such as heart disease, diabetes, and other chronic illnesses, making continuity of supply critical.

Galaxy had argued that the cancellation threatened its operations, jobs, and ability to meet financial obligations, while also disrupting supply to hospitals and pharmacies.

The company told the court that orders had been cancelled and patients risked missing critical medication due to the regulatory impasse.

The Board, on its part, defended its decision, saying it acted within the law and after allowing the company to respond.

It maintained that the registrations were obtained through misrepresentation and that cancellation was necessary to protect public health.

Prism also backed the regulator, alleging that Galaxy had fraudulently acquired rights to the products and distributed substandard drugs.

But the court declined to delve into the merits of those claims, stressing that judicial review is limited to assessing the legality and fairness of administrative actions.

‘The role of this court is not to determine ownership disputes but to examine the decision-making process,’ the judge stated.

She stressed that the constitutional requirement for fair administrative action includes the right to clear reasons and a hearing before adverse decisions are taken.

Thailand-China robotic surgery a first

Thailand has successfully carried out its first cross-border tele-robotic surgery, marking a significant advance in the country’s medical technology and international healthcare collaboration, the Ministry of Public Health announced on Tuesday.

The procedure connected Nopparat Rajathanee Hospital in Bangkok with West China Hospital in Chengdu, more than 2,000 kilometres away.

A patient at Nopparat Rajathanee Hospital underwent robotic-assisted gallbladder removal while the Thai operating surgeon, Dr Pattharaporn Phetphosri, controlled the system remotely from Chengdu via a high-speed, real-time communications network.

Public Health Minister Pattana Promphat said the operation underscores Thailand’s commitment to integrating advanced technologies into its healthcare system.

He said tele-robotic surgery could improve efficiency, shorten waiting times and expand access to specialised care, allowing patients to receive treatment from leading experts without travelling abroad.

Gallbladder stone disease remains common in Thailand, and the successful use of robotic-assisted cholecystectomy could help address disparities in access to specialist treatment, particularly in remote or underserved areas, ministry officials said.

The operation was conducted under the Department of Medical Services, with on-site teams in Bangkok supporting the remote surgeon.

Azerbaijan becomes bridge between civilisations with its multicultural strategy

Throughout the centuries, as human society has evolved, so too has the nature of relationships among its various components. The diversity of religious, ethnic, and racial characteristics has shaped distinct cultures, each with its own values, traditions, and social norms. In the process of intercultural interaction, the recognition and understanding of these differences have played a crucial role in improving communication and fostering cooperation. Such engagement has often led not only to the exchange of ideas and practices but also to the blending of cultural traits, as well as the expansion of trade, economic ties, and diplomatic relations.

As these interactions intensified, processes of integration and unification gradually gave rise to what is now understood as globalization. This phenomenon has significantly increased interconnectedness among nations, linking societies across geographical, political, and cultural boundaries. Globalization has enabled the rapid flow of information, goods, and people, creating new opportunities for collaboration and development. At the same time, however, it has also raised complex questions about the nature and limits of intercultural engagement.

Ultimately, the success of intercultural interaction in the modern world depends on the ability of societies to embrace diversity while promoting mutual respect and understanding. Rather than viewing cultural differences as sources of division, they can be seen as opportunities for enrichment and innovation. In this context, effective intercultural policies and inclusive governance become essential tools for preventing conflict and ensuring sustainable global cooperation in an increasingly interconnected world.

Azerbaijan’s foreign policy achievements cannot be fully understood without examining the decisive role of its domestic political framework – particularly the emphasis on multiculturalism. As a core component of internal governance, multiculturalism in Azerbaijan has contributed to the preservation of ethnic, religious, and cultural diversity. This internal stability and inclusiveness naturally extend into the country’s external relations. By promoting tolerance and coexistence at home, Azerbaijan creates a foundation for building constructive and cooperative relationships abroad, regardless of ethnic or religious differences. In this way, domestic multiculturalism becomes a strategic asset, fostering dialogue and strengthening intercultural and inter-civilizational connections on a global scale.

