Digital banking’s next test: Resilience, trust and deeper credit access

Digital payments have moved from being a matter of convenience to becoming part of the Philippines’ critical economic infrastructure, raising the stakes for banks, fintech firms and regulators to keep transactions running, protect users from fraud and turn digital access into broader financial participation.

The shift is already forcing financial institutions to rethink the scale and resilience of their systems.

For HSBC Philippines president and CEO Sandeep Uppal, the biggest lesson from the past two years has been payments as businesses and consumers increasingly expect financial services to remain available around the clock.

‘From my perspective, the biggest resilience topic has been payments,’ Uppal said.

Unlike traditional banking, when a branch closure or delayed check clearing could simply be dealt with the following day, today’s digital economy runs continuously. E-commerce platforms, merchants and consumers increasingly depend on payments being processed in real time.

HSBC has maintained payment system availability of 99.99 percent, according to Uppal. The bank also expanded its InstaPay capacity sevenfold earlier this year to process as many as 125,000 transactions per hour.

‘If you multiply it, that means you created a capacity of a billion transactions for the year,’ he said, adding that the bank expects demand to eventually outgrow that capacity again.

The challenge, however, is no longer simply getting more people to transact digitally. During the 2026 EJAP Economic Forum, Maya Philippines corporate affairs head Kristoffer Rada said the country has already built much of the foundation needed for digital finance.

Rada cited the development of InstaPay, PesoNet, QR Ph, digital banks, electronic money, digital identity and the emerging open finance framework. That scale means digital finance can no longer be viewed as a niche financial inclusion channel.

‘Payments for us is only the beginning,’ Rada said. ‘The real opportunity is to translate this digital access into deeper financial participation – into deposits, into savings, into responsible credit, working capital for small businesses and ultimately greater financial resilience.’

He described digital finance as a ‘growth infrastructure,’ with the next phase requiring identity, data, payments, credit and fraud response systems to work together rather than develop in separate silos.

One area where this could matter most is credit.

Many Filipinos and micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) remain difficult for lenders to assess because their financial information is fragmented across institutions, employers and government databases.

A worker, for example, may have several years of employment, regular government contributions, a registered business and a long history of digital transactions but still appear to lenders as a thin-file borrower because those records are not readily available in one place.

Rada said open finance could help address the problem by allowing customers, with their explicit consent, to share verified records across institutions.

One practical reform, he said, would be to allow individuals and MSMEs to use selected government records, such as employment history, contribution records and verified business information, to support credit applications.

‘Give the customers control of trusted data and allow them to use it to improve their financial opportunities,’ Rada said.

This could become increasingly important as the broader economy works through a period of weaker domestic demand.

HSBC chief Asia economist Frederic Neumann said household consumption growth and bank lending have both softened, describing the Philippines as being in a cyclical weak spot rather than facing deeper structural problems.

Neumann characterized the slowdown as a ‘temporary reset,’ arguing that the financial sector remains sound and that the economy retains its underlying competitiveness.

HSBC expects economic growth to rebound to almost five percent next year, although elevated inflation and external risks could continue to complicate the near-term outlook.

Against that backdrop, better access to responsible financing could support both household activity and small businesses without simply encouraging indiscriminate lending.

Rada said the country does not lack demand for credit. The bigger problem is making smaller borrowers commercially viable to serve.

Thin credit files, fragmented information and the cost of underwriting and servicing small loans continue to limit formal credit access.

He said the solution would require better data and risk-based underwriting alongside regulations that allow responsible pricing and sustainable business models.

‘Financial inclusion has to be sustainable,’ Rada said, stressing that competition and regulation should work together rather than be viewed as opposing forces.

Trust is the other side of the equation.

Greater digital adoption has also expanded opportunities for scammers, while fraudulent funds can move rapidly across banks, e-wallets, telecommunications networks and online platforms.

Rada proposed the creation of a 24/7 national fraud response protocol linking financial institutions, law enforcement, prosecutors, telecommunications companies and government agencies.

Such a framework could help institutions preserve funds and evidence more quickly, while improving the authorities’ ability to disrupt organized scam and mule-account networks.

Another proposed reform is payroll account portability.

At present, employers often effectively determine an employee’s primary financial institution through their payroll arrangements. Rada said workers could instead be allowed to nominate an eligible account of their choice without requiring companies to replace their existing payroll systems.

The change could force banks and digital financial providers to compete more aggressively on service, value and customer experience.

For traditional banks, meanwhile, the rapid growth of digital transactions is making collaboration increasingly important.

Asked what area of collaboration HSBC would prioritize over the next six to 12 months, Uppal pointed to digitization.

‘It’s not one company which can achieve it. It’s all of us coming together that can achieve it,’ he said.

Uppal said faster end-to-end digitization could boost productivity and help businesses navigate some of the Philippines’ infrastructure costs.

The next stage of digital banking, therefore, may be less about how many Filipinos can make a digital payment and more about what happens after they do.

With the basic rails already in place, the harder task is ensuring that those systems remain available at scale, secure enough to maintain public trust and connected enough to give more households and businesses access to savings, financing and other formal financial services.

As Rada put it, the Philippines has already built much of the infrastructure for digital financial access.

The next challenge is making that access ‘economically meaningful.’

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