’Inflation beyond 6% to persist till end-2026

PHILIPPINE inflation may stay above 6 percent through year-end as potentially weak harvests and the Middle East conflict continue to threaten domestic supplies, according to a congressional think tank.

The Congressional Policy and Budget Research Department (CPBRD) said in a new discussion paper that inflation would remain above the central bank’s target range of 2 percent to 4 percent despite easing in recent months.

CPBRD expects inflation to settle between 6.4 percent and 7.3 percent in the third quarter and between 6 percent and 7.3 percent in the fourth quarter.

Official data showed that inflation averaged 2.8 percent in the first quarter before accelerating to 6.8 percent in the second quarter.

‘Another point of interest is that only one of the 16 forecast runs yielded a CPI with an inflation rate below 6 percent. To wit, even with volatility, it is highly unlikely that inflation will fall below 6 percent in 2026,’ the report noted.

CPBRD said upside risks include weaker-than-expected harvests in the third and fourth quarters due to the monsoon, a possible super El Niño, and fertilizer constraints.

The Middle East conflict could also prolong commodity shortages and raise the cost of imported fuel, fertilizer, and other production inputs. Other risks include elevated electricity rates, peso depreciation, and the pass-through of wage increases to consumer prices.

Based on projections by the Asian Development Bank (ADB), International Monetary Fund (IMF), Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), and Asean+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (Amro), CPBRD said the Philippines is expected to post the highest full-year inflation among the six Southeast Asian economies covered by the study.

The country’s average inflation forecast for 2026 nearly doubled to 5.75 percent from 2.9 percent, marking the largest upward revision at 2.85 percentage points. This was followed by Thailand, Vietnam, and Singapore.

CPBRD emphasized that ‘very high inflation can inflict serious and lasting costs on the economy and the people.’

Persistently high prices erode household purchasing power, weaken consumption and investment, and widen income inequality, according to the think tank.

CPBRD said poor families are hit hardest because food accounts for a larger share of their spending.

It added that high inflation could also prompt further interest rate increases, raising borrowing costs, and weighing on economic growth.

CPBRD urged the government to consider a ‘more conservative fiscal policy’ anchored on a leaner and more carefully targeted national budget.

The approach would trim lower-priority expenditures and limit the need for new taxes, which the study described as ‘non-deflationary in nature.’

‘This entails cuts in lower-priority spending items while continuing transfers to the marginalized to lessen adverse impact on overall consumption,’ it added.

CPBRD also called for measures that would address the economy’s supply constraints and reduce its exposure to external shocks.

These include developing a more resilient and reliable power grid, establishing affordable mass transportation for people and goods, and offering incentives for firms and households to invest in productivity-enhancing or energy-saving initiatives.

Cops move to prevent recruitment of possible mercenaries

THE National Police (PNP) has intensified efforts to prevent Filipino jobseekers from being lured into joining armed conflicts abroad.

In a statement, the PNP Chief, Gen. Jose Melencio Nartatez Jr., said the PNP is investigating reports of Filipinos being recruited to participate in foreign conflicts through combat-related activities.

‘We are coordinating with the Armed Forces and the intelligence community regarding this serious matter. If there is any, our goal is to shut down the network of recruitment in the interest of protecting all our kababayan,’ he said, adding that this is in line with the directive of President Marcos Jr. through the guidance of Interior Secretary Juanito Victor Remulla, to strengthen efforts against illegal recruitment and protect Filipinos from schemes that could put their lives and safety at risk.

Earlier, reports said a Filipino was killed while fighting alongside Russian forces in the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Reports said the Filipino had signed a contract with the Russian armed forces in May.

There were claims that at least three more Filipinos were recruited.

The PNP reminded jobseekers to exercise caution when considering employment offers involving overseas security or other related work.

The public is also urged to verify recruitment offers and report suspicious activities to authorities. With PNA

How to make the most of parent-teacher conferences during back-to-school and beyond

FLAGSTAFF, Arizona-Parent-teacher conferences can conjure a familiar scene: adults crammed into child-size chairs, listening to teachers run through a list of students’ achievements and struggles.

