Nigeria’s trade with Africa is up 21%. What will it take for small businesses to share in it?

Africa does not have a shortage of trade agreements. Its bigger problem is that too few businesses are equipped to turn market access into repeatable cross-border commerce. At the Loveworld Trade and Investment Forum (LTIF) 2026, we will be discussing the realities of scale in intra-African trade and commerce, and how small businesses can tap into emerging opportunities. Show up on October 6 and 7, 2026, in Accra, Ghana. Attendance is free, but registration is mandatory.

For years, the African trade conversation has been framed around the size of the opportunity.

The African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) has created a framework for a continental market. Intra-African trade is growing. African governments are talking more seriously about regional value chains, industrialisation, and local production.

Nigeria’s trade with the rest of Africa rose about 21% in 2025, from $7.47 billion to $9.02 billion, according to Afreximbank’s African Trade Report 2026. Intra-African trade as a whole grew 5.5% to about $213.8 billion. Refined fuel helped drive Nigeria’s gain: the bank credits higher exports to Cameroon, Ghana, and Togo, with the Dangote refinery running near full capacity.

Small businesses are not obviously sharing in that gain. Nigeria’s roughly 40 million micro, small and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) accounted for 6.21% of exports in the last national survey by SMEDAN. West Africa left slightly more than $7 billion of roughly $13 billion in intra-African export potential unrealised in 2025, Afreximbank estimates.

The barriers that keep small business owners stuck are less about market access than about readiness. The question that stakeholders are trying to answer is becoming unavoidable: can African businesses actually use the market being built for them?

Important global institutions are already weighing in to collectively an issue that is becoming a continental problem. In its August 2026 report, Integrating Africa: From Threads to Hubs, the World Bank argued that Africa’s next gains will come from making the systems around businesses work across borders-customs, standards, transport, payments, finance, energy, and digital infrastructure.

The problem has expanded beyond whether an entrepreneur in Lagos, Nigeria can find a customer in Accra, Ghana. It is whether they can serve that customer profitably, repeatedly, and at a scale that makes the relationship worth maintaining.

The market is there but businesses need support to catch up

Market infrastructure is not fully there yet, but its availability is slowly becoming available. The problem with how the continent is building today is the top-down approach that is seemingly failing to catch up with on-the-ground realities of entrepreneurs and business owners.

Payments first. The Pan-African Payment and Settlement System (PAPSS) said on September 11 that transaction volumes across its network grew about 1,000% between comparable periods in 2025 and 2026, while values rose about 120%. The increase implies the average payment fell to roughly a fifth of its earlier size. That fits smaller, more frequent transactions, though the figures alone do not show who is paying.

Afreximbank said PAPSS transactions cost 92% to 95% less and cut foreign exchange (FX) requirements by up to 80%. The export-import bank has previously estimated that intra-African trade reached $220.3 billion in 2024, growing by 12.4% from the previous year. Yet, it represented only 14.4% of Africa’s total trade.

Paperwork is moving too. Patience Okala, who leads Nigeria’s AfCFTA Coordination Office, said in September that Certificates of Origin, which let goods claim reduced tariffs, are now processed in 24 hours.

There’s both opportunity and warning: African businesses are trading with one another, but regional commerce remains a relatively small part of the continent’s total trade. The World Bank’s latest analysis adds another important point: intra-African trade, while limited in scale, is more diversified and manufacturing-intensive than Africa’s trade with the rest of the world. Regional markets can do more than create customers. They can create the scale at which businesses learn, specialise, add value, and invest.

But scale requires businesses that are ready for it. For a small manufacturer, export readiness means reliable production, proper costing, documented financials, quality standards, working capital, logistics knowledge, and the ability to withstand the delay between fulfilling an order and getting paid.

In 2025, Afreximbank estimated Africa’s annual trade-finance gap at about $100 billion and says only 18% of African banks’ trade-finance portfolios support intra-African trade. That means the next phase of African trade cannot be built only by lowering tariffs. It has to be built by making small businesses more bankable, productive, and easier to connect to regional supply chains.

Where businesses stall

Use is the problem. Two years after Nigeria began preferential trading under the AfCFTA, the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) said in September that the country cannot credibly quantify the benefits. About 10 exporters took part in the 2024 launch, it said, and no public register shows how many certificates have been issued or tariff preferences claimed.

Ghana, a destination for Nigerian refined fuel, shows the same shape. Its Statistical Service counted 1.87 million business establishments in 2024. About 92.3% operate informally, and about 70% earn less than GHS10,000 ($850) annually.

Financing is the harder block. The African Development Bank (AfDB) estimated Africa’s unmet trade finance demand at no less than $74 billion in 2024 and warned it could reach $86.6 billion by 2027. Banks approved 63% of SME trade finance applications on average, against 80% overall. Weak creditworthiness (cited by 48% of banks) and insufficient collateral (39%) were the main reasons for rejection, as they have been since the AfDB’s first report in 2014.

Neither reason concerns the product. Creditworthiness is a records problem, and records are the part a business controls.

What businesses need to do now

For a strategic small business owner, the next level is about taking advantage of the advancements in regional trade opportunities as they come.

First, formalise the numbers. A business that cannot produce credible accounts, understand its margins, or separate business cash from personal cash will struggle to convince a lender, investor, or serious buyer that it can fulfill a large order.

Second, build for standards, not just sales. Regional markets are not one market in practice. Product requirements, certifications, packaging, labelling, and documentation can determine whether a shipment moves or stalls.

Third, design the business around regional value chains. The opportunity is not always to export a finished product. A Nigerian business may be better positioned to supply an input to a Ghanaian manufacturer, source packaging from another African market, or become part of a larger regional production network.

Fourth, treat technology as infrastructure. Digital payments, e-commerce, supply-chain systems, and trade documentation are becoming part of the infrastructure for cross-border commerce, not optional additions.

And finally, understand the cost of the border. The World Bank estimated that around 60% of trade costs can arise behind countries’ own borders, making domestic reforms to customs, logistics, regulation, and services as important as continental agreements. Africa’s integration agenda cannot succeed if governments negotiate access while businesses remain too informal, undercapitalised, or operationally weak to use it.

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