India’s economy is stronger than Trump thinks

India has long benefited from geopolitical arbitrage, maintaining working relationships with Russia, the United States, and Europe. But this delicate balancing act is now being tested by a series of policy shocks delivered by US President Donald Trump’s administration. These disruptions, unlikely to ease anytime soon, raise a critical question: Can India retain its status as the world’s fastest-growing major economy?

The most urgent challenge facing Indian policymakers is weathering the escalating trade war. In August, Mr Trump imposed a 50% tariff on Indian imports, citing the need to reduce India’s trade surplus with the US and punish the country for its massive purchases of Russian oil. Adding to the pressure, Mr Trump has urged the European Union and other G7 countries to take even harsher steps — namely, to impose a 100% tariff on imports from India and China.

Mr Trump’s decision to hike H-1B visa fees to US$100,000 (3.2 million baht) represents yet another blow to India’s economy, particularly its IT services industry — one of the country’s most dynamic growth engines. Currently, Indian nationals account for more than 70% of all H-1B holders, with most of them working in IT or technology-related sectors. Given this, it’s hardly surprising that the share prices of Indian companies like Tata Consultancy Services, Infosys, and Wipro, which rely heavily on H-1B visas to access the US market, declined following Mr Trump’s announcement.

While Mr Trump has labelled India a “dead economy”, it is unclear whether he meant this as a statement of fact or a threat he will make good unless India offers sufficient concessions in its trade negotiations with the US. Either way, there is little evidence to suggest the Indian economy is at risk of collapsing anytime soon.

On the contrary, India is among the world’s most vibrant economies. In July, before the new US tariffs were imposed, the International Monetary Fund projected that India’s GDP will grow by 6.4% in 2025 and 2026 — well ahead of America’s projected annual growth rate of 1.9%. No other major economy comes close, with the exception of China, at 4.8%.

Barring external shocks, India is well-positioned to sustain its rapid growth rate over the next decade and become the world’s third-largest economy by 2030. Given its vast population and growth momentum, India could even overtake China and the US to emerge as the world’s largest economy within the next 50 years.

That said, the extent to which US policy shifts might affect India’s growth trajectory remains unclear. In the early 2000s, India was far less exposed to global trade than China was, with exports accounting for less than 15% of its GDP, compared with China’s 20%. Since then, however, India’s reliance on trade has increased significantly. Exports now make up more than 20% of GDP, leaving the country more vulnerable to trade shocks.

Given that the US is India’s largest export market, Mr Trump’s tariffs will likely hit harder than similar actions by other trade partners. Still, it is important to remember that India is a continental economy, with domestic consumption playing a far greater role than external demand. Moreover, the EU’s trade significance for India nearly matches that of the US, and China and the Middle East are also important export destinations. Consequently, while US tariff hikes are disruptive, they are far from fatal.

This is not to say that Indian policymakers can afford to be passive. To mitigate the impact of US restrictions, they must pursue a dual strategy comprising stimulative macroeconomic policies and a concerted effort to deepen trade ties with the EU, China, and the Middle East.

It is also worth noting that the relative importance of the US market is likely to decline as a result of Mr Trump’s protectionist trade policies. Should his administration stay the course, the EU and China may well surpass the US as the world’s leading import destinations by 2028.

Beyond short-term policy responses aimed at offsetting the fall in US demand, the Indian authorities would be well advised to implement structural reforms. Key priorities for sustaining long-term growth include raising the female labour-force participation rate from 33% to levels much closer to China’s 60%, improving the investment climate by tackling bureaucratic corruption, and upgrading infrastructure — roads, railways, ports, and airports — to lower the cost of production and trade.

By adopting these reforms, India will not only be able to weather Mr Trump’s tariff war in the short term but also sustain its growth miracle for years to come.

Bright future for BJT, barring missteps

After delivering a policy statement in parliament early this week, the Bhumjaithai-led (BJT) coalition is now in full gear. With both populism and nationalism at play in the Thai-Cambodian conflict, the party finds its popularity surging like never before.

BJT leader Anutin Charnvirakul has pledged to honour the memorandum of agreement (MOA) with the People’s Party (PP) that requires it to play an interim role, which means it has four months to run the country, in addition to a charter-rewriting commitment and maintaining the minority government status.

However, political pundits have already started discussing the possibility that the party could lead the next election with Mr Anutin forming another government and even completing a regular four-year term.

In fact, the BJT has every reason to aim high, having swept more than 120 MPs into its camp ahead of the next election, almost double its tally from the previous poll.