The process of building an independent Azerbaijani state, safeguarding its sovereignty, ensuring territorial integrity, and protecting economic interests has required a carefully balanced and multidimensional foreign policy. Since gaining independence, Azerbaijan has sought to gradually move beyond traditional spheres of influence while maintaining pragmatic ties with major global actors. Its foreign policy is characterized by flexibility and strategic balance: relations with Russia are counterbalanced by cooperation with the United States; engagement with the Islamic world is complemented by strong partnerships with European countries. This multi-vector approach allows Azerbaijan to position itself as a reliable partner across different geopolitical and cultural spaces.

Azerbaijan’s balanced diplomacy is also evident in its active participation in leading international organizations, including the United Nations, the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe, the Council of Europe, the Organization of Islamic Cooperation, NATO, the Commonwealth of Independent States, and the Organization of Turkic States. Through these platforms, the country contributes to international security, economic cooperation, and cultural dialogue, further reinforcing its role as a bridge between regions.

An important aspect of Azerbaijani diplomacy is its self-identification as a bridge between the Muslim and Christian worlds. This idea has been repeatedly emphasized by Ilham Aliyev, who highlights Azerbaijan’s unique position as a member of both the Council of Europe and the Organization of Islamic Cooperation. Such dual engagement reflects the country’s commitment to fostering mutual understanding between different civilizations and underscores its reputation as a tolerant and inclusive state.

In pursuit of protecting the rights of national minorities and religious communities Azerbaijan has acceded to more than 50 international legal instruments within the frameworks of organizations such as the United Nations, the Council of Europe, and the OSCE. The country has made notable progress in fulfilling its international obligations, further strengthening its image as a responsible member of the global community. Altogether, Azerbaijan’s experience demonstrates how a strong and inclusive domestic policy can serve as the foundation for a successful, balanced, and forward-looking foreign policy.

A key question in contemporary political and cultural discourse is: where and why have multicultural values failed? In a number of cases, difficulties have emerged in societies where the process of cultural and spiritual formation had already reached a certain level of consolidation, and only afterward new waves of migration introduced unfamiliar norms, values, and social practices. In such contexts, multiculturalism was often perceived not as an organic development, but as an externally introduced or artificially promoted model. As a result, established social and political systems sometimes struggled to absorb these new elements, leading to tensions, fragmentation, and debates over identity and cohesion.

This distinction brings forward an important methodological approach – the differentiation between “original diversity” and “late diversity.” Late diversity is typically associated with migration-driven changes, where new cultural layers are added to an already formed societal structure. In contrast, original diversity refers to a historical coexistence of different ethnic, religious, and cultural groups that have evolved together over centuries within the same geographical and social space. In such cases, diversity is not perceived as foreign or imposed, but as an inherent and natural characteristic of society itself.

Azerbaijan represents a notable example of what can be described as original diversity. The multicultural environment of the country has deep historical roots and has developed organically rather than through external imposition. Various communities have coexisted for centuries, forming a shared social fabric grounded in mutual respect and interaction.

This historical continuity helps explain why Azerbaijan has been more resilient in the face of challenges that multicultural policies have encountered in parts of Europe. While some European societies have faced difficulties integrating newly arrived cultural groups, Azerbaijan’s model is rooted in a longstanding tradition of coexistence rather than adaptation to sudden change. This has allowed the country to maintain social cohesion while preserving cultural plurality.

Today, Azerbaijan can be seen as a unique environment where representatives of different cultures, religions, and value systems live together in relative harmony. Its experience suggests that the success of multiculturalism depends not only on political frameworks, but also on historical context and development of diversity within society.

How did we get here?

My boss and mentor sent me a WhatsApp message a fortnight ago containing an interesting snippet with the picture of a donkey sitting bemused on a water tank. On it was an epigram: ‘Question is NOT how to get him down, but ‘Who helped him get there?’

