UN Warns of Possible El Niño Return by Mid-2026, Raising Climate Concerns

The United Nations has warned that the warming climate phenomenon El Niño is likely to return by mid-2026, potentially driving higher global temperatures and extreme weather events. According to the World Meteorological Organization, El Niño conditions could emerge as early as the May-July period, with early indicators suggesting the possibility of a strong event.

el Niño is a naturally occurring climate pattern that warms sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Paci?c Ocean, altering global weather systems, including wind, rainfall, and atmospheric pressure.

the last El Niño event contributed to recordbreaking global heat, making 2023 one of the hottest years on record and pushing 2024 to the highest temperature levels ever recorded.

Two Illegal Brick Kilns Fined Tk 10 Lakh in Manikganj Crackdown

The Department of Environment (DoE) has ?ned two brick kilns a total of Tk 10 lakh in Manikganj for operating without required environmental clearance and of?cial permission.

acting on information, Executive Magistrate Foyjun Nesa Akter conducted a special drive at Mrs Malek Bricks in Khagrakuri village under Dighi Union of Manikganj Sadar Upazila, imposing a ?ne of Tk 5 lakh. In a separate operation in Kandapar village of Saturia Upazila, another illegal brick kiln-Mrs Khan Bricks-was also ?ned Tk 5 lakh for operating without authorization. DoE Deputy Director Abdullah Al Mamun said the kilns had been running without the necessary clearance certi?cates and approvals from the department.

Bangladesh Seeks Stronger UNESCO Support for Climate and Environmental Initiatives

Environment, Forest and Climate Change Minister Abdul Awal Mintoo has emphasized the importance of enhanced technical support, knowledge exchange, and investment cooperation from UNESCO to strengthen Bangladesh’s efforts in forest conservation, environmental protection, and climate change adaptation.

the minister made the remarks during a meeting with UNESCO Representative to Bangladesh Dr. Susan Vize at his of?ce in the Secretariat in Dhaka. During the meeting, the minister highlighted key priorities, including modernization of waste management systems, control of air and water pollution, implementation of the government’s plan to plant 250 million trees over ?ve years, strengthening conservation of the Sundarbans, and enhancing resilience against salinity intrusion in coastal areas. Dr. Vize expressed UNESCO’s interest in further strengthening cooperation in areas such as climate resilience, green campus initiatives, biodiversity conservation, and environmental education.

Bangladesh Moves to Establish ‘Environmental Police’ Unit to Combat Rising Eco-Crimes

Bangladesh Police is preparing to formally propose the creation of a specialized ‘Environmental Police’ unit aimed at tackling the country’s growing environmental crimes.

a senior of?cial at Bangladesh Police said the proposal is expected to be presented to the prime minister during the upcoming Police Week. The initiative was discussed at a high-level meeting held at Police Headquarters on April 19, chaired by the Inspector General of Police (IGP). The proposed unit is designed to address a wide range of environmental offenses, including river encroachment, industrial pollution, deforestation, hill cutting, and illegal extraction of natural resources. Law enforcement of?cials say the scale and complexity of such crimes have exceeded the capacity of the conventional policing system, making a dedicated unit increasingly necessary.

Solar Irrigation could Save $900m Annually, Says IEEFA Analyst

Bangladesh could save between $600 million and $900 million in foreign exchange annually by transitioning its one million diesel-run irrigation pumps to solar power, according to Sha?qul Alam, chief energy analyst at the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). Speaking to a local daily, he warned that while solar adoption has crossed the 500MW mark, the nation is failing to harvest ‘low-hanging fruit’ due to structural barriers. He noted that the massive savings from solar irrigation – calculated on pre-Middle East war diesel prices – remain locked behind a lack of farmer equity and the absence of a seasonal ‘irrigation-to-grid’ business model. ‘The real barriers are not technical; they are ?nancial and structural,’ Sha?qul said, emphasizing that for eight months of the year, these systems sit idle.

Govt Eyes Major Waste Management Improvement Within a Year: Mintoo

Environment, Forest and Climate Change Minister Abdul Awal Mintoo recently expressed optimism that Bangladesh will see signi?cant improvements in waste management within the next year, helping reduce pollution in rivers, canals and wetlands. Speaking in Parliament, he said the government is prioritizing measures to curb environmental degradation, noting that pollution stems from multiple sources beyond industrial activities.

the minister said a proposal is under consideration to establish a waste recycling plant at Amin Bazar, alongside efforts to strengthen waste management systems in urban areas nationwide. He added that industries are being required to install Ef?uent Treatment Plants (ETPs), while the private sector is being encouraged to convert waste into energy and bio-fertilizer.