For many families, they can also mean frustration. Today’s school conferences are sometimes 15 to 20 minutes, with little time for parents to ask their own questions. Adults may arrive with their own baggage about their time in school. They may be worried about being judged or dreading what a teacher may say about their child.

For teachers, conferences can mean pressure to give a snapshot of a child’s progress, with the next opportunity to connect months away-if at all.

The conference may be brief, but it can set the tone for a family’s relationship and partnership with the teacher. Parents, teachers and school administrators have these tips to make the conference productive and help build a stronger connection between home and school.

Communicate early and figure out what works

SCHOOLS typically offer several early opportunities for parents and teachers to connect, from meet-the-teacher events and back-to-school nights to open houses. By the time conferences are on the calendar, parents and teachers should already be communicating.

But sometimes it can take weeks, or even months, to hear from your child’s teacher, who must establish relationships with dozens of families. Don’t wait, say parents and teachers alike. Take the initiative and reach out yourself.

‘Do you want to set your child up for success? It’s a yes or no. And if it’s a yes, then you have to be very involved,’ said Bell White, a Houston mother of two.

When her son Lennox, now 8, was in preschool, four teachers came and went during the school year. White quickly learned how important it was to stay engaged with the school.

Since then, she has introduced herself to each of her son’s teachers at the first opportunity, even if virtually. She tells them how she prefers to communicate-whether over email, phone or via a school app-and when she’s most reachable.

Technology can make it easier for parents with multiple children or busy schedules to stay connected, and for teachers to send quick messages or reminders. But with schools using multiple platforms, some parents say it helps to establish a preferred way to communicate.

Early in the relationship, parents and teachers should focus on building trust, said J.B. Robinson, a clinical psychologist and dean of students at National University in San Diego. Positive interactions are like putting money into a relationship bank that can be drawn on when challenges arise, he said. For parents, that can mean showing interest in the classroom and recognizing the effort that goes into creating a positive learning environment. Teachers can similarly begin with questions about the individual child, rather than immediately moving into classroom expectations or academic performance.

Whatever the nature of your first communication with a teacher, try not to worry that you’re bothering the teacher. Your child’s growth is the priority, and communicating with you is part of the teacher’s job.

Make the time count

PARENT-TEACHER conferences are designed to address students’ academic and social progress, identify concerns and discuss what comes next, but there may not be time to cover everything parents or teachers want to discuss.

‘The teacher and the parent need to go in with realistic expectations as to what can actually be accomplished in one parent-teacher conference and see that more as a starting point for a conversation,’ said Robinson, the psychologist. The meetings can also be ripe for tension. Teachers may be having dozens of back-to-back conferences, while parents may arrive with weeks’ worth of questions, all seemingly valid. Depending on the school and the child’s grade, some teachers follow a set agenda, with presentation slides, packets or lists of topics to cover.

Emily Henderson, who teaches first and second grade at BASIS Charter School in Flagstaff, Arizona, says her conversations are mostly individualized, with some focusing more on academics and others on social-emotional needs.

‘We use parent-teacher conferences to really talk about strengths, talk about weaknesses of students, and then come up with a plan together to address those concerns or address those needs,’ Henderson said.

Given time constraints, parents should come with just a few thoughtful questions, teachers say. But remember this is a starting point. It’s totally reasonable to set up another conference later in the year, even if your school doesn’t have one scheduled. Or you can continue the conversation online or over the phone.

What to do if your kid is present

SOME schools recommend that students join the conference, and in other cases, a parent may want to bring them along-or need to, if they lack child care. For younger students, teachers recommend asking in advance whether they should attend, if that is an option. If you do plan to bring the student or younger siblings, let the teacher know ahead of time so they can prepare for a more engaging meeting or set up a few distractions.

If younger students are present, it is up to administrators and teachers to engage them and speak directly to them, said Kellie Hintze, head of school at BASIS Flagstaff.

‘When I have younger students at a meeting, we typically have a mini meeting with the student and the parent,’ she said. ‘Then we can dive a little deeper or have those long, drawn-out conversations that a student wouldn’t want to be a part of or be able to focus through.’

Older students have more agency over their learning and are better positioned to contribute to discussions about their progress, challenges and possible next steps, experts say.