I did not need an AI (artificial intelligence’s) robot or Google to decipher the poetically sarcastic message. Nigerians complain perpetually about everything under the sun. We are living like people in a captured territory, under the mercy of criminal gangs who unleash mayhem on citizens. Yet, the system offers protective shields to those responsible for the problem because they are sacred cows.

You cannot cure a disease by treating the symptoms while you leave the cause of the ailment. You cannot task the thief that stole your jewellery to help you find it, it will be in vain. This is the helpless state we find ourselves since independence, no redeeming feature. You cannot be doing the same thing over and over and expect a different result; that is opaque illusion and insanity. This is the time to do a soul-searching reflection and properly interrogate the state of the nation and roadmap to our nationhood. While we are playing the ostrich, burying our heads in the sand, Nigeria is slipping away from us as criminals lay siege to the country.

How did some street urchins come to acquire military grade rifles and turn kidnapping into a lucrative industry? We have morons and buffoons wielding and trailing weapons all over the place and we are complaining about insecurity and rising gun violence! How did we get here?

We are rehabilitating and reintegrating terrorists and insurgents, offering them amnesty while the victims are still languishing in internally displaced peoples’ (IDP) camps. How did we get here?

Who recruited these people, and who are their sponsors? How did we get here, that supposedly seasoned military commanders would reduce soldiering to negotiation and deradicalization of insurgents and enemies of the state?

A soldier is not trained to trade words with the enemy of state; there is no such military teaching. A soldier is trained to delete or neutralize the enemy and not rehabilitate or de-radicalize him. The liberal scholars’ appeasement and pacifist’s non-kinetic approach to fighting insecurity should not be allowed to be elevated to a military doctrine. The Armed Forces of Nigeria is not a human rights organization to my knowledge. Senior military commanders should be seen to talk like soldiers that they are, and spit fire on the enemy. This is what gives confidence to citizens and jitters to the enemy.

How did we get the bunch of people in the National Assembly who are fixated on self-glorification and gratifications while the entire state palpitate in fear of insecurity and consuming economic strangulation? How did we get a civil service and police force that is cesspool of corruption? How did we get here that Nigerians no longer have faith in the judiciary and justice becomes illusory? Now, judges and justices are identified by their political sponsors and godfathers and filial affiliation in appointment. Is knowledge and integrity genetic?

How did the insurgents and bandits acquire the sophisticated military grade weapons, surveillance drones and other platforms? They make and circulate videos, collect ransoms and get supply of victuals with heavy logistics. They launch attack on our troops and travellers alike and get away with them, no consequences!

Meanwhile the security agents are chasing protesters and yahoo boys and tracking them even to the gate of hell but do not appear to have any clue where kidnappers, insurgents and bandits are operating from? And our military commanders see these criminals and terrorists as prodigal sons to be rehabilitated, criminals who have killed our troops, including generals and unleash terror on the people? Criminals that have turned cannibals roasting and eating their victims!

There has to be honest self-examination and retrospection. Let us stand before a mirror and take a good look at the image we cut. If we do not like the way we look, breaking the mirror will not change our image, we have to change ourselves. Nigeria has to change and we are the ones to fix it. There are questions and more questions!

At independence Nigeria was such a promising country with great potential to drive global leadership. All that now is a pipe dream; we are struggling for the soul of the nation. Who got us here? Nigeria is at ‘Bermuda Triangle’. We do not need outsiders to tell us that the country is not safe. Just in the course of last week, the American Embassy issued travel advisory and security alert and directed non-essential elements of their embassy to leave Abuja, Nigeria’s seat of power. Someone in the senate leadership is quoted as saying that insecurity will end two months after the next general election, 2027. The state of insecurity in Nigeria should be of concern to all of us; we just can’t continue like this!

The Ika people of Delta State have a saying that, ‘when you blame the kite for carrying the chick, you should also blame the hen that exposed its chick’. We vote and chose our leaders, but if you disagree with this assertion and say that elections are rigged, Nigerians are the ones that rigged the election. Come to think of it, what is actually not rigged in this country? Even marriages are rigged, hospitals swap babies in the labour room and maternity wards. At the end we have troubled homes, failed marriages and challenging parenting.