Such a scenario could play out, should the party enjoy massive success in the Northeast, the traditional stronghold of the embattled Pheu Thai Party, and the South, formerly the Democrats’ base. Besides, the BJT is busily rebranding itself to cater to new supporters, securing more places for its list-MPs.

The next election is set to take place amid a changed political landscape. The previous poll saw a struggle between the old and new guard as the ex-junta clique experienced its sunset moment.

Pheu Thai entered a deal with the conservatives to secure a chance for its former leader, Thaksin Shinawatra, to return home after nearly two decades of exile. Thaksin was to lead a political game against the then-Move Forward Party, which has effectively since been rebranded as the PP. But his attempts flopped.

So the “Thaksin factor” has now gone, and the ideological warfare between the left and right-minded camps is notable despite the various parties showing more flexibility in making decisions, as evidenced in the case of Pheu Thai and the old guard, as well as the PP aligning with the BJT to propel the latter to the top administrative position.

More importantly, it’s clear the public is paying scant attention to ideology, but is extremely obsessed with the Thai-Cambodian conflict and the need to solve economic difficulties.

This is the best time, the golden moment, for the BJT. Should it make the right decision on the two aforementioned issues, it’s not too hard for the party to amass political gains in the next election, expected around March or April next year.

In fact, now that the party is in power, and given its close affiliation with major institutions, the BJT already has an advantage over its political rivals. That said, Pheu Thai, the former ruling party, is aware of its fate.

The BJT’s rising popularity is attested in survey polls by Nida on Sept 19 and 24. The biggest group of respondents, 27.28%, remains undecided about who they should support as a suitable prime minister for the time being. About 22.8% chose PP leader Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut, followed by Mr Anutin (20.44%), Khunying Sudarat Keyuraphan of the Thai Sang Thai Party (7.16%), and Chaikasem Nitisiri of Pheu Thai (6.76%).

It should be noted that the PP still enjoys top rank in the survey polls, but its popularity has been dented significantly, from 46% in the previous polls to 33%. More than 21% of respondents said they have still not made a decision. While the BJT came fourth in the poll, with 13.24%, slightly lower than Pheu Thai, which gained 13.96%, such a narrow gap between the two parties — arch-rivals sharing the same political base — is unprecedented.

And while the BJT has never performed that well in previous opinion surveys, it came third in the 2024 election, given its extensive network and political resources.

Meanwhile, the outcome of the by-election in Si Sa Ket province confirms the rise in the BJT’s strength. Support for Pheu Thai, the incumbent, remains undiminished, as it gained some 30,000 votes. However, the BJT performed much better, sweeping over 40,000 votes — an increase of almost 10,000 votes from the previous election.

One additional seat from the Si Sa Ket by-election may not make much difference in terms of government stability, but the BJT’s victory has shaken Pheu Thai’s confidence.

Pheu Thai MPs in the northeastern region who are thinking about leaving the party will be able to make a decision more easily, either to join the BJT or the Klatham Party under Thamanat Prompow’s command.

Evidently, all major parties, such as the United Thai Nation (UTN) and Palang Pracharat (PPRP), are experiencing losses as several factions under their umbrella are approaching, or even joining, the BJT. For instance, Suchart Chomklin, who led his Group of 16 out of the PPRP, was appointed as a deputy prime minister as well as minister of natural resources and the environment. Several other factions, including those led by Ekanat Promphan, as well as Santi Prompat, are following suit.

Several factions approaching the BJT enjoy the so-called ban yai status, referring to politicians with extensive networks, influence and resources. This gives the BJT the chance to grow even larger in the near future.

The BJT has adopted a set of populist policies, such as the co-payment plus scheme, as well as cheaper train fares, among others, as part of its “Big Quick Win” formula, citing the need for economic stimuli. Such policies could easily translate into more support when voters cast their ballots in a few months’ time. Moreover, the party’s idea of holding a referendum for the cancellation of two MoUs with Cambodia is seen as a tactic for political gain through ultranationalism as well.

It’s very likely the BJT will polish its image, presenting itself as a high-quality party, not just a ban yai party with influential networks. It will have to take this opportunity to introduce a myriad of flagship policies, particularly a strong economic development package, for the next election in order to secure a bigger victory, thus fulfilling its political ambitions.

Meanwhile, Mr Anutin must maintain a balance and not overuse taxpayers’ money on unjustifiable populism. Rather, he must present himself as a politician with a sense of professionalism. Besides, he has to avoid interfering in the investigative process regarding the notorious Khao Kradong land seizure case and alleged fraud during the Senate election. If not, any missteps could become a deathtrap for him and his party.