‘We’re doing students a disservice when we’re not teaching them how to advocate, when we are not teaching them those communication skills, to have the tough conversations when they need to be had,’ said Kendrick Friendly, who is a high school assistant principal with Denver Public Schools. ‘This is a safe space for those conversations to happen.’

Questions to consider

PARENTS don’t need to arrive with a long list of questions. A few thoughtful ones can help clarify what a teacher considers success, what they are seeing in the classroom, what support is available and how to stay connected throughout the year.

Consider asking:

1. How do you prefer to communicate with parents, and how often should we check in?

2. What does success look like for my child this year?

3. How do you identify when a student is falling behind, and who should I speak with about getting additional support?

4. What are you noticing about my child that I might not see at home?

Leave with a plan

PARENT-TEACHER conferences do not resolve every concern, but they should identify next steps, whether those are regular check-ins, strategies for improved behavior or additional resources, such as tutors, specialized instruction or extracurricular activities.

Before leaving, make sure everyone knows what happens next, who is responsible for it and when you’ll check back in. Don’t be afraid to request another conference later in the year. Remember: Your child’s growth is the priority, and it will take everyone in the room to get there.

PHL-Indonesia partnership anchored on shared seas, expanding interests

AS it marked 81 years of independence on August 17, Indonesia’s relationship with the Philippines stands as one of Asean’s more established and multifaceted partnerships.

Both countries are not only immediate maritime neighbors but also fellow founding members of the bloc, with interests that increasingly converge in security, trade, energy, food security and regional connectivity. More than seven decades after establishing diplomatic ties, the relationship has acquired a practical dimension that goes well beyond traditional political and cultural exchanges.

The two countries formally established mutual relations on November 24, 1949, and signed a Treaty of Friendship in 1951. The relationship has since evolved through successive mechanisms for political consultation, as well as economic and security linkages, culminating in what their governments describe as a ‘Strategic Partnership.’

Geography remains one of the most important drivers of the relationship. The Philippines and Indonesia share maritime boundaries in the Sulu and Celebes seas, making cooperation at sea a matter of both national security and economic necessity. The waters separating the two have long been vulnerable to smuggling, illegal fishing, trafficking and other transnational crimes, but they are also vital routes connecting communities and economies in the southern Philippines and eastern Indonesia. This has made maritime cooperation one of the most durable pillars of bilateral ties.

That cooperation received fresh impetus this year when the two countries held the eighth meeting of their Joint Commission for Bilateral Cooperation in Jakarta on April 23. Secretary of Foreign Affairs Ma. Theresa Lazaro and Indonesian Foreign Minister Sugiono agreed to pursue more practical cooperation in border management, maritime security, trade, investment, energy and consular concerns. The meeting also underscored the importance of bilateral coordination as the Philippines assumed Asean chairship for 2026.

Security cooperation is particularly visible along the countries’ shared maritime frontier. In March, Philippine and Indonesian naval and coast guard units conducted another round of the Coordinated Patrol Philippines-Indonesia, or CORPAT PHILINDO, designed to improve interoperability, maritime surveillance and the prevention of illegal activities. The continuing patrols are significant not only because they protect the countries’ respective borders but also because they demonstrate how neighboring states can address common security concerns through routine cooperation.

Defense ties are also becoming more operational. The Armed Forces of the Philippines and the Indonesian military have agreed to explore greater logistics coordination, while enhancing joint operations and coordinated patrols in the Sulu and Celebes seas. The creation of a logistics subcommittee under their military cooperation mechanism points to a relationship moving beyond exercises and personnel exchanges toward more practical capabilities.

The economic relationship, meanwhile, has considerable room for expansion. Indonesia was the Philippines’ largest source of imports among Asean members in 2025, with imports from the former reaching $10.18 billion, or 28.8 percent of total imports from the regional bloc. The figures underline Indonesia’s importance as a supplier of fuel, transport equipment, food and other goods, even as the Philippines continues to seek greater access for its own exports to the Indonesian market.

A most promising development was President Prabowo Subianto’s visit to Cebu for the 48th Asean Summit in May. Business groups announced the creation of an ‘Indo-Phil nickel corridor,’ supported by cooperation on data sharing, policy and regulatory dialogue, investment and the development of environmental, social and governance standards. The initiative is particularly significant as the two countries accounted for an estimated 73.6 percent of global nickel mine production in 2025.