We cannot be surprised that there is corruption in this country because we are all in it together. We should not be surprised at the insecurity ravaging the country; we were here when some desperate politicians recruited them and imported some; go and ask former governor of Kaduna State.

If we have to fix Nigeria, we have to first fix our brains and change the way we do things. Nigerians even at old age are voting with their legs for greener pastures in Europe and America leaving the lush green vegetation of the rivers Niger and Benue, and the luxuriating savannah grass for criminals, bandits and terrorists to take over. Nigeria is not going to be fixed by political rhetoric and sloganeering, this should sink into our heads. The path is strewn with banana peels and we are not going anywhere led by geriatrics or their minions and heir apparent. As the saying goes, ‘what a snake sires will be like a snake’.

It is only in Nigeria that one sees those who did not contest or stand in for party primary elections becoming senators and governors by magisterial declarations of the court and judiciary. In Nigeria today, judgment is rigged the same way elections are rigged.

We are the ones to fix Nigeria. You do not need to write to the European Union or to the International Criminal Court at The Hague to come and solve the problem of brutality and human rights abuses in Nigeria; it is our battle, we have to fight it. You do not need scavengers and merchants masquerading as human rights activists and non-governmental organizations or civil society organizations that come out to protest only when the price is good. Corruption permeates the body system and fabrics of the nation and even the temples of worship are contaminated.

How AI is pushing firms to rethink hiring, boost output

Artificial intelligence (AI) is no longer a futuristic concept; it is now embedded in the everyday mechanics of work. From recruitment and performance management to decision-making and productivity tracking, AI is reshaping how organisations operate and how employees experience the workplace.

At the fourth Human Resource Management forum hosted earlier this month by Liaison Group, HR leaders from across the country examined the evolving workplace and its demands on both employers and employees. At the heart of the discussions was a key question: is AI making the workplace better?

Hiring has traditionally been one of the most human-centric functions in any organisation. Yet today, many companies are relying on AI tools to screen CVs, rank candidates and even conduct initial interviews.

According to Joan Wainaina, Group Head of People and Culture at Liaison Group, this does not necessarily erode the human element.

‘I wouldn’t describe it as dehumanising the recruitment process. If anything, AI helps streamline the initial screening stage, which can significantly shorten hiring timelines and reduce uncertainty for candidates,’ she says.

‘It acts as a filtering tool to identify individuals who meet the core requirements. The more nuanced stages of interviews, such as assessments and onboarding, remain human-led, ensuring that the personal element of recruitment is preserved.’

Still, the reliance on algorithms raises concerns about whether organisations might be missing out on unconventional talent. Ms Wainaina acknowledges this risk but insists that the outcome largely depends on how AI is used.

‘Overall, the quality of hires remains strong. AI is only as effective as the criteria and data it is given, so organisations play a key role in defining what ‘good’ looks like. When configured thoughtfully, it can enhance consistency and efficiency. However, it is important to continuously review and refine these inputs to ensure that strong, non-traditional candidates are not inadvertently overlooked.’

Consequently, one of the most debated aspects of AI in recruitment is whether efficiency comes at the cost of fairness and candidate experience. Algorithms can process thousands of applications in seconds, but they can also replicate existing biases kept in historical data.

‘Ideally, there shouldn’t be significant trade-offs if AI is implemented responsibly. Fairness, bias mitigation, and candidate experience should remain guided by human oversight,’ Ms Wainaina says.

Even with AI streamlining recruitment, finding the right talent is a persistent challenge.

‘One of the key challenges is finding individuals with the right mindset, particularly adaptability, a willingness to learn, and the ability to translate theory into practical application. In today’s fast-evolving environment, continuous upskilling is critical. Younger talent also places high value on purpose, flexibility, and growth opportunities, which organisations must actively address to remain competitive,’ Ms Wainaina notes.

Additionally, the recruitment challenges are not just an HR issue, they have direct implications for business performance.