Southeast Asia amid the US-China rift

The rivalry between the United States and China has become the defining contest of the 21st century. Barely two decades ago, Washington and Beijing were partners in prosperity. America’s support for China’s entry into the World Trade Organization in 2001 epitomised the high-water mark of engagement, reflecting the belief that economic integration would lead to greater political cooperation. Today, that partnership has morphed into suspicion and confrontation. Relations between the United States and China have deteriorated so swiftly that many observers now describe them as locked in a “new Cold War”. The more pressing question, however, is not whether this analogy holds, but whether confrontation can be managed short of outright conflict.

China’s economic ascent was initially encouraged, even celebrated, by the US and its allies. In the 1990s and early 2000s, Beijing was seen as a responsible stakeholder, integrating into global supply chains, attracting foreign investment, and lifting hundreds of millions out of poverty. For a time, it seemed the promise of globalisation was being realised. But confidence gave way to concern as China began to flex its newfound power more openly.

The 2008 Beijing Olympics symbolised China’s national revival and confidence both at home and abroad. Four years later, Beijing’s construction of artificial islands and militarisation of the South China Sea unsettled the Southeast Asia region and signalled a bolder strategic posture. President Xi Jinping’s rise to power appears to be the decisive turning point. Within his first year, he launched the Belt and Road Initiative, a sprawling infrastructure and investment drive that revived both overland and maritime Silk Roads as platforms of influence.

The US was initially slow to react. President Barack Obama’s “pivot to Asia” promised to rebalance American strategy, but implementation lagged. Even when the Permanent Court of Arbitration ruled overwhelmingly in 2016 against China’s maritime claims, Beijing ignored the verdict without meaningful consequence. It was Donald Trump’s first presidency that marked the sharp break.

In his first term, Mr Trump’s imposition of tariffs and restrictions on advanced technology started a trade and tech war. His moves reflected a deeper political transformation in the US, as decades of scepticism toward globalisation and free trade moved from the margins to the mainstream. “America First” nationalism, once a fringe doctrine, became the organising principle of US foreign and economic policy. By his second term, Mr Trump could declare sweeping tariffs not as a sudden departure but as the logical culmination of a longstanding geostrategic campaign.

At home, the Trumpian movement emphasises nativism and tighter immigration controls. Abroad, it questions the value of the post-war order that Washington itself built. That order had allowed US allies in Europe and Asia to prosper under American security guarantees and open markets. But it also produced China’s meteoric rise, enabling Beijing to become a peer competitor. Washington’s resentment is now driving a more unilateral, protectionist, and confrontational strategy.

Yet the Cold War analogy only partly fits. The struggle between the US and the Soviet Union was waged between two systems that were fundamentally separate, with little economic interdependence. The Soviet bloc’s command economy could not keep pace with the dynamism of capitalism and collapsed under its own inefficiencies. China is a different kind of challenger.

Since Deng Xiaoping’s reforms, Beijing has combined one-party authoritarian rule with state-directed capitalism. The results were staggering: three decades of near double-digit growth, a manufacturing revolution, and the emergence of global Chinese firms in sectors from telecommunications to electric vehicles. Unlike the Soviet Union, China has embedded itself deeply in the global economy, making complete decoupling with the US impractical.

Instead, US companies and others in Europe now pursue “de-risking” — a selective disentangling of supply chains in strategic sectors such as semiconductors, critical minerals, and artificial intelligence, while leaving other forms of economic integration intact. For many countries, this balancing act reflects necessity. China is both a formidable rival and an indispensable trading partner. The world is therefore entering neither a full globalisation nor a full decoupling, but something in between.

At the heart of the contest is not just power but narrative. The US sees itself as the rightful guarantor of global order, the natural product of its “manifest destiny” — a belief in primacy that stretches back to the early 19th century. China, meanwhile, sees itself as reclaiming the greatness of its own through a “manifest resurgence”, Mr Xi’s vision of “national rejuvenation” after two centuries of humiliation and subjugation.

Both narratives carry entitlement and inevitability. The US will not cede its top position without a fight, whereas China this time will not be denied its rightful place. Each side views the other with suspicion. Washington believes Beijing has gained unfair advantages by copying technology and bending rules, while Beijing believes the US will seek to block its rise no matter what.

Such mistrust extends to public opinion. Polls show large majorities in both societies view the other unfavourably, even without direct personal contact. Even if leaders reached a pragmatic bargain, nationalist sentiment on both sides would undercut it.