The nickel initiative was part of a broader economic agenda. The two sides also reached agreements on food security, agricultural technology, renewable energy, financing and aviation, while Indonesia agreed to supply more fertilizer to help Philippine agriculture.

Energy is another important area: Indonesia remains a major supplier of coal to the Philippines, but the latest discussions also point toward cooperation in renewable energy, including potential hydropower and solar projects. The challenge now is to turn these agreements into investments, jobs and industries that create value in both countries rather than simply increasing the movement of commodities.

This is where connectivity becomes crucial. The Philippines and Indonesia are both members of the Brunei Darussalam-Indonesia-Malaysia-Philippines East Asean Growth Area, or BIMP-EAGA, which seeks to integrate economies in the less-developed and geographically distant parts of the four countries. At the May summit in Cebu, President Ferdinand R. Marcos Jr. and Prabowo emphasized connectivity, energy security, food security and investment as priorities for the subregion. The latter separately urged the Philippines to accelerate physical and energy interconnection with its Southeast Asian neighbors.

The emphasis on ports and connectivity also naturally connects the bilateral relationship to the Philippines’ broader logistics ambitions. Modern ports like the International Container Terminal Services Inc. serve as links in supply chains that connect businesses, communities and markets across borders. For the Philippines and Indonesia, improving maritime connectivity could support trade in minerals, agricultural products and manufactured goods while strengthening the economic integration envisioned under BIMP-EAGA and Asean.

Ultimately, the strength of Philippine-Indonesian relations lies in their breadth and practicality. The two countries share geography, economic priorities, and regional objectives to sustain their cooperation. As Indonesia celebrates its independence, the Philippines has good reason to view the occasion not simply as a national celebration next door, but as a chance to reaffirm a partnership built over 77 years-one that is increasingly defined by secure seas, stronger supply chains, greater connectivity and a shared stake in a stable and prosperous Southeast Asia.

Briefs

Citibank’s PHL office honored

THE Euromoney magazine published by Triple Private Equity Ltd. recently awarded Citibank NA 47 global, regional and local market awards, including the coveted ‘World’s Best Bank for Large Corporates’ and ‘World’s Best Bank for Securities Services,’ the lender said in a statement. In the Philippines, its Manila Branch was also recognized as ‘Best Digital Bank for Large Corporates,’ underscoring the bank’s continued commitment to delivering innovative digital solutions that help clients operate more efficiently, manage liquidity and payments seamlessly, and navigate increasingly complex business environments, the lender’s statement read.

Security Bank CFO to co-chair Asian group

THE Security Bank Corp. announced that its Chief Financial Officer John David G. Yap has been named one of four co-chairs of the newly-launched East Asia and Pacific (EAP) Regional Chapter of the SME Finance Forum, a global network established by the International Finance Corp. (IFC). In a statement, the lender said the appointment recognizes Yap’s extensive experience in SME banking. It also gives the Philippines a voice in regional discussions on expanding access to finance for micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs) across East Asia and the Pacific, read the statement.

’Ensure timely repair, replacement of monsoon-damaged classrooms’

Senate President Win Gatchalian is urging the Department of Education (DepEd) and local government units (LGUS) to ensure the timely repair and replacement of monsoon-damaged classrooms, a move that he says is crucial to the safe resumption of classes in affected areas.

According to the DepEd, the combined effects of two tropical cyclones and the enhanced southwest monsoon damaged 6,681 classrooms as of August 14.

‘Tuwing bumabangon tayo mula sa mga kalamidad, kailangang agarang kumpunihin o palitan ang mga nasirang silid-aralan upang ‘wag malagay sa panganib ang mga mag-aaral dahil lamang sa mga pasilidad na hindi agad naaayos [Each time we survive a calamity, we need to immediately repair or replac e damaged classrooms so that learners are not put in danger from unattended facilities],’ said Gatchalian.

He emphasized that if these classrooms are not repaired or replaced, the shortage of facilities for basic education will get worse. As of July last year, DepEd data showed that the classroom backlog stood at 147,000.