‘These challenges have a tangible impact on business performance. Hiring processes can be time-sensitive, especially for experienced roles where notice periods, buyouts, and competitive compensation come into play. Additionally, when key employees leave, there can be a temporary disruption in client relationships and service delivery, which may lead to short-term productivity gaps and increased operational strain,’ Ms Wainaina explains.

She points to a recent example within her industry: ‘Earlier this year, we experienced significant movement within the industry, with several highly skilled service managers leaving due to competitive salary pressures. Replacing this level of talent took close to three months, and during this time teams had to collaborate closely to maintain service standards. While the business remained resilient, it required deliberate effort and agility to manage the transition effectively.’

A generational reset

If AI is changing how work is done, generational shifts are changing why and where it is done.

Paul Kasimu, CEO of C-Suites Impact Consulting, argues that the workplace is undergoing a transformation rooted in context.

‘The first thing is the context, and it is everything. We are in the fifth industrial revolution. We have just come from the digital era, to the hyper-personalisation,’ he says.

This new era is defined by what he calls the ‘WWW of the workplace.’

‘Work has changed and the workplace is no longer the same. If you look at the five generations in the workplace, the baby boomers, Gen X, millennials, and now the Gen Z’s and Alpha is coming in. Different styles of how they are perceiving work. You can’t handle a millennial the same way you handle a Gen Z,’ Mr Kasimu says.

Leadership, too, is evolving. ‘The leader of today is a coach. You sell, you don’t tell. If you don’t connect, you are left.’

This shift is closely tied to how organisations currently define roles. ‘It’s the way organisations approach how they define work. The job descriptions move away from just describing jobs to outcomes. Which is why we are seeing more flexible working. People are saying, I’m at my best at 3am, so don’t force me to come to the office at 8 to 5.’

Another visible changes in today’s workplace is the declining employee loyalty. Shorter tenures, frequent job changes and rising attrition rates are becoming the norm. Mr Kasimu sees this as both a challenge and a warning. ‘One of the key measures of a stable organisation is attrition. Attrition, the way you keep up with talent. In fact, it’s how you attract, retain a highly performing workforce,’ he says.

‘For every talent that leaves, the cost of replacement, the cost of downtime, sometimes comes to two times of the annual cost of that particular position. If you have a top talent who you can’t keep, when they leave, they emotionally take away others in the organisation,’ he adds.

AI as collaborator, not competitor

Despite fears of job displacement, most experts agree that AI is more likely to augment human work than replace it.

‘AI the bigger point is where you remove the repetitive work. AI cannot replace the human aspect of work, but it also removes the operational, sometimes manual pieces of work. What the computer did 20 years ago, is now the next level of providing machine to work with man,’ Mr Kasimu says.

‘AI is a tool that helps people work better. But remove the machine part of people, and then you’ll have AI, but you’ll still have the soul of the organisation.’

At the same time, AI is rapidly advancing. ‘AI is also learning; it has not reached a point of sophistication where it can replace human beings. We need human beings to help AI to become even better. By 2030, the number one skill that needs to be in the workforce, across, irrespective of the domain expertise, is AI,’ He says.

Another of AI’s most powerful contributions to the workplace is its ability to turn data into insight.

‘If you look at data and analytics, we are moving away from descriptive. Descriptive data are like when leave is high, overtime is high, or there’s sickness. You go to diagnostic, the why. Then predictive, if you go on like this, this is going to happen. The fourth one is prescriptive, which is the so what,’ Mr Kasimu says

AI accelerates this entire process. ‘AI will help in that iteration where it can truncate the what into the why, into the so what predictive, and therefore do this.’

The generational AI challenge

While much of the conversation around AI focuses on technology, Wycliffe Osoro, Head of HR at Swissport, argues that the real challenge is human.

‘AI is not a technology problem, it’s a generational experience problem.When organisations are introducing AI, they are not introducing one change. They’re introducing four changes at the same time because all these generations are going to interact differently with AI,’ he says.

This complexity requires what he calls ‘generational intelligence.’

