Ghana’s reserves hit 12-month low despite strong gold exports
Ghana’s gross international reserves fell to $11.07 billion in August, their lowest level in 12 months, despite strong gold export earnings. Data from the Bank of Ghana show reserves dropped by about $1.9 billion between June and August, from $12.94 billion to $11.07 billion, and are now about $3.09 billion below their level at the end of the first quarter. Import cover has also fallen to 4.2 months from 5.7 months at the start of the year.
The central bank said rising foreign exchange demand towards the end of the year, a projected current account deficit and a pause in gold exports by the Ghana Gold Board could put further pressure on the country’s external position. Governor Johnson Asiama said rebuilding reserves would be a key priority in the coming months.
Why it matters: Lower reserves reduce Ghana’s foreign exchange buffer and could make it harder for the central bank to respond to currency or external payment pressures if dollar demand rises.
Kenyan banking giants lose market share as mid-sized lenders gain ground
Kenya’s largest banks lost market share in 2025 as mid-sized lenders expanded their assets, deposits, capital and profits. According to the Central Bank of Kenya’s latest Bank Supervision Annual Report, the combined market share of large banks fell to 69.7 percent in December 2025 from 75.6 percent a year earlier, while mid-sized banks increased their share to 23.2 percent from 16.7 percent.
Mid-sized banks’ combined assets rose from KSh1.24 trillion to KSh1.84 trillion, while deposits increased to KSh1.39 trillion. Their combined profit before tax more than doubled to KSh58 billion, compared with KSh27 billion a year earlier. Kenya’s overall banking sector also expanded, with total assets rising 10.3 percent to KSh8.35 trillion.
Why it matters: The shift gives smaller lenders a larger role in Kenya’s banking market and shows that competition is increasingly extending beyond the country’s traditional banking giants.
Zambia’s inflation falls to eight-year low, raising rate cut hopes
Zambia’s annual inflation rate fell to 6.1 percent in September from 6.2 percent in August, reaching its lowest level since February 2018. The decline extended the disinflation trend to nine consecutive months, with food inflation easing to 5.8 percent while non-food inflation remained at 6.6 percent.
The moderation strengthens expectations that the Bank of Zambia could cut its policy rate for a fourth time this year. However, temporary tax measures, including fuel tax suspension and zero rating of VAT, are due to expire on September 30, while monthly inflation accelerated to 0.4 percent from 0.2 percent in August.
Why it matters: Continued disinflation gives Zambia more room to lower borrowing costs and support economic activity, although the end of temporary tax measures could put renewed pressure on prices.
South Africa raises repo rate to 7.25% as inflation risks return
The South African Reserve Bank raised its policy rate by 25 basis points to 7.25 percent, its first increase since May, as higher fuel prices and a weaker global economic outlook raised inflation risks. The unanimous decision came after headline inflation rose to 4.4 percent in August from 4.3 percent in July.
The SARB now expects inflation to rise above five percent later this year and in early 2027 before easing. It raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 4.4 percent from four percent, while cutting its economic growth forecast to 1.2 percent from 1.4 percent.
Why it matters: South Africa is tightening policy even as growth remains weak, creating a difficult balance between containing imported energy inflation and avoiding further pressure on household spending and business investment.
Ghana holds policy rate at 14% as global tensions threaten inflation
The Bank of Ghana kept its key policy rate at 14 percent for a third consecutive meeting, as global conflicts and supply chain disruptions create new risks to inflation. The decision was unanimous and came after inflation increased to five percent in August from 4.6 percent in July, although it remains below the lower end of the central bank’s target band.
Governor Johnson Asiama said exchange rate stability has helped contain imported inflation, while borrowing costs have continued to ease. Average bank lending rates declined by 15.9 percent and private sector credit growth recovered, while the banking sector remained solvent, profitable and liquid.
Why it matters: Ghana’s rate pause supports cheaper credit and economic activity, but rising oil prices, geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions could make it harder to sustain the country’s recent inflation gains.