Yet a full-blown military conflict and a nuclear Armageddon remain unlikely between the two sides, as deterrence is still working. But the spectre of a limited conventional war is not implausible. Taiwan remains the most combustible flashpoint, not only for its symbolism in Chinese nationalism but also for its central role in the global semiconductor industry. The South China Sea is another arena of danger, where US treaty obligations to the Philippines could transform a skirmish into a full-blooded crisis. In such volatile settings, accidents or miscalculations could escalate quickly.

For Southeast Asia, the stakes could not be higher. A US-China “grand bargain” that carves up spheres of influence would reduce regional autonomy. An outright conflict would devastate trade-dependent economies and destabilise security. The most realistic hope is a managed rivalry that is tense, competitive, and sometimes confrontational, but short of open war.

History’s warnings are sobering. Great-power clashes have repeatedly drawn smaller states into unavoidable choice and conflict. Yet history also points to alternatives. Europe, once the world’s most war-prone continent, has transformed itself into a zone of economic integration and relative peace, despite facing Russian aggression on its doorstep. As the European Union remains cohesive, its success shows that conflict is not inevitable and that cooperative frameworks can endure. The EU’s example demonstrates that cycles of conflict can be broken if states commit to cooperation, restraint, and shared rules and institutions.

The US-China contest is fundamentally about whose vision of global order will prevail. Will it be the US’s commitment to preserving its primacy or China’s determination to restore its centrality. Both sides feel entitled, both are unwilling to yield, and both are shaping the choices of other nations for decades to come. For Southeast Asia and much of the wider world, the challenge is to avoid being trampled as these giants collide. For Washington and Beijing, the task is to find a way to compete without catastrophe.

TikTok Shop named high-impact platform under new Thai e-commerce rules

TikTok Shop has been recently added to the list of high impact online marketplace platforms required to comply with the Digital Platform Services law, according to the Electronic Transactions Development Agency (ETDA).

Chaichana Mitrpant, ETDA executive director, said that the move follows previous ETDA announcement of names of 19 online marketplaces required to comply with Section 20 of the law.

Those 19 platforms are Shopee, Lazada, One2car.com, Grab, Kaidee.com, SIA E-Auction System, LINE Shopping, Alibaba, NocNoc and AliExpress.

The others are Thisshop, Rakmao, Taobao, SCGHome, ONESIAM Application, ReadyPlastic Auction, ROOTS Platform, Temu and eBay. The announcement of the names of these 19 firms came into effect as of July 10.

The announcement of TikTok Shop will take effect one day after the announcement is published in the Royal Gazette.

ETDA is also preparing to include LINE MAN (Mart) under the same list.

Section 20 of the law obliges these platforms to conduct a business risk assessment and risk management.

Mr Chaichana emphasized that ETDA ensures a fair and thorough review process, allowing platform operators to submit information or objections. Adequate time is given for data collection and verification.

Platforms listed in the announcement must fulfill additional obligations beyond general requirements, including verifying and registering merchants.

According to Creden.co data, TIKTOK Shop (Thailand) revenue in 2024 was 12 billion baht with loss of 3.6 billion baht.

Your horoscope for Oct 3-9

Your spot-on horoscope for work, money and relationship from Guru by the Bangkok Post’s famously accurate fortune teller. Let’s see how you will fare this week and beyond.

Aries

Mar 21 – Apr 19

Working solo is where you shine the brightest and deliver your best results. Working with others will wear you down emotionally. Be prepared for meetings that could have been emails and mixed signals. Use the chaos as fuel and you’ll discover unexpected growth opportunities.

A friend or cousin may point you to a low-key gig or hidden side income opportunity. You may stumble on forgotten cash or receive an unexpected windfall. If you’re juggling multiple debts, you’ll knock at least one out. Be careful with lending or investing, as someone may try to take advantage of you. Always double-check the fine print.

You and your partner share more peaceful moments together and quickly find happy mediums when disagreements pop up. You two might kickstart a healthier lifestyle together and keep each other motivated. Sexy time becomes more careful and meaningful.

A new hangout spot or a dating app swipe might light up chemistry that hits fast and hard. Enjoy the moment but stay realistic. The magic might fade once you’re home or when the night ends. At least you’ll walk away with a little story.

Taurus

Apr 20 – May 20

The project you’ve been pouring your energy into will soon complete. You’re getting noticed, maybe even rewarded. Both your main job and side gig will demand your full focus and what you gain in return will be worthwhile. Your network’s growing and more opportunities are coming. A job interview coming up? Expect a quick yes or no.

A windfall awaits you. A friend will drop a solid financial trick or smart investment tip. Income opportunities will keep you busier than planned, but in a way that makes you happy. Don’t forget to spend a little for pure enjoyment. Lost valuables will find their way back to you.