‘If you go and introduce this change and not have the generational intelligence to recognise the differences between the different age groups or different generations, then you’re going to lose it,’ he warns.

Mr Osoro says that Different groups respond differently: Gen Zs prefer digital learning journeys, millennials value rapid feedback, Gen X seeks structured autonomy, while older workers bring experience and mentorship.

‘Organisations tend to have one goal, and then that goal needs to be achieved by everyone. But when there’s standardisation, it bounces off. But if you want to personalise that, then you’re going to have the refraction, and it goes into the different pathways that are there.’ Mr Osoro says.

AI also promises efficiency, but its impact on productivity is not always straightforward.

Mr Osoro introduces the concept of ‘AI anxiety pivot’ the fear among employees that they may be replaced. This fear is already shaping behaviour. ‘Nearly half of the Gen Z workers and the millennials who use AI, they use it as shadow AI,’ he says.

Yet when used openly, the gains are significant. ‘The saving of that time is what has supported to save about an average of seven and a half hours per week. That’s almost a whole working day. And that then translates to about $18,000 per employee per year in recovered productivity.’

Mr Osoro believes that the winners of AI’s success will not be those who manage people better, but those who rethink work itself.

‘They’re not going to replace humans because there’s certain things that the AI agents will not be able to do. They’ll not be able to design things like a human being would do.’ Mr Osoro says

‘When you’re using technology, it takes away that bias of knowing who is going to get that favouritism,’ he adds.

From the margins, a message for Nigeria

When I arrived in Yenagoa at the invitation of the Nigerian Content Development and Monitoring Board as a guest author and lead facilitator for its quarterly leadership dialogue, I expected a routine engagement: a book conversation, a leadership session, and the usual exchange of ideas that often follows such gatherings. What I did not expect was to leave with a renewed conviction that Nigeria’s future may well be taking shape in places the country has long treated as peripheral.

For too long, our national imagination has been trapped by the logic of the centre. We look to Abuja for direction, Lagos for energy, and the major capitals for signs of movement, as though renewal can only begin from places already recognised as important. Yet history often moves differently. Sometimes the clearest lessons about a nation’s future come not from its loudest centres of power, but from its overlooked margins. Yenagoa offered one such lesson.

There was something instructive about the city itself. I encountered not the stagnant, defeated place that old stereotypes about the Niger Delta often encourage outsiders to expect but a city showing evidence of deliberate effort. Roads were opening up difficult terrain. Urban spaces were expanding with intention. There was a quiet but unmistakable sense that, at its best, governance is an argument against inevitability. In a country where geography is too often used as an excuse for underdevelopment, Yenagoa seemed to say something different: difficult terrain is real, but difficult terrain is not destiny.

That, in itself, is a profound national lesson. Nigeria suffers not only from weak institutions and inconsistent leadership but also from a poverty of imagination. We have become too accustomed to explaining failure instead of confronting it. We blame terrain, history, politics, federal neglect, global markets, and inherited complexity. Some of these explanations are valid. But explanations are not solutions. A society declines when it becomes more comfortable narrating its obstacles than overcoming them.

What impressed me most in Yenagoa was not perfection. It was intentionality. And in a country like Nigeria, intentionality matters. It is the difference between motion and drift, between policy as performance and policy as purpose. A road in a neglected place is never just a road. It is a statement that exclusion need not be permanent. An institution that invests in local skills is doing more than implementing a programme. It is challenging the old assumption that Nigerians must remain spectators in sectors that operate on their own soil.

This is why the work of NCDMB deserves deeper reflection. Much of our public discourse reduces development to announcements, contracts, and ceremonies. But real development is quieter and far more demanding. It lies in building technical competence, supporting indigenous enterprise, widening access to specialised knowledge, and creating structures that allow local talent to mature into lasting capacity. That kind of work rarely produces instant applause, but it is the only kind that endures.