Bangladesh’s Energy Security: The Urgency Of Integrating SPM, ERL-2 And Regional Fuel Connectivity

B a ngladesh is currently facing a severe fuel supply disruption amid the ongoing global energy shock triggered by the 2026 Iran con?ict involving the United States and Israel.

the escalation of hostilities has signi?cantly disrupted crude oil and re?ned product ?ows through critical maritime routes, leading to sharp increases in international fuel prices and tightening global supply chains. As a highly import-dependent country, meeting energy needs from external sources, Bangladesh has been directly affected by these developments, resulting in fuel shortages, long queues at ?lling stations, periodic rationing, and supply instability across the country.

the crisis has exposed structural vulnerabilities in the national energy system, particularly its heavy reliance on imported petroleum and limited ?exibility in storage and re?ning. Rising import costs and logistical constraints have further strained foreign exchange reserves and intensi?ed pressure on domestic fuel distribution systems.

as a result, the energy sector is experiencing heightened volatility, underscoring the urgent need for accelerated infrastructure development, supply diversi?cation, and enhanced strategic resilience. Bangladesh’s energy sector is undergoing a critical transformation as the country moves from a fragmented, import-dependent fuel supply system toward an integrated, infrastructuredriven energy security framework. Strategic investments in key infrastructure projects like the Single Point Mooring (SPM), Eastern Re?nery Limited (ERL)-2 expansion, and IndiaBangladesh Friendship Pipeline offer a strategic pathway to mitigate shortages and build long-term resilience.

these initiatives are not standalone measures; together, they constitute an integrated framework to modernize fuel handling, enhance domestic re?ning capacity, and ensure diversi?ed and resilient supply chains. Collectively, they aim to reduce operational inef?ciencies, lower import costs, and strengthen national capacity to withstand global energy market volatility. However, the success of this transformation depends not only on infrastructure completion but also on timely operationalization, sound governance, and effective coordination among key stakeholders. Saudi Arabia and the UAE, with BPC importing crude oil under annual agreements and procuring ?nished petroleum products through G-to-G contracts and international tenders. In FY 2024-25, BPC imported 1.51 million tons of crude oil for processing at ERL, complemented by 0.6 million tons of domestic gas condensate, producing 1.5 million tons of petroleum products, close to ERL’s 1.57-million-tonne re?ning capacity.

additionally, 6.2 million tonnes of petroleum products were imported to meet national demand, highlighting the sector’s continued reliance on imports to ensure energy security. Between 2013-14 and 2024-25, Bangladesh’s petroleum imports showed steady ?uctuations in crude oil and re?ned products. Crude oil volumes ranged from 1.09 million tons in 2015-16 to a peak of 1.55 million tons in 2022-23, while re?ned product imports varied between 3.67 million tons in 2015-16 and 5.45 million tons in 2017-18.

overall totals moved from 5.35 million tons in 2013-14 to 6.25 million tons in 2024-25, with the highest intake recorded at 6.90 million tons in 2022- 23.

this trend re?ects both growing demand and periodic adjustments in sourcing strategies, balancing crude imports with re?ned product in?ows to meet national energy needs. Imported crude oil and re?ned petroleum products data for FY 2013-14 to FY 2024-25 are furnished below: The Single Point Mooring with Double Pipeline project was developed as a structural solution to the draft limitations of Chattogram Port, which historically prevented large crude carriers from docking.

to overcome this constraint, the Government and BPC initiated the establishment of a modern offshore unloading system, constructed by China Petroleum Pipeline Engineering Co. Ltd. (CPPEC).

this system marks a fundamental shift in Bangladesh’s fuel logistics by enabling direct offshore-to-onshore transfer of petroleum, eliminating the need for costly and inef?cient lighterage operations.

as a result, it serves as a critical enabler for the expansion of Eastern Re?nery Limited and strengthens the country’s longterm energy resilience.

technically, the SPM is designed to handle up to 9 million tons per annum (MTPA) through a 220 km double pipeline network, including a 36-inch crude oil line and an 18-inch diesel line.

the offshore segment extends 146 km, featuring an 11 km Horizontal Directional Drilling section, while the onshore network spans 74 km.

at Maheshkhali, the system is supported by modern storage facilities with dedicated crude and diesel tanks.

this infrastructure signi?cantly improves operational ef?ciency, reducing unloading time from 11-15 days to just 48 hours for large tankers.

the dual pipeline con?guration allows simultaneous transfer of crude oil and re?ned products, enhancing throughput and supply reliability. However, a pipeline disruption during a trial run in early 2024 highlighted the importance of rigorous commissioning and professional operational oversight.

