Africa should embrace Ruto’s new capital gospel

Even President William Ruto’s most committed critics would struggle to fault the optics of last week’s France-Africa Summit.

Nairobi hosted 30 heads of state, President Emmanuel Macron of France and the who’s who of African capital – Dangote, Motsepe, El Sewedy, Rabiu – in a pageant that burnished the city’s growing reputation as the continent’s preferred venue for conferences.

I attended the opening ceremony. And what struck me most was the opening remarks by President Ruto. The ideas were not new. African academics have been making these arguments for a long time.

What was new was the messenger: a head of state who had personally negotiated with Western creditors that treat African governments like wayward teenagers on allowance, and discovered – out of sheer necessity -that there are other lenders on the continent willing to answer the phone.

There was something almost evangelical about his delivery – the zeal of the recently converted. That did not surprise because early in his administration, the government had to turn to the African Export-Import Bank and the Trade and Development Bank (TDB) for cash, not out of ideological conviction, but because the government was, at that time, more or less locked out of Western capital markets. Now, having survived that experience, he has elevated the necessity into a doctrine.

Dr Ruto invoked the African Development Bank, the Africa Finance Corporation, and the TDB not as fallback options when Western capital markets slam the door, but as the primary architects of Africa’s financial future. Bold framing – though one suspects the International Monetary Fund (IMF) remains on speed dial.

His most substantive point concerned Africa’s pension industry – a sleeping giant, as he correctly called it. More than $1 trillion in African pension and insurance assets sit underutilised while governments queue at Western capital markets to borrow at punishing risk premiums, assigned by rating agencies whose methodology critics have long argued is structurally biased against the continent.

President Ruto proposed a continental association of pension funds to mobilise domestic savings for infrastructure. He backed the proposed African Credit Rating Agency.

These ideas have circulated in academic papers and African Union commission reports for the better part of two decades.

The difference here is that a sitting president – one who has personally felt the rating agencies’ boot on his neck – was making the case from experience rather than from a think-tank.

To demonstrate the concept was not merely rhetorical, he pointed to Kenya’s newly created National Infrastructure Fund, which he said had mobilised $2 billion in months. The National Social Security Fund is one of the anchor investors on the multibillion-dollar Rironi-Mau Summit Road toll project.

That is, ultimately, what Ruto’s address was: not a manifesto but a field report from a laboratory rat who made it out of the maze and now wants to brief the other rats on the layout.

Meanwhile, the summit’s polished surface concealed several uncomfortable truths its organisers preferred to leave undisturbed. While Mr Macron spoke warmly of innovation and partnership, French corporate giants were quietly walking out the back door. BNP Paribas was winding down its South African investment arm.

Société Générale was offloading subsidiaries in Burkina Faso. The Bolloré Group – once the very symbol of France’s commercial grip on the continent – had already sold its African logistics empire and departed without ceremony. One might ask: if this is a partnership summit, why do all the partners seem to be leaving?

The summit also exhibited a spectacular ability to avoid the most important questions. France, a nation of 68 million people, produces more wheat than the entirety of sub-Saharan Africa. A genuine partnership summit would have put seed science, irrigation technology, and agricultural productivity transfer at its centre.

The debt question, too, was handled with characteristic discretion: by not handling it at all. Most of the 30 leaders in attendance govern economies where debt service has eaten away all fiscal space for schools and hospitals.

Africa needs something on the scale of the 1953 London Debt Agreement – the arrangement that capped postwar Germany’s repayments and enabled its economic miracle.

As a leading IMF shareholder, Macron had standing to champion debt reform. He chose the safer path- the group photograph.

And the summit barely touched on what may prove the century’s most consequential economic question: Africa’s transition minerals. The green energy revolution runs on niobium, coltan, manganese, and other materials found in abundance across the continent.

The ideas Dr Ruto articulated in Nairobi are worth taking seriously – not because they are novel, but because they are now being advanced by a leader with fresh scar tissue from the very institutions he was critiquing.

That is a different kind of authority. Whether it translates into collective African action, or simply becomes the intellectual wallpaper at the next summit remains to be seen.

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