NGX loses 0.44% in August despite N1.91trn month-end rally

The Nigerian equities market staged a dramatic end-of-month recovery on Monday, adding N1.91 trillion to its market capitalisation in a single session, as aggressive buying in banking, consumer goods and oil stocks helped the market claw back some of its August losses.

The late rally, however, was not enough to erase the damage from a three-week sell-off that left the NGX All-Share Index down 0.44 per cent in August, underscoring a sharp shift in investor sentiment after months of strong gains.

The All-Share Index advanced by 1.20 per cent on Monday to close at 244,199.39 points, lifting its year-to-date return to 56.93 per cent, while total market capitalisation rose to N157.74 trillion from the previous session’s N155.83 trillion.

The rebound was broad-based, with 43 stocks advancing against 16 decliners, resulting in a strong market breadth of 2.7x.

Banking stocks provided the biggest boost, with the sector surging by 3.11 per cent, while Consumer Goods gained 1.72 per cent and Oil and Gas rose 1.35 per cent. Commodity and Insurance stocks also advanced by 0.88 per cent each. Industrial stocks bucked the trend, declining by 0.65 per cent.

Omatek Ventures, Ikeja Hotel, Sovereign Trust Insurance, Sunu Assurances and Royal Exchange emerged among the biggest gainers, while Abbey Mortgage Bank, Africa Prudential, FTN Cocoa Processors, Tantalizer and Consolidated Hallmark Insurance recorded notable losses.

The strong finish came after a bruising period for equities investors. The market had rallied to a monthly high of 248,556.30 points on August 10 but subsequently entered a prolonged sell-off as investors took profits across several heavily appreciated stocks.

The decline accelerated from August 11, when the index fell by 0.74 per cent, followed by a 1.12 per cent drop on August 12. Further losses on August 13 and 14 extended the downturn, while selling pressure persisted through the following week.

By August 20, the index had fallen to 240,037.80 points, representing a loss of more than three per cent from its August 10 peak. The weakness continued into the final week of the month, with the index touching 238,682.92 points on August 26.

The market subsequently mounted a recovery, gaining 0.20 per cent on August 27 and 0.90 per cent on August 28 before Monday’s stronger 1.20 per cent advance.

Despite the month’s overall decline, trading activity remained robust, reflecting continued investor appetite for Nigerian equities. On Monday, trading volume rose by 0.17 per cent to 606.19 million shares, while turnover jumped by 29.56 per cent to N38.70 billion. Deal count also increased by 39.17 per cent to 53,471 transactions.

The month-end rebound also coincided with renewed optimism following the confirmation of Nigeria’s return to the FTSE Russell Frontier Market universe.

FTSE Russell’s decision, effective September 21, is expected to increase the visibility of Nigerian equities among international investors and potentially improve foreign portfolio flows into the market.

For investors, however, the August performance presents a mixed picture. The market’s 56.93 per cent year-to-date gain remains exceptionally strong, but the month’s negative return and prolonged mid-month sell-off indicate that investors are becoming more selective after the sharp appreciation recorded in the first seven months of the year.

The final-day rally suggests that bargain hunting and renewed institutional interest may be emerging at lower valuations, particularly in banking and other liquid sectors.

With the FTSE Russell reclassification now providing a fresh potential catalyst, market attention is expected to shift to whether the late-August buying momentum can be sustained into September.

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