economic Signi?cance and Strategic Role The economic rationale for the SPM is compelling. By replacing the traditional lighterage system, the project is expected to reduce annual unloading and transportation costs by approximately Tk 800 crore, with long-term savings potentially reaching Tk 80 billion through improved ef?ciency and scale. More importantly, the SPM functions as a vital ‘forward linkage’ for the ERL2 expansion.

the planned increase in national re?ning capacity to 4.5 million tons per year depends heavily on the SPM’s ability to ensure uninterrupted and high-volume crude supply.

operational Challenges and Bottlenecks Despite its strategic importance, the SPM facility has remained largely non-operational for nearly two years, creating ?nancial and operational risks. The primary constraint has been the failure to appoint a quali?ed Operation and Maintenance contractor.

the initial tender process collapsed when the sole bidder, PT Pertamina, quoted US$ 117 million for a ?ve-year contract, signi?cantly higher than the allocated budget of US$ 88 million.

this led to re-tendering delays and prolonged inactivity.

additionally, the issuance of the TakingOver Certi?cate to CPPEC has triggered the countdown of the warranty period. With the guarantee expiring in February 2026, the government now faces increased exposure to technical risks and maintenance liabilities. Meanwhile, the US$ 554 million project loan continues to accrue servicing costs without generating operational returns, placing pressure on public ?nances. Further delays have been linked to incomplete trial performance, unresolved technical issues, and reported resistance from vested interest groups bene?ting from the continuation of lighterage operations.

to safeguard this strategic investment, immediate action is required.

the government should prioritize the rapid appointment of a competent OandM operator while considering an interim arrangement with CPPEC to maintain system integrity.

accelerating coordination with the ERL-2 expansion is equally essential to ensure optimal utilization of the facility.

timely operationalization of the SPM is critical not only to prevent ?nancial losses but also to unlock its full potential as a cornerstone of Bangladesh’s modern energy supply chain and long-term energy security.

expansion of ERL-2 The expansion of Eastern Re?nery Limited (ERL-2) represents a critical step in strengthening Bangladesh’s energy security amid global fuel market volatility.

the ERL-2 project aims to increase total re?ning capacity from 1.5 million to 4.5 million tons per year by establishing a new 3-million-tonne unit. Beyond capacity enhancement, the project introduces a major technological upgrade, enabling production of Euro-5 standard fuels.

euro-5 fuels represent a major step toward cleaner energy use, reducing sulfur and particulate emissions while improving air quality and engine ef?ciency.

it is designed to process diverse crude oil grades from global sources, reducing dependence on a single supply region and enhancing supply ?exibility.

economically, ERL-2 is a transformative initiative. With a revised cost of approximately Tk 31,000 crore (US$2.5 billion), ?nanced through a 60:40 government and BPC/ERL contribution, the project prioritizes national ownership. By shifting from imported re?ned fuels to domestic crude processing, it is expected to save US$ 9-11 per barrel and signi?cantly reduce foreign exchange out?ow.

the re?nery will meet up to 45-50% of national petroleum demand and optimize the use of the SPM facility, which can handle 4.5 million tons of crude annually.

once operational, ERL-2 will diversify product output, including diesel, gasoline, jet fuel, furnace oil, LPG, and lube base oil, while upgrading existing production to Euro-5 standards.

this will not only improve supply reliability but also enhance the country’s competitiveness in the energy sector. Recently, key preparatory milestones have been achieved, including approval of the DPP, completion of Front-End Engineering Design (FEED) by Technip (France), and appointment of Engineers India Limited as Project Management Consultant.

the project is targeted for completion by 2030.

eRL-2 is not merely an expansion project; it is a cornerstone of Bangladesh’s long-term energy strategy, enabling greater self-reliance, cost ef?ciency, and environmental sustainability.

india-Bangladesh Friendship Pipeline The India-Bangladesh Friendship Pipeline marks a signi?cant milestone in regional energy cooperation and crossborder infrastructure development. This project was designed to ensure a reliable and cost-effective supply of fuel oil to Bangladesh, reducing dependence on traditional modes of transportation such as rail and road, which are often subject to delays, higher costs, and logistical challenges. The 131.5 km India-Bangladesh Friendship Pipeline, commissioned in March 2023, establishes a direct energy corridor from Siliguri in West Bengal, India, to the Parbatipur Depot in Dinajpur, Bangladesh, with only about 5 km of the pipeline located within Indian territories. Supplied by the Numaligarh Re?nery in Assam, the system provides a seamless, secure, and ef?cient channel for cross-border fuel transfer.