Next week brings smoother conversations, deeper connection and real quality time with your partner. Things are settling into a routine that could lead to the next level or bigger commitments. A new shared goal may emerge and having family in your corner makes it all feel more achievable.

Expect romantic spark with someone from work or a work-related social event but you two decide to get to know each other in secret to avoid gossips. Also, you may instantly click with a new face through social media or a friend’s introduction. Your heart’s about to get busy. Don’t let the excitement blind you to red flags.

Gemini

May 21 – Jun 20

Better communication and team support help you breeze through tasks. Your plans turn into progress with less pushback and more forward moves. Expect to land a key role in a future-focused project or major transformation initiative. It’s all about innovation, and you’ll adapt quickly with more say and influence than before. Job hunting? Keep an eye out for international opportunities.

You’ll handle your earnings and outgoings more smoothly. A friendly auntie or big sis in your circle might hook you up with a money-making opportunity, unlock an extra income stream or help you seal a sweet deal. Be careful with lending and investing – not everyone’s playing fair or has good intent.

Romance is ramping up with more playful, passionate and perfectly-timed moments between you two. Shared dreams are set to spark some wins worth celebrating. Family time is also in the cards. Unmarried couples may bring up wedding or engagenment before their parents.

If you’ve been chatting with several matches, one will sweep you off your feet and this could go IG official. Not seeing anyone? Someone off your radar might steal your heart faster than your usual type ever could.

Cancer

Jun 21 – Jul 22

Some colleagues might dismiss your ideas, but tension turns into clarity. It’ll show you exactly who’s in your corner. Manage your energy wisely as sudden urgent tasks may catch you off guard. Cyber threats or tech glitches could hit, so keep your key data safe.

Your network of friends and associates brings opportunities to earn extra cash through behind-the-scenes or less formal work. The repairs for your car, phone or daily gadget might be bigger than expected. Keep your spending minimum and stash a little cash more for safety. Stay sharp against pickpockets and travel scams while travelling abroad (even if it’s Japan).

Tension with your partner? It’s finally fading away. But don’t get too comfy – family drama or fresh trouble might follow. Still, you two will handle it together with calm confidence. This might just bring your hearts closer and make your minds wiser. Someone nosy might watch your love life for possible gossips ’cause they’re envious.

That special someone you’ve been seeing might be ready to go public with you. A married-with-kids someone from your work or social circle might sneak into your DMs with big flirty energy. If you can’t see yourself with them, don’t waste their time.

Leo

Jul 23 – Aug 22

There may be more meetings than usual but you’ll be given more decision-making power. A coveted project or unexpected opportunity lands in your lap. A few colleagues might stir up drama out of insecurity. You’re turning pressure and deadlines into fuels to push forward. If you run your own business, a big-name collab is on the cards.

Debt negotiations will work out in your favour. You might stumble on extra cash or a low-key income stream. An insurance payout, refund or overdue payment will soon arrive. Beware of fortune that comes with hidden cost. However, it will yield benefits and returns to you in the long run.

You’re each other’s anchor, muse and sage. Expect fun hangouts, romantic magic and pure couple glow. Sweet surprises may find you two as fortune smiles. Your shared vision starts turning into wins worth celebrating. You’re both stepping into deeper commitment territory, feeling completely sure about your journey together. Oh, we’re so jelly!

You may be tempted to ghost someone who doesn’t seems to be a good fit to you after getting to know them. Let them down gently. Your friends will play matchmaker and social scenes will spark fresh flirty vibes both IRL and online. You enjoy the attention and the flirtation without getting serious with anyone right now.

Virgo

Aug 23 – Sept 22

Bigwigs and clients are raising the bar and your plate’s about to get real full. Your boss might breathe down your neck more than usual. You might have to search for past assignments, fine-tune them and give them another polish. They seemed flawless to you at the time but time away from them help you realise their rooms for improvement. Sudden travel or surprise meetings could pop up.

More money comes in but more money also goes out. Beware of early signs of missing your savings goal. Joy trumps regret for now. However, don’t lose sight of your financial freedom. If recent past years have taught you anything, the lesson is that life is full of uncertainties.

Faithful couples may have a few playful disagreements and friendly competitions. If you’ve been two-timing, you may get exposed and shamed for it. Your official love and side love pressures you to choose and you may end up with none if you’re hesitant.

You may unexpectedly click with someone who’s nothing like your usual type. The chemistry is real, but so are the fears and doubts creeping into your mind. Old wounds and your differences might make you second-guess. It’s okay to take your time and feel things out.

