As Uganda heads towards the Thursday general elections, the National Resistance Movement (NRM) presidential candidate, Yoweri Museveni, hopes his campaign message, centred on promises of peace, stability, agricultural growth, and economic transformation, will resonate with the voters.
His pledges were designed to reassure voters of continuity while projecting Uganda toward middle-income status.
Campaigns officially kicked off on September 29, with Mr Museveni selling the NRM’s manifesto under the theme of wealth creation, industrialisation and job creation, particularly for the youth.
But Mr Joseph Mafabi, an elder in Bulambuli District, remarks that the NRM pledges have been recycled for several years, and there is little to expect even if President Museveni secures another term.
He notes that many of the roads pledged for construction three decades ago remain in a poor state. For example, he says, the Lwangoli-Butaleja-Namutumba road, the Busolwe-Nangongera road, and the Bududa circular road are still in disrepair.
‘Most government schools are in a sorry condition, with many children forced to study under trees or in dilapidated structures due to the lack of proper facilities,’ Mr Mafabi says, appealing to the NRM to fulfil its longstanding pledges.
However, Mr Timothy Chemonges, the executive director of the Centre for Policy Analysis (CEPA), observes that President Museveni entered this election with a long and well-documented record, making his campaign pledges easier to evaluate than those of most candidates.
‘Over the years, his government has delivered in areas such as security, infrastructure, and macroeconomic stability. For instance, Uganda’s paved national road network has expanded from fewer than 2,000km in the early 2000s to more than 6,000km today, while electricity generation capacity has more than tripled following major projects such as Karuma and Isimba. These achievements remain central to the NRM’s campaign, and promises tied to them are more likely to be fulfilled,’ Mr Chemonges says.
He adds that by contrast, pledges on job creation, household wealth, and combating corruption are far more complex.
‘Youth unemployment and underemployment remain stubbornly high, with national surveys showing that many young people are engaged in low-paying, informal work. Likewise, despite the existence of anti-corruption agencies, Uganda continues to lose at least Shs10 trillion annually to corruption. These challenges have featured prominently in past elections yet remain unresolved,’ he says.
According to analysts, the repetition of these promises carries mixed implications. For some voters, it signals persistence and recognition of real problems. For others, especially the youth, it reinforces frustration and scepticism.
Mr Chemonges says if President Museveni is re-elected, his next term will be defined by tighter economic conditions, rising public expectations, and mounting pressure on State institutions to deliver.
‘Public debt has grown significantly over the past decade, narrowing fiscal space, while a fast-growing population intensifies demand for jobs and services. How the government manages expectations, sets realistic priorities, and demonstrates genuine resolve in tackling corruption will determine whether these pledges translate into meaningful impact, or remain familiar campaign rhetoric,’ he adds.
Familiar yet ambitious
President Museveni, in power since 1986, presents voters with a familiar yet ambitious agenda centred on continuity and gradual reform. His supporters argue that his experience and track record position him to deliver on these promises, while critics contend that Uganda needs a change in leadership to address its long-standing governance challenges.
With Thursday’s presidential elections just around the corner, the key question remains whether Museveni’s promises will resonate with voters or whether fatigue with the status quo will shape the country’s political future.
Mr Yusuf Serukuma, a political theorist based at Makerere University, observes that if a manifesto is understood as a pledge, then Mr Museveni himself embodies the manifesto.
‘The booklet circulated during elections serves primarily a political function, designed to fulfil the formal requirements of campaigning. Beyond that, however, it holds little significance for Museveni. For him, once declared the winner, he effectively becomes the manifesto, acting according to what he deems necessary or useful over the course of the five-year term,’ Mr Serukuma says.
The pledges
At the centre of President Museveni’s campaign has been the Parish Development Model (PDM), which he described as the ‘final nail’ in ending household poverty. The President pledged to increase funding to parishes, strengthen supervision of PDM funds and crackdown on corruption among officials accused of mismanaging the programme.
He repeatedly promised that every parish would receive adequate capital to support income-generating activities, insisting that Ugandans must shift from subsistence to commercial production. He also pledged to integrate PDM beneficiaries into markets through cooperatives and value-addition initiatives.
Mr Museveni placed strong emphasis on industrialisation as a solution to unemployment. He pledged to expand industrial parks across regions, support local manufacturers with cheaper electricity and promote agro-processing industries to reduce post-harvest losses.
During rallies, the NRM candidate promised that his next term would prioritise skills development through technical and vocational education, arguing that practical skills are critical for absorbing Uganda’s rapidly growing youth population into productive employment.
Dr Enoq Twinoburyo, a lecturer at Makerere University, explains that the NRM manifesto is closely aligned with the National Development Plan (NDP). However, both have consistently faced challenges that go beyond institutional, financial, and implementation capacity.
‘In practice, many of the goals set out in the NDP and the NRM manifesto have not been achieved in the past. There is some likelihood of deliverables, particularly with the anticipated revenues from Uganda’s first oil production, significant risks remain. Even with oil resources, the full implementation of pledges is unlikely,’ Dr Twinoburyo says.
‘A recent analysis of the NDP and its implementation revealed persistent issues such as corruption, institutional weaknesses, loopholes in public expenditure, poor coordination among institutions, and weaknesses in public finance management. These factors have collectively undermined development outcomes and cast doubt on the feasibility of future pledges,’ he adds.
Mr Museveni also pledged to strengthen the ‘Buy Uganda, Build Uganda’ (BUBU) policies to protect local industries and promote Ugandan products.
Infrastructure development featured prominently in the President’s campaign. He promised continued construction and upgrading of roads, especially feeder roads to ease access to markets for farmers. The President also pledged to expand electricity connectivity to rural areas, lower power tariffs for manufacturers and complete major energy projects to support industrial growth.
On transport, Mr Museveni reiterated his long-standing pledge to revive the railway network and improve water transport on Lake Victoria as a cheaper alternative for cargo movement.
Security remained a core pillar of President Museveni’s campaign. He pledged to maintain peace and stability, arguing that without security, economic development would be impossible. The President promised continued investment in the Uganda People’s Defence Forces (UPDF) and other security agencies to protect Uganda’s sovereignty and combat emerging threats such as terrorism and cross-border crime.