In the dialogue, one question captured for me the larger Nigerian problem. Why do our leaders so often wait for crises to explode before responding? Why are we more comfortable managing disasters than preventing them? That question reaches far beyond the government. It defines our political culture, our institutions, and even our habits of citizenship. We postpone, defer, improvise, and react. We wait for insecurity to deepen before acting. We wait for institutions to become discredited before promising reform. We wait for public frustration to boil over before rediscovering empathy. This culture of reaction has become one of the silent engines of national decline.

What Nigeria needs is not merely a stronger reaction; it needs anticipatory leadership. It needs leaders who can read weak signals before they become national emergencies. It needs institutions designed not only to respond to disruption but also to reduce its frequency. It needs a governing culture that values preparedness over drama and stewardship over spectacle. Stable nations do not become stable by mastering the rituals of crisis management. They become stable by building systems that prevent avoidable crises from becoming permanent features of public life.

There was another lesson in Yenagoa, and it was just as important. Development is not only material; it is also intellectual and moral. NCDMB’s decision to host a book reading and leadership conversation may seem secondary to some people, but it reveals something deeper. No serious society rises on infrastructure alone. It rises on habits of thought, on the quality of its leadership culture, and on whether its institutions still believe that ideas matter. A nation that stops reading eventually stops reflecting. And a nation that stops reflecting soon begins to mistake noise for wisdom and activity for progress.

That is why spaces for ideas matter. They help societies think beyond immediate survival. They remind leaders that governance is not just about managing assets but about shaping values, deepening competence, and enlarging national possibilities.

I left Yenagoa with a simple but powerful thought: Nigeria may yet be renewed, but that renewal will not come from rhetoric alone. It will come from places and institutions willing to do the patient work of building capacity, extending infrastructure, cultivating thought, and refusing the lazy verdict of impossibility. It will come from leaders who understand that even the margins can become frontiers of transformation.

In the end, Yenagoa was more than a destination. It was a reminder that the edges of a nation can sometimes see its future more clearly than its centre. And perhaps that is the message Nigeria most needs now: the work of renewal has already begun, but only those willing to look beyond old assumptions will recognise it.

Why Kenyan doctoral students rarely solve societal problems

In an era where large language models of artificial intelligence are widely used and studies show a dumbing down of society whereby thinking frequently now gets offloaded to AI, it has never been more critical to champion doctoral education as a harbinger of knowledge creation and dissemination.

As we advocate enhancing doctoral education, let us find ways to fix various broken aspects of PhD and DBA programmes.

Here in Kenya, British Council and the German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) research shows that only 11 percent of doctoral students finish within six years.

The Commission for University Education (CUE) shows a similar figure at 13 percent. We have one of the highest PhD dropout rates in the world. It would be lazy if we merely blame financial strain as reasons for doctoral study departures.

If the student is able to fund themselves for many years and still not graduate, then there exists a systemic issue that educators must address.

Kenya holds arguably the most difficult and burdensome doctoral process in the entire world. Globally, there exist three main models in doctoral education.

First involves the North American model whereby one completes an undergraduate bachelor’s degree and then typically goes straight into PhD studies, bypassing a master’s degree entirely.

Therefore, their doctoral programmes include intensive coursework to become a subject matter expert and on how to research in one’s discipline, then a comprehensive examination, followed by the ever-dreaded dissertation that takes around five to seven years to finish the whole programme.

All the while, the doctoral candidates usually teach undergraduate classes and support faculty on research in exchange for tuition waivers or fee reductions.

Second, the European model utilises an entirely different structure. A student completes their bachelor’s degree and then proceeds on to a master’s degree. The master’s degree would usually include a thesis component, unlike most North American master’s degrees.

In Europe, a master’s degree is often a steppingstone to a doctorate. The master’s programme thesis is then usually under 15,000 words, while in Britain often 8,000 words depending on the discipline.

Then further in Europe, after the master’s, one then enters a doctoral programme where the sole focus revolves around the comprehensive dissertation.

They presume that the student is already a subject matter expert from the master’s degree and therefore doctoral programmes do not include coursework, mainly just some short seminars on how to research.

Therefore, European doctorates usually take around three years full-time. South Africa and the United Kingdom follow the European methodology for doctorates.