Libra

Sept 23 – Oct 22

If you’re stuck on something, things finaly fall into place. Your energy, creativity and team synergy are at their peaks. You’ll breeze through deadlines while surprise setbacks will fuel your growth. Your professional circle is about to expand in ways that unlock hidden opportunities you never saw coming.

You’ll spend more on socialising, but you’ll also gain connections and intel that could unlock income boosts or supercharge your portfolio. Travel might bring a small windfall. You can afford little luxuries while staying on track with your savings goal.

Love feels lighter, with real talks replacing routine replies. You’ll actually hear each other, bringing you two closer. Shared goals and everyday challenges start turning into wins. Cross-cultural couples discuss their plan to wed or which country to settle down.

Fighting for someone’s heart? You’ll charm your way to victory. If you’re seeing no one, a fascinating foreigner or someone from a different culture might steal your heart. Despite some differences, shared passions and similar life goals will spark a deep, instant connection.

Scorpio

Oct 23 – Nov 21

You pick up new tech and tools fast while your creativity is at the maximum. What once felt tricky now feels easy. With the blend of knowledge, people skills and data-driven intuition, you’re becoming the office’s go-to guru and peacemaker. You’ll crush your to-do list and land a secret mission from bigwigs.

Your negotiation skills will deliver rewarding results. An unexpected inheritance or family heirloom could come your way. Valuable insider info might boost your investment game or help you spend smarter. Juggling multiple debts? One’s about to be history.

Heart-to-heart talks bring you two closer. You and your partner are more in sync. You two laugh more while building deeper trust. A shared dream or goal brings a spark of excitement between you two.

A family member or a close family friend might play matchmaker, nudging you toward someone with similar vibes and social standing. A fresh face or a blast from the past might slip into your DMs for a casual hook-up.

Sagittarius

Nov 22 – Dec 21

Curveballs and shake-ups will push you out of your comfort zone. You’ll meet unfamiliar faces, test new methods and work with tools you’ve never used before. Pressure might hit hard at first, but it’ll gradually give way to hope and excitement. Entrepreneurs, new markets await across borders or city lines.

Your pay/rate negotiations are likely to succeed, so trust your value and own your earning power. If you’re selling your property or brokering deals, expect signed and sealed papers. You’ll add more to your savings and still afford smalls splurges that make you smile.

Someone, through social media or your friend group, could sweep you off your feet in a heartbeat. Things might get steamy and spicy behind the scenes, but your heart’s still with your main squeeze. Your bond’s unshakable and you manage to keep them in the dark for now.

You radiate rizz. Expect several admirers, taken and available. Some just want to bed you and nothing more. Set boundaries that protect both your peace and your heart. Remember that with great charm comes great responsibility.

Capricorn

Dec 22 – Jan 19

Brace yourself for extra tension at meetings and more office drama. Soften your words to avoid burning bridges. On the bright side, your fierce determination and energy will power you through tough tasks and help you slay every deadline. You’ll do well in any upcoming test or competition.

Expect delayed or only partial payments. You may also get hit with major spending urges for entertainment and luxuries. A promising financial opportunity or unexpected cash boost may come into you late next week.

Brace yourself for a relationship rollercoaster. A hidden secret or money issue could come to light. Pain from the past might resurface too. Give each other more patience and kindness. Take a deep breath and ride out this turbulence together.

Fresh romance is heading your way. Some people aren’t looking for lasting love. Watch out for scammers and fling-seekers. If things are heating up with someone, you may be blindsided as they’re about to ghost you for someone else.

Aquarius

Jan 20 – Feb 18

Something feels off at your workplace. Expect tense talks and tangled communication. A higher-up might call you out for not delivering your best. Next week is a prime time to face and fix lingering issues bubbling beneath the surface. Fresh opportunities await if you’re bold enough to shake up your routine.

Your income stream may feel shaky. Expect surprises and shortfalls instead of steady streams. Ditch the dice and skip impulse buys on fun stuff. Don’t play guarantor for anyone’s debts. Time to tighten up or reboot your money plan.

Your relationship’s running on autopilot, stuck in repeat mode. You’re hungry for spark and fresh excitement. You might drop tiny white lies just to spice things up. Someone unaware that you’re taken might casually flirt with you.

You meet potential admirers IRL and online but none seems to live up to your standard. You think you deserve someone who deserve you and aren’t going to settle for less anytime soon. However, one of your admirers may call you snobbish.