The 2026 national budget’s P67.9 billion allocation for basic education facilities covers the replacement of school buildings. The DepEd recently announced that it would allocate P34.355 million for cleanup and clearing operations in 1,195 affected schools, while P201.586 million is allotted for minor repairs in 4,114 classrooms.

Exec: Mega Sardines bullish on US business prospects

Mega Sardines is expanding into the mainstream United States grocery market, with the Philippine brand set to go on sale in 2,750 stores operated by American retail firm The Kroger Co. by mid-September.

Mega Prime Foods Inc. (MPFI) Chief Executive Officer Michelle Tiu Lim-Chan said the products are already being shipped to the US, covering Kroger and its banners Mariano’s, Fry’s, Dillons and Pick ‘n Save.

Mega is currently the first and only Filipino brand listed with Kroger, according to the company.

The rollout has been in development for about nine months, including Mega’s participation in major US food trade shows to gauge consumer interest, the company official said during a press briefing at the company’s main headquarters last Tuesday.

She said the company decided to proceed with the expansion amid trade and geopolitical uncertainties as demand for sardines remains strong in the US.

‘Actually, it’s about timing, because the sardines right now is moving. There’s a lot of demand,’ she told reporters on the sidelines of the event, noting that some US stores have experienced sardine shortages.

‘We’re not really concerned with geopolitical (tensions), because it’s about food security. So, sardines, it’s a food product.’

Mega may also adjust its products for US consumers based on sales performance, including developing variants with lower sodium content or using olive oil.

The company has not set a specific sales or revenue target for the US market this year, saying it first wants to assess how its products perform in mainstream retail.

‘Initial orders, however, have already increased as retailers seek additional stocks. We have already shipped five containers to the US. And there is also shipping every week because we feel that there is a lot of demand.’

The US is being considered as one of Mega’s potentially larger international markets, alongside its existing markets in Malaysia, Canada and Dubai.

In Dubai, it’s second largest market after the Philippines, the brand is sold through Carrefour, giving it an established presence in mainstream retail.

Long-term plans

Despite the international push, exports currently have only a small account of Mega’s business, leaving the domestic market as its main source of sales.

‘As of now, it’s not a big percentage. Within 5 to 10 percent of exports. So, that’s it. That’s why we still have a lot of domestic markets. We really need to take care of our domestic markets,’ Lim-Chan said.

Mega has also recently entered Azerbaijan, Kenya and Jordan and has at least 10 other countries in its pipeline, the company said.

For Lim-Chan, the company’s longer-term international strategy could eventually extend beyond exporting its existing products.

This could include acquiring or developing brands in other markets, as well as gaining access to additional fishing grounds and sources of raw materials.

Even Carlos Yulo’s playing pickle ball

LOOK who’s bitten by the pickleball bug? Paris Olympics double gold medalist Carlos Yulo.

‘It’s been raining all the time so I train here at home,’ said Yulo, who bought a house in Alabang where he stays most of the time. ‘And I cross-train in pickleball, and even badminton.’

Pickleball has gotten so popular that global sports icon are playing the leisure sport that’s a cross among tennis, badminton and table tennis.

‘These sports [pickleball and badminton] are very important for the mobilization of muscles and mind as well,’ said the 60-year-old three-time world champion, who plays with brother Karl Eldrew and friends but under the keen monitoring of physiotherapist Bethel Solano.

‘But of course, we always go down to serious training in Intramuros,’ said Yulo, who’s hell bent at winning his first Asian Games gold medal in Aichi-Nagoya.

‘That’s the only one missing,’ said Yulo, stressing he targets not just one but multiple gold medals to redeem himself after going empty in Hangzhou three years ago.

‘I want not just one, but more,’ he said. ‘I will do my best to win the floor, vault and individual all-around.’

The Yulo brothers will lead a 14-athlete gymnastics team to the Asian Games.

They are Juancho Miguel Besana, Justine Ace de Leon, Zachary Cortins Nuñez, Levi Ruivivar, Kylee Kvamme, Chiara Dawn Andrew, Lauren Supnet and Haylee Garcia in artistic gymnastics; Breanna Labadan and Jasmine Althea Romulo in rhythmic gymnastics; and Jerry Ilano Jr. and Luvicar Janine Padilla in trampoline gymnastics.

After the Asian Games, Yulo will head to the world championships in Rotterdam in The Netherlands from October 17 to 25.

MSD appoints new Managing Director for PHL

MSD in the Philippines (NYSE: MRK), a trade name of Merck and Co., Inc, Rahway, NJ, USA, today announced the appointment of Mary Srethapakdi as Managing Director for the Philippines, while concurrently leading MSD’s operations in Thailand. She succeeds Andreas Riedel, who has been appointed Managing Director for MSD Vietnam.

With more than 20 years of experience in the pharmaceutical and healthcare sectors, Srethapakdi has held senior leadership roles at leading healthcare companies and advised healthcare organizations globally during her tenure at Boston Consulting Group. Since joining MSD as Managing Director for Thailand in 2021, she has driven business growth and advanced initiatives to improve patient access. She holds a Bachelor of Arts in Biochemistry and a PhD in Molecular Biology from Cornell University.

With this new appointment, Ms. Srethapakdi will lead the company’s efforts to expand access to innovative medicines and vaccines, strengthen healthcare partnerships, and address the evolving needs of Filipino patients.

She said her priorities include deepening collaboration with healthcare stakeholders and improving patient access across the country.

‘I am honored to lead MSD in the Philippines at a critical juncture, when health is a pronounced priority in the public and private sectors,’ Srethapakdi said. For over three decades in the Philippines, MSD has worked with government, healthcare professionals, patient advocacy groups, industry partners, and health champions in the Philippines to advance medical innovation and patient care. ‘Today, we reaffirm this commitment to help bring broader access to innovative medicines and vaccines, with the aim of delivering better health outcomes for Filipino patients.

PMO bent on year-end sale of big-ticket assets

DESPITE a sharp reduction in this year’s privatization revenue target, the Privatization and Management Office (PMO) will push through the sale of several big-ticket assets by year’s end.

On the sidelines of HSBC’s flagship event on Tuesday, Chief Privatization Officer and Finance Undersecretary Michael Peter A. Alejandro told reporters the three flagship assets in the pipeline will remain for disposal in the second half of the year.

These assets include the Mile Long building in Makati City, targeted for disposition by the end of the third quarter, as well as Food Terminal Inc. (FTI) and the government’s 20-percent stake in the South Luzon Expressway (SLEX) slated for sale in the fourth quarter.

The government is currently conducting appraisals for the properties, which will have to undergo the required approval process before they can be offered for sale.

‘We’re looking forward to FTI and Mile Long. We’re really getting things rolling for that,’ Alejandro said.

Any of the planned 2026 asset sales that do not push through this year would instead be carried over to 2027, he noted.

In the first half of the year, the government generated P1.9 billion in privatization revenues, Alejandro said, nearly matching the P2 billion raised in 2025.

However, this accounts for only 4.9 percent of this year’s lowered privatization revenue target of P38.1 billion, recently adjusted by the Cabinet-level Development Budget Coordination Committee (DBCC).

The supposed target of P101 billion was moved to 2027 due to ‘accounting issues,’ Alejandro said, as the government expects proceeds from the sale of the Caliraya-Botocan-Kalayaan (CBK) hydropower assets to come in next year.

About P36.27 billion in proceeds from CBK’s privatization will be remitted, while the Agus-Pulangi hydropower complex is also being considered for a transaction next year.

Alejandro said the government is exploring a public-private partnership (PPP) for the hydroelectric complex located in Mindanao.

The Agus-Pulangi hydropower complex consists of seven run-of-river hydroelectric power plants with a combined installed capacity of 1,000 megawatts (MW), but only 700MW are operational due to aging infrastructure.

The Department of Energy has said that the government may award the contract by the end of 2026 to rehabilitate the hydro asset. The Power Sector Assets and Liabilities Management Corp. (Psalm) is also evaluating two unsolicited proposals.

The government is also expecting around P800 million from the disposal of smaller assets next year, Alejandro said.

There are over 28,000 titles, mostly small assets measuring about 200 square meters, up for sale, according to the Department of Finance.

By privatizing state assets, the government monetizes underutilized assets and generates additional funding for public spending.

This year, the government aims to raise P4.807 trillion in revenues, of which P327 billion will come from non-tax revenues.