under the bilateral framework, Bangladesh is entitled to import up to 1 million metric tons of high-speed diesel annually through a phased approach. Initial supply volumes are set at 200,000 tons per year for the ?rst three years, followed by 300,000 tons annually in the subsequent phase, and eventually scaling up to 500,000 tons per year.

this gradual increase is designed to align infrastructure readiness with demand growth and operational capacity. Despite its strategic potential, the pipeline’s full utilization is currently constrained by limited downstream storage capacity. Existing facilities at Parbatipur can accommodate approximately 16,000 tons, which is insuf?cient to support higher import volumes.

earlier plans to construct six additional storage tanks, each with a capacity of 6,761 tons (totaling over 40,000 tons), remain pending and require urgent implementation. From a strategic perspective, the pipeline plays a critical role in enhancing energy security in northern Bangladesh by ensuring an uninterrupted fuel supply to agriculture, transport, and industry. It also reduces logistical pressure on Chattogram port and complements national infrastructure such as the SPM system and the ERL-2 expansion.

to fully realize the bene?ts of this infrastructure, a coordinated policy and investment approach is essential. The Bangladesh Petroleum Corporation should prioritize the expansion of storage facilities at Parbatipur to enable higher throughput and operational ?exibility. Simultaneously, proactive engagement with Indian counterparts is necessary to optimize import volumes in line with national demand growth. Strengthening downstream infrastructure, ensuring policy continuity, and enhancing regional cooperation will be key to transforming the pipeline into a cornerstone of Bangladesh’s integrated energy supply system. Conclusion The combined implementation of the SPM facility, ERL-2 expansion, and the India-Bangladesh Friendship Pipeline represents a comprehensive roadmap toward achieving long-term energy security for Bangladesh. While each project individually delivers signi?cant technical and economic bene?ts, their true strategic value lies in their integration, linking offshore crude handling, domestic re?ning, and regional fuel supply into a cohesive and ef?cient system. However, persistent delays in commissioning critical infrastructure, particularly the SPM, highlight systemic governance and operational challenges that must be urgently addressed.

idle assets, rising debt obligations, and exposure to vested interests risk undermining the very objectives these projects are designed to achieve. Without decisive action, the anticipated economic gains and ef?ciency improvements may remain unrealized.

to fully harness the potential of these investments, Bangladesh must prioritize transparent governance, expedite operational readiness, and ensure alignment between infrastructure development and policy execution.

if effectively synchronized, these initiatives can signi?cantly reduce import dependence, conserve foreign exchange, and position Bangladesh as a more resilient and strategically integrated energy economy

Bangladesh Eyes Diversi?ed Energy Cooperation with Canada’s Saskatchewan State

Bangladesh has expressed strong interest in diversifying its energy sources through cooperation with Canada’s Saskatchewan state, focusing on conventional energy, clean technologies and emerging areas such as small modular reactors (SMRs). High Commissioner of Bangladesh to Canada Md Jashim Uddin made the remarks during a series of high-level meetings in the province as part of his of?cial visit, according to a message received recently. During his meeting with Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe, the envoy proposed establishing a BangladeshSaskatchewan framework of cooperation to structure engagement in key areas, including energy, agriculture, agri-food value chains and research collaboration.

the Premier welcomed the proposal and expressed interest in advancing both immediate and long-term cooperation under the framework.

Japan’s Emissions Fall Below 1.0b Tonnes

Japan’s net greenhouse gas emissions fell by 1.9% in the ?scal year ending March 2025, dropping to a record low of 994 million tonnes, according to government data.

this marks the ?rst time emissions have fallen below one billion tonnes since 2013, re?ecting a steady longterm decline supported by greater use of renewable and nuclear energy and reduced industrial energy consumption.

in contrast, China-the world’s largest emitter-continues to see overall emissions growth, driven by coal-dependent industrial expansion, despite rapid renewable energy deployment. Similarly, India’s emissions are rising steadily as energy demand grows to support economic development, with coal still dominating its power mix.

in Japan, fossil fuels still accounted for 67.5% of electricity generation, though this share has slightly declined.

the country aims to reduce this to 30-40% over the next 15 years

Jet Fuel Prices Hiked Again

The government recently hiked the prices of jet fuel for the second time within two weeks as a worsening global supply crisis puts pressure on prices.

the price of jet fuel for domestic travel has been hiked by Tk24.79 to Tk227.08 per liter, announced the Bangladesh Energy Regulatory Commission (BERC) in a noti?cation. The price of jet fuel for international ?ights has been hiked to $1.4806 from $1.3216.

earlier, on 24 March, the BERC had hiked the prices of jet fuel by 80% for domestic travel, and nearly 79% for international travel in the wake of the Iran war and related supply disruptions.