Pisces

Feb 19 – Mar 20

You’re firing on all cylinders. Your energy, intuition and creativity will unite to take on projects, surprise deadlines and backlogs head-on. You can read the room in seconds, smoothly navigating conflicts and managing expectations with effortless finesse. Your standout results could land you a moment worth celebrating.

Fresh connections could reveal a secret source of income. You might be busier making money but it’s the good kind of busy. Make hay while the sun shines. You’re in your best earning years so don’t slow down just yet. Seeing those digits climb will definitely put a smile on your face.

Couples know when to spend time together and when to spend time on their own. Personal space and time are necessary for any healthy relationships. Quick make-ups will follow any mix-ups. Unmarried couples bring up their wedding or engagement plan to see their parents’s approval.

You’re laser-focused on building wealth and becoming your best self. As you glow up, someone older might start eyeing you with more than friendly interest. Your go-getting vibe is very appealing to them. An old flame or someone from your dating past might slide into your DMs for a casual hookup but it isn’t necessarily a good news.

D.O. to perform in Bangkok after dropping album

Exo all-rounder Doh Kyung-soo, better known as D.O., is scheduled to perform for Thai fans at his solo concert “2025 Doh Kyung-soo Asia Concert Tour “. Organised by GMM Show, the concert will take place at Impact Arena on Oct 11.

D.O.’s Asia concert tour is being held after he dropped his first full-length solo album Bliss in June. The album features the lead single Sing Along! — a fresh new vibe showcasing his versatility — which he co-wrote with well-known composer Zico. In September, D.O. released a track with pop-rock influence titled Dumb in which he collaborated with rapper Penomeco. Bliss offers various genres including ballad, rap, pop, bossa nova and chill lo-fi.

In addition to songs from Bliss, fans can enjoy songs from his other mini albums such as Popcorn and Simple Joys from Blossom, I’m Gonna Love You and It’s Love from Empathy, as well as Exo’s medley including First Snow, Don’t Go, Growl and Love Me Right.

The organiser GMM Show claims that Thai fans can expect an unforgettable night since the venue will feature a perfect stage setup so that fans can clearly see D.O. and soak in every second of the concert magic. The production will include amazing lights, sound and effects.

Tickets cost 2,900, 3,900, 4,900, 5,500, 6,000 and 6,500 baht and can be purchased at allticket.com and at Counter Service at all 7-Eleven branches in Thailand. A credit card installation plan is also available.

PM Anutin vows fair probe into Bangkok sinkhole

Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul on Thursday assured the House of Representatives that the probe into a collapsed road near Vajira Hospital in Bangkok’s Dusit district would be conducted both independently and transparently.

He said he has no business ties to Sino-Thai Engineering and Construction (STECON), founded by his father, which is part of the joint venture contracted to build the Purple Line near the treacherous sinkhole.

People’s Party (PP) MP for Bangkok, Paramet Worawitthayaraksan, pressed Mr Anutin to speak clearly about how the government would take action against the contractors over the incident and whether it would seek compensation for work delays.

“Will they be prosecuted, told to pay compensation or blacklisted? Will they be fined for delays in the project delivery?” Mr Paramet asked.

Mr Anutin said he sold his shares in the company through the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in 2019 in full compliance with all legal requirements for political office holders when he became aware the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) could secure a significant share of House seats.

The prime minister said he has no involvement with the company and has never used his influence for its benefit.

It was Mr Anutin’s first response to a fresh interpellation since he assumed office.

Founded by Chavarat Charnvirakul, Mr Anutin’s father, STECON was listed on the stock market in 1993 with a registered capital of 300 million baht.

On the probe into the collapsed road, he said the Ministry of Transport will be looking into the incident with the help of a committee comprising specialists and representatives from the Public Works Department and City Hall.

The investigation would be based on engineering evidence, he said, noting that if negligence or recklessness are proven, contractors would be held accountable.

He said the Mass Rapid Transit Authority of Thailand (MRTA) is working on repairs, and traffic is expected to resume on Oct 9, 2025.

Educate, don’t indoctrinate

The next general election is likely to cause the country its biggest headache ever. It will be the first time that voters will have four ballots — two for electing lawmakers and two for public referendums.

The first two ballots will include normal voting papers to elect constituency MPs and list-MPs to parliament and Government House. The third ballot will be a referendum about the content and process of planned constitutional amendments.

The real conundrum is the final ballot. It is a referendum on whether eligible voters should retain or repeal MoU 43 (2000) and MoU 44 (2001), signed with Cambodia, regarding the establishment of joint border committees to resolve land and maritime border disputes.