Third, we in Kenya have our own different and arguably tedious way. We mix the worst of all by requiring a master’s degree like in Europe and also requiring a doctorate with intensive coursework like in North America before the dissertation.

So, a Kenyan doctoral student takes an additional two years of classes more than almost any other doctorate on the planet, usually resulting in unhelpful coursework regurgitating undergraduate and master’s topics already taught instead of focusing on research or helping to solve national pain points.

Therefore, everyone studies for the exam instead of studying to understand subjects deeply as faculty try to make the class harder because of the doctoral level and ask obscure questions from content not covered in class with the excuse that doctoral students should do extemporaneous reading. Further, Kenyan master’s theses usually are required to be far longer than the European standard.

We must really examine whether forcing our students to jump through extra hoops is helping or hurting our nation. We need doctoral students solving societal problems not stuck in bureaucratic circles.

Further structural problems include vague research methods courses and non-specific research manuals forcing students to pay for help from the illicit academic writing industry.

Researchers Rosemary Mbogo, Elly Ndiao, Joash Wambua, Niceta Ireri, and Francisca Ngala published in the European Journal of Education Studies about the stunning doctoral supervisory challenges and delays in Kenya at both public and private higher education institutions in Kenya.

Beyond the structural problems with the setup, in East Africa we perpetuate a gotcha culture in Higher Education. Students must show extreme deference to supervisors who in most cases receive no disciplinary measures if they refuse to ever meet their students. So, getting a PhD turns into more about being awarded a “bureaucracy buster” certificate more than doing actual original research.

Doctoral students spend much of their time chasing supervisors and following up on vague corrections. In Britain, as an example, corrections from supervisors and invigilators must state specific pages and paragraphs for corrections, not the vague often seen in Kenya ‘make the thesis tighter’, ‘follow the research manual more’, etc.

Then academics ponder why many students turn to the academic writing industry scourge for help because faculty fail in executing their duties clearly and fairly.

Students are often blocked from conducting original research since new techniques are often frowned upon and not allowed to be world-leading because doctoral supervisors are simply unaware of the latest statistical techniques.

Then in defenses of dissertations, students are often not allowed to talk. They cannot defend and prove that they know the content. Various faculty show off to each other to insult the students’ work in classic gotcha fashion.

Researchers Rugut Kipleting and Syomwene Kisilu recommend that Kenyan universities invest in developing the skills as well as knowledge of doctoral supervisors while building in support structures for students.

Join Business Talk next week as we dissect red flags to look out for in doctoral programs, the questions to ask before selecting a university, and how to choose the right PhD program for you.

NASA to probe scientists’ deaths and disappearances

On Monday, NASA announced that it is coordinating with relevant federal agencies to investigate the deaths and disappearances of 11 scientists working in the nuclear and space sectors, AzerNEWS reports.

In an official statement, the agency emphasized that it is working closely with its partners and law enforcement authorities: ‘At this time, there is no evidence linking these cases to any threat to national security or to NASA’s operations.’ NASA spokesperson Bethany Stevens also reaffirmed the agency’s commitment to transparency, noting that updates will be provided as more verified information becomes available.

On April 17, White House press secretary Caroline Leavitt confirmed that the Federal Bureau of Investigation has launched a comprehensive investigation into the incidents. According to her statement, authorities are examining whether there are any connections between the cases, including possible patterns or external influences.

Since 2023, at least 11 scientists involved in fields such as nuclear physics, aerospace engineering, and satellite technology have died or gone missing. Several of these cases remain unexplained, prompting discussion among experts about possible causes – ranging from workplace risks and health issues to more complex factors, including intellectual property conflicts or growing international competition in high-tech industries.

While officials urge caution and stress that no conclusions have been reached, analysts note that the concentration of such incidents within a highly specialized scientific community is unusual and deserves careful scrutiny. Some experts also suggest that intensifying global competition in space exploration and nuclear innovation may be indirectly increasing pressure on key researchers, highlighting the need for stronger safety and security measures.