Crude oil prices surged above $94 per barrel on Wednesday, extending their rally to fresh five-week highs as the conflict between the United States and Iran intensified, threatening two of the world’s most critical oil shipping routes and raising fears of a prolonged global supply disruption.
Latest market data showed Brent crude climbing to $94.33 per barrel, up 3.65 percent, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose to $87.51 per barrel, a gain of 3.76 percent, as traders priced in mounting geopolitical risks. The gains build on an earlier rally that pushed Brent above $92 during Asian trading.
The benchmarks have now risen consistently since the July 4 holiday period, with Brent adding more than $10 per barrel over recent sessions as military exchanges across the Middle East show little sign of easing.
The latest advance followed an 11th consecutive night of US military strikes on Iranian targets.
According to the US Central Command (CENTCOM), American forces targeted Iranian military operations centres, maritime assets, aircraft hangars, drone storage facilities and logistics infrastructure in a bid to weaken Tehran’s ability to threaten commercial shipping.
CENTCOM said Iran had attacked more than 30 commercial vessels over the past three months, insisting the Strait of Hormuz remains open to international navigation.
However, traders and shipping insurers remain focused less on whether the waterway is technically open than on whether commercial vessels can transit safely without the risk of attack.
The Strait of Hormuz carries roughly 20 percent of global oil consumption and a substantial share of global liquefied natural gas exports, making any disruption a major threat to world energy supplies.
Red sea becomes new flashpoint
Attention is increasingly shifting beyond Hormuz to the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, where Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi movement has threatened to block vessels transporting Saudi crude through the Red Sea.
Saudi Arabia has increasingly relied on exports from its Yanbu terminal on the Red Sea as security conditions around Hormuz have deteriorated.
Any disruption to the Bab el-Mandeb would significantly reduce one of the few remaining alternative export routes available to Gulf producers.
In a sign that security risks are already affecting commercial shipping, three Saudi oil tankers reportedly made U-turns in the Red Sea on Tuesday after the Houthis declared a blockade on Saudi oil shipments transiting the Bab el-Mandeb.
The latest development has heightened concerns that both of the Middle East’s principal oil export corridors could face simultaneous disruption.
Military escalation continues
The latest US operations followed reports that Kuwait intercepted Iranian drones, marking another expansion of hostilities involving US allies in the Gulf.
President Donald Trump also indicated that Washington was preparing for a prolonged military campaign, saying the United States currently had ‘no interest’ in resuming negotiations with Tehran.
The absence of diplomatic progress has reinforced expectations that geopolitical tensions will remain the dominant driver of oil markets in the near term.
Supply risks outweigh inventory data
Market participants also assessed fresh US petroleum inventory figures released by the American Petroleum Institute (API), which showed increases in crude oil and distillate stockpiles last week, while gasoline inventories declined.
Traders are now awaiting official inventory data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) later on Wednesday for further indications of demand conditions in the world’s largest oil-consuming nation.
For now, however, analysts say geopolitical developments continue to overshadow market fundamentals.
With military operations expanding across the Gulf, commercial shipping becoming increasingly constrained around both Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb, and diplomatic efforts stalled, oil traders are increasingly pricing in the risk of a prolonged supply disruption that could push crude prices even higher in the weeks ahead.