The fourth ballot is a fresh initiative of the new government of Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul. It is facing pressure to address the Thai-Cambodia border issue, especially from an angry public that wants to see the government scrap both of the MoUs.

However, it remains a significant question why the Anutin government is allowing this foreign policy decision to be made by voters. Regarding the voters, deciding on the MoUs with Cambodia requires an understanding of history and its long-term effects.

Both MoUs have served as key diplomatic frameworks for the two countries to negotiate border demarcation and long-term resource sharing.

Political experts have publicly warned about the troubles ahead. Former election commissioner Somchai Srisutthiyakorn even warned that parliament could face delays in passing the required organic laws for elections and referendums.

A delay in parliament would mean another big political conflict for the Anutin government, which may face protests if it stays beyond the promised four-month term in office.

But the biggest challenge is preparing voters for the referendum. How will the government provide quality, well-balanced information for the public to decide?

Elections and public referendums require more than just setting days and venues, as both issues are complex and highly politicised.

Charter amendment has been a divisive issue. The opposition People’s Party and its pro-democracy allies have been campaigning for the rewriting of a new charter, aiming for drastic reforms.

The conservative camp and its political parties, meanwhile, prefer the least amount of amendments to the charter, opposing a full rewrite.

Another challenge now is providing voters with access to fair and balanced information, rather than propaganda from political camps. With the ongoing border conflict and surge of jingoism, it remains a big question whether voters can obtain sensible and quality information.

How will the government provide an honest view on the pros and cons of both MoUs without fearing backlash? How can voters digest the complex situation and make informed decisions?

The referendum has been enshrined as the mantra of a direct democracy. Mr Anutin said his decision to run the referendum is a form of “showing respect to public opinion”.

No matter how inspiring this sounds, the reality is that the referendum will only be successful if voters are well-informed on the matters at hand. The onus now falls on MPs and the Election Commission to run a campaign that communicates to voters and educates them.

PM Anutin vows fair probe into Bangkok sinkhole

Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul on Thursday assured the House of Representatives that the probe into a collapsed road near Vajira Hospital in Bangkok’s Dusit district would be conducted both independently and transparently.

He said he has no business ties to Sino-Thai Engineering and Construction (STECON), founded by his father, which is part of the joint venture contracted to build the Purple Line near the treacherous sinkhole.

People’s Party (PP) MP for Bangkok, Paramet Worawitthayaraksan, pressed Mr Anutin to speak clearly about how the government would take action against the contractors over the incident and whether it would seek compensation for work delays.

“Will they be prosecuted, told to pay compensation or blacklisted? Will they be fined for delays in the project delivery?” Mr Paramet asked.

Mr Anutin said he sold his shares in the company through the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in 2019 in full compliance with all legal requirements for political office holders when he became aware the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) could secure a significant share of House seats.

The prime minister said he has no involvement with the company and has never used his influence for its benefit.

It was Mr Anutin’s first response to a fresh interpellation since he assumed office.

Founded by Chavarat Charnvirakul, Mr Anutin’s father, STECON was listed on the stock market in 1993 with a registered capital of 300 million baht.

On the probe into the collapsed road, he said the Ministry of Transport will be looking into the incident with the help of a committee comprising specialists and representatives from the Public Works Department and City Hall.

The investigation would be based on engineering evidence, he said, noting that if negligence or recklessness are proven, contractors would be held accountable.

He said the Mass Rapid Transit Authority of Thailand (MRTA) is working on repairs, and traffic is expected to resume on Oct 9, 2025.

Thundery dawn storm causes flooding, damage across Greater Bangkok

A predawn storm on Friday brought heavy rain and strong winds to Greater Bangkok, toppling trees, damaging vehicles and flooding key roads.

Traffic radio broadcasters said strong winds and heavy rain toppled trees in Bang Kapi, Bang Sue, Huai Khwang and Din Daeng districts of Bangkok, as well as parts of Nonthaburi. Several vehicles were damaged, according to Traffic Police and Jor Sor 100 radio.

Flooding was also reported on Rama 9 and Bang Na-Trat roads.

The Bangkok Metropolitan Administration said Chatuchak district appeared hardest hit but a full damage assessment was still pending.

The Meteorological Department reported heavy rain at Suvarnabhumi airport in the 24 hours to 7am Friday. City Hall later recorded light rain at 8.45am in districts west of the Chao Phraya River, including Phasi Charoen, Chom Thong and Thon Buri.

The department warned more rain was moving in from Saraburi and Prachin Buri and was expected to reach Nong Chok before noon. Widespread showers are forecast across Greater Bangkok